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1553063
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May 7, 1975 - Ford, Kissinger, UK Prime Minister Harold Wilson, Foreign Secretary James Callaghan
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1553063
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May 7, 1975 - Ford, Kissinger, UK Prime Minister Harold Wilson, Foreign Secretary James Callaghan
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Memoranda of Conversations (Nixon and Ford Administrations)
Ford Administration Memoranda of Conversations
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Israel
Syria
Great Britain
Egypt
Soviet Union
European Economic Community. (1958 - 1967)
Middle East conflicts
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United States-Soviet relations
Helsinki Agreement, 1975
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1975
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1975-05-07
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File scanned from the National Security Adviser's Memoranda of Conversation Collection at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON SECRET/NODIS/XGDS MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION PARTICIPANTS: Harold Wilson, Prime Minister of the United Kingdom James Callaghan, Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs Sir John Hunt, Secretary of the Cabinet President Ford Dr. Henry A. Kissinger, Secretary of State and Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Lt. Gen. Brent Scowcroft, Deputy Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs DATE AND TIME: Wednesday, May 7, 1975 4:06 - 5:16 p.m. PLACE: The Oval Office The White House SUBJECTS: CSCE; Middle East; Energy; Concorde; Commodities; EC Poll CSCE STATE GUIDELINES Stateliviaw3/9104 The President: I gather the Commonwealth Conference was a success. Wilson: Yes, it was a good meeting. NARA, DATE 5/14/04 President: We are looking forward to the meeting in Brussels and we appreciate your taking the lead. Wilson: I think it is a good time. We will be able to decide whether or DECLARSIFIED S.O. SEC. not we should go to Helsinki. FORD & SEGRET/NODIS/XGDS GERALD LIBRARY TOP SEGRET - XGDS (3) CLASSIFIED BY: HENRY A. KISSINGER SECRET/NODIS/XGDS 2 Callaghan: It could be a very constructive week -- with important meetings of the IEA, the OECD and NATO. President: Also to firm up the situation on the security conference. Wilson: That's right. President: What is your view on CSCE? Wilson: We have got some way to go. We need to get from Jim the details on what the sticking points are. Brezhnev is obviously in a hurry. He wants three things: the CSCE Summit, a world Communist conference, and his visit here. I think they told him he could stay until next February. Callaghan: That gives us leverage. To come here before the CSCE or vice versa. Kissinger: We can't meet [for his visit here] before September because we won't be ready until then. I think the later the better on CSCE -- son long as we don't seem to be stalling. But we told him July. Callaghan: I am more pessimistic about a meeting in July. I don't mind him coming here in September and having the CSCE in October. Kissinger: That's all right with us. President: Is there a chance he would be more flexible if we said July? Kissinger: We said that if there was progress, we'd have the summit. Wilson: It means more to him than to us. He needs it. Callaghan: His success is the recognition of the legitimacy of East Europe. He will have that if there is a CSCE Summit conference. Kissinger: I suspect they will make all reasonable concessions to have it in July. FORD ? Middle East GERALO LIBRARY President: You might be interested -- and I am grateful for your observations -- we are very disappointed in the setbacks in the Middle East. We are undertaking a broad reassessment of our Middle East policy. SEGRET/NODIS/XGDS SEGRET/NODIS/XGDS 3 I will see Sadat and Rabin in June. Sometime shortly after that, we will announce where we think most progress can be made. We are very concerned about stagnation and we think it would be very risky to permit it. The step-by-step is in suspension the other alternatives would be a comprehensive approach, using Resolutions 242 and 338. Some argue this is the proper approach. I would appreciate your observations. Wilson: You aren't planning to complete the review before you see Sadat and Rabin? President: Yes. They are part of the process. Wilson: I know Allon very well and got a good account of what they think when he came to London. I laid out to him that a stalemate is not on their side. There were different accounts -- Israeli and Egyptian of what transpired. They feel they made an offer -- I thought it was like a free kick after the game was over. I gather they haven't offered anything since. Kissinger: No, we have asked four times if they had anything more to say. At no time have they deviated from their previous position. Wilson: Allon's main point to me was, how does he know Sadat will survive or that the UN force won't be vetoed? Kissinger: That negotiation is so hopelessly confused, I don't see how it can be resurrected. But Sadat had pledged non-use of force, an agreement that it would be valid until it was superseded by another agreement, that annual renewal of the UN would be automatic, and there would be a mixed Israeli-Egyptian commission to supervise the disengagement. They asked abouta Soviet veto of the UN force, but we could have gotten around that. The real difficulty was between non-use of force and non-belligerency. Sadat felt that if he gave non-belligerency for the passes, he would have no leverage for further movement. Callaghan: Peace. Kissinger: What is the difference? Callaghan: We go around like squirrels in a cage on this. A comprehensive approach is certainly worth considering. But can't we resurrect it with some magic ingredient? What could Egypt put in the pot? Financial support, more on the Canal? Israel could give the passes. FUME SEGRET/NODIS/XGDS GERALD LIBRARY SECRET/NODIS/XGDS 4 Wilson: If the UN were pushed out, could there be an automatic return of Israeli troops to the passes? Kissinger: They never gave us a line, but it went through the middle of the passes. The other issue was unbroken Egyptian access to oil fields. The difference between the middle and the end of the passes is Israeli domestic politics, because it would be a zone of limited arms anyway. Egypt didn't care if they moved out of the passes, how far. But I think the Israeli government was in no condition to make an agreement in March. Wilson: That is the point. They don't have a united Cabinet at all. Kissinger: The Presidential letter was to arrive after the Cabinet decision, not to influence it. I said never again would they have a chance like that for only eight kilometers in the passes. Rabin said give us 24 hours, but that I think was because they couldn't get their propaganda organized on the Sabbath. So he said, "While we are waiting, why not ask Sadat if there was more he can offer. " Of course, Sadat said no. So there was no new Israeli offer. Wilson: That is my point. There is no real Cabinet. President: It seems to me an evident hardening. Rabin is being praised for being firm. They are generating the American Jews, and it doesn't appear to me there is any flexibility in the step-by-step. Wilson: I have heard stories about horrible infighting in the Cabinet. I spoke to our Jews -- very frankly -- and I said there was a crisis of con- fidence between the U.S. and Israel. I think they are worried -- not only can Sadat survive, but is there an Israeli Cabinet? Callaghan: Then is there an alternatave Cabinet which can be built? Is there a good movement? If it is, and the Israelis can't move, can't you get Egypt to move? Turn the heat on the Egyptians. They need economic help; they could let Israeli ships through the Canal. Kissinger: Our Ambassador -- who is very sharp -- felt that Sadat had already gone too far for his domestic situation. Now we have a Syrian problem. I think one reason Israel turned us down is because they are not willing to move on the Golan. FORD & SEGRET/NODIS/XGDS SECRET/NODIS/XGDS 5 Callaghan: Our Ambassador thinks Sadat may fall because of the economic situation. Wilson: Is one of the options an ultimate guarantee by the superpowers and others, so there would be no UN veto? Is that ruled out? President: I wouldn't rule anything out but I don't know that that is the most attractive. Wilson: I know we want to keep the Soviets out and that is a problem. Kissinger: We might have a real problem getting an American guarantee through Congress. It would be difficult if we had to explain in detail when we would or would not intervene. President: There is a very different and difficult situation in Congress. It is not the way it was, even with respect to aid. Callaghan: Maybe you have to put it all on the table, instead of being kicked around as the middleman. Wilson: Would Geneva ever happen? Kissinger: It would be a nightmare. Having the Egyptians and the Syrians together, it reduces the flexibility of both; then you have the problem of the PLO, etc. Callaghan: Couldn't you make it a condition only to meet for four days and then go to subcommittees? Kissinger: The Soviets are so rigid and legalistic that they would produce a stalemate even if they wanted to be helpful. Callaghan: I think you must go back to the step-by-step. Kissinger: Let's see what the President sees in the meetings. Callaghan: We would welcome knowing before your public announcement. Kissinger: We had told the Israelisthe minimum terms on which Sadat could settle. They didn't ever accept, but they led us on. Rabin told us that fai lure would be a Greek tragedy; unintentionally, people bring about the consequences they most fear, because of their natures. But he ha S gone from 38% to 80% popularity for views he doesn't support. SECRET/NODIS/XGDS SEGRET/NODIS/XGDS 6 Wilson: Yes. He as acclamation and Knesset support but it has put him more and more into a corne Callaghan: Is there anything we can do? Kissinger: Give them a sense that the President is serious, which I don't think they appreciate. President: We honestly don't think the step-by-step is feasible except under the umbrella of a comprehensive proposal. Kissinger: Unless one side or the other changes its position. Callaghan: It is worth considering, because then we would see where we were heading. Energy, etc. Wilson: Let's talk about energy. I think we got some acceptance of our trying to bridge the consumers and producers. There wasn't total support for tearing down the IMF, etc. We have some committees set up on commodities. I would like to talk about Concorde. The Queen's visit is all set for 7-11 July. I think we are moving on energy. Callaghan: I think we won't break even the reasonable countries from the 77, but beneath that I think we can move on specific schemes -- on food energy and commodities. I think we can move them. Kissinger: I think your commodity position is very constructive. We are trying to work up a commodity position now. I hope to have it by the time of the OECD. I hope we can be responsive. President: I notice the polls indicate you will prevail on the EC poll. Wilson: I think SO. We are keeping a low profile. But the polls are unanimous that it's more than 2-1. The vote is by countries and the poll was by countries -- 2-1 in every country. SEGRET/NODIS/XGDS SECRET/NODIS/XGDS 7 President: How about the press? Wilson: It is too good. It embarrasses us. [The meeting ended] W ilsm n P1 Written HK 7 may 75 P dgnth - Cry area muses as yes, it was good License We braining forever is Busself F we appoints your laking had. W & think it is a good time To licile whatter n cut are should yo to Herainhi C It comed be any instrutive week. or/ c IBA, OECD NATO. 11 also to fin up = it on be unity cref. 3 That's right P what is your who on esci 3 Grt soul way to go. hults get from Jim detantion stiching points B Buz is wing in a haveng. Hrwantt 3 Gost inf, x wint here I think they Tred him hound story til engt Feb. C That fives us leverage. To came here bype SSUE or mise verson K We con't mest hope Sept be cover we writ h maly til them. & think later - letter on CSCE is lmg of we drut sumple he stuthing. But me Told him July. e I am mre penesiste about suity July. I dnit and his coming have in Sept & CSCE in oct. 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