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LORET WINE wash and 4.8 (3) UN forces within the beachhead would be subjected to constant attrition (and in the event of overt Soviet intervention, danger of annihilation). (4) The continued deployment of the Army forces of the Far East command in Korea would leave Japan more vulnerable to hostile invasion. (5) The US would be required to continue its support of several million Korean refugees. 2. A UN beachhead would have the following short-term inter- national political and psychological effects: a. There would be an avoidance of the great loss of prestige to the UN and the diminution of confidence in the US that would follow a withdrawal. b. The maintenance of a beachhead would place stresses on the UN coalition stemming from increased fear of general war, provide continued Communist propaganda opportunities arising from a conflict between the West and Asiatics, and continue European concern over the diversion of major US military strength to the Far East. C. The Chinese Communists would be prevented from achiev- ing complete success in Korea and the beachhead would provide a continued symbol of UN determination to resist aggression. d. Most Far Eastern countries would react favorably to the maintenance of a UN beachhead® In Japan, maintenance of a beach- head would be particularly advantageous with respect to negotiations leading toward a Japanese peace treaty. Those countries in South - east Asia vulnerable to an early Chinese Communist attack, however, would be apprehensive about the possibility of a general war with China while UN forces were involved in Korea, and Indonesia and Burma particularly would favor a withdrawal. - 3 - SECRET

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