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it can be assumed that POL were mainly de-
gories and the percentage which this bears to
signed for consumption by the Soviet armed
the total of refined products; as well as total
forces.
requirements by the principal consumers.
c. Requirements and Consumption of Re-
Estimates were made and checked by
fined Products, 1949; Peace.
specialists in the various fields of interest as to
The estimates of petroleum consumption by
the quantity of petroleum products needed to
the various classes of consumers in peacetime
operate the economy at the current level of
1949 was developed by considering the status
industrial activity. Use was made of such
of petroleum industry, the distribution of re-
critical indices as the growth of the tractor
fined products, the effect of the war, and the
park, ton-kilometers of freight hauled, activity
relative position of the Soviet economy in 1949.
in the machine tool industry, etc., as an indica-
TABLE VIII
REQUIREMENTS OF REFINED PRODUCTS, 1940
(Millions of Metric Tons)
the 3
270
01
Agriculture
1.2 1
4.1
.2
.4
5.9
5.9
23
Transportation Rail
.01
.5
.5
2.5
3.0
12
Transportation Motor
4.3
.2
4.5
4.5
18
Industry
.3
.3
.9
1.0
2.5
3.5
6.0 2
23
Shipping
.4
.1
.5
1.1
1.6
6
Home Use
1.7
1.7
1.0
2.7
10
Military
.6
.5
.1
1.2
.9
2.1
8
-
-
-
-
-
Total
6.4
6.1
2.0
2.3
16.8
9.0
25.8
100
1 Includes 1.086 million metric tons of ligroine.
2 Includes 700,000 metric tons for power stations.
As such, careful analysis was made as to the
tion of the general industrial growth within
minimum quantity of petroleum products that
the Soviet Union. These estimates were com-
would be required to allow for the recovery
bined with military requirements, production
of various segments of the Soviet economy.
and imports, and are shown in the tables.
Tables IX and X, which are based on the
Percentage allocations were calculated on the
foregoing considerations, show the estimated
basis of tonnage estimates.
requirements of refined products in millions
The appendices show in great detail the
of metric tons for mentioned period. They
methods and calculations employed in estimat-
include the individual products, namely, gaso-
ing the POL requirements for the various cate-
line, kerosene, diesel oil, lubricating oils, and
gories of the industrial economy, and the
residual fuel oil, for each of the principal con-
following are only a brief outline of these
sumers, including Agriculture, Transporta-
methods:
tion Rail, Transportation Motor, Industry,
(1) Agriculture.
Shipping and Home Use, as well as for Military.
In estimating the requirements for agricul-
Also shown are the totals of each product in
ture, a total of 452,000 tractors in full-time
millions of metric tons for all industrial cate-
use in 1949 is indicated. Despite the fact that
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"ocrText": "TOP SECRET\n19\nit can be assumed that POL were mainly de-\ngories and the percentage which this bears to\nsigned for consumption by the Soviet armed\nthe total of refined products; as well as total\nforces.\nrequirements by the principal consumers.\nc. Requirements and Consumption of Re-\nEstimates were made and checked by\nfined Products, 1949; Peace.\nspecialists in the various fields of interest as to\nThe estimates of petroleum consumption by\nthe quantity of petroleum products needed to\nthe various classes of consumers in peacetime\noperate the economy at the current level of\n1949 was developed by considering the status\nindustrial activity. Use was made of such\nof petroleum industry, the distribution of re-\ncritical indices as the growth of the tractor\nfined products, the effect of the war, and the\npark, ton-kilometers of freight hauled, activity\nrelative position of the Soviet economy in 1949.\nin the machine tool industry, etc., as an indica-\nTABLE VIII\nREQUIREMENTS OF REFINED PRODUCTS, 1940\n(Millions of Metric Tons)\nthe 3\n270\n01\nAgriculture\n1.2 1\n4.1\n.2\n.4\n5.9\n5.9\n23\nTransportation Rail\n.01\n.5\n.5\n2.5\n3.0\n12\nTransportation Motor\n4.3\n.2\n4.5\n4.5\n18\nIndustry\n.3\n.3\n.9\n1.0\n2.5\n3.5\n6.0 2\n23\nShipping\n.4\n.1\n.5\n1.1\n1.6\n6\nHome Use\n1.7\n1.7\n1.0\n2.7\n10\nMilitary\n.6\n.5\n.1\n1.2\n.9\n2.1\n8\n-\n-\n-\n-\n-\nTotal\n6.4\n6.1\n2.0\n2.3\n16.8\n9.0\n25.8\n100\n1 Includes 1.086 million metric tons of ligroine.\n2 Includes 700,000 metric tons for power stations.\nAs such, careful analysis was made as to the\ntion of the general industrial growth within\nminimum quantity of petroleum products that\nthe Soviet Union. These estimates were com-\nwould be required to allow for the recovery\nbined with military requirements, production\nof various segments of the Soviet economy.\nand imports, and are shown in the tables.\nTables IX and X, which are based on the\nPercentage allocations were calculated on the\nforegoing considerations, show the estimated\nbasis of tonnage estimates.\nrequirements of refined products in millions\nThe appendices show in great detail the\nof metric tons for mentioned period. They\nmethods and calculations employed in estimat-\ninclude the individual products, namely, gaso-\ning the POL requirements for the various cate-\nline, kerosene, diesel oil, lubricating oils, and\ngories of the industrial economy, and the\nresidual fuel oil, for each of the principal con-\nfollowing are only a brief outline of these\nsumers, including Agriculture, Transporta-\nmethods:\ntion Rail, Transportation Motor, Industry,\n(1) Agriculture.\nShipping and Home Use, as well as for Military.\nIn estimating the requirements for agricul-\nAlso shown are the totals of each product in\nture, a total of 452,000 tractors in full-time\nmillions of metric tons for all industrial cate-\nuse in 1949 is indicated. Despite the fact that"
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