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Administration Review, Goals & Priorities - First Draft of December 1977 - Memo - Charts
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142102
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document
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Administration Review, Goals & Priorities - First Draft of December 1977 - Memo - Charts
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https://catalog.archives.gov/id/142102
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Office of the Chief of Staff Files
Hamilton Jordan's Confidential Files
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Administration goals and achievements
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https://s3.amazonaws.com/NARAprodstorage/lz/presidential-libraries/carter/JC-1005/142099/cos_142099_033_03.pdf
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1977-12-01
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1977
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1977-12-01
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Administration Review, Goals & Priorities-First Draft of December 1977 Memo- Charts Folder Citation: Collection: Office of the Chief of Staff Files; Series: Hamilton Jordan's Confidential Files, Folder: Administration Review, Goals & Priorities-First Draft of December 1977 Memo-Charts; Container 33 To See Complete Finding Aid: http://www.jimmycarterlibrary.gov/library/findingaids/Chief_ofi St aff.pdf Congressional Losses to Party in the White House in Off-Year Elections TRUMAN EISENHOWER EISENHOWER KENNEDY JOHNSON NIXON FORD 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 2 1 1 1 5 5 5 12 13 18 29 House Senate 47 48 48 Congressional Support for Administration Priorities, by Party* House of Representatives 289 146 68.2% Senate 62 38 27.1% 72.9% 44.2% Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans * Based on 34 key votes in House, and 26 key votes in Senate as determined by Congressional Relations Staff Close Votes in Congress on Key Issues SENATE 62 38 Motion to table Pearson/Bentsen Amendment 43 (de-regulation) (69%) 7 Administration position won 50-46 Lost 62 38 Social Security Financing 40 Administration position won 42-41 (65%) 2 (with VP breaking tie) 62 38 Presidential Pardon of Draft Resisters 35 (57%) Administration position won 48-46 13 Democrats Republicans Close votes in Congress on key issues 289 HOUSE Motion to kill Energy Bill Administration position won 219 - 203 146 216 (75%) 289 3 Democrats Republicans Coal Conversion 146 Administration position won 221 - 198 212 (74%) 9 289 Democrats Republicans Natural Gas De-regulation 146 Administration position won 227 - 199 210 (73%) 289 17 Democrats Republicans $1.4 billion for construction of five 146 B-1 bombers 183 Administration position won 204 - 194 (63%) 21 Democrats Republicans Congressional Losses to Party in the White House in Off-Year Elections TRUMAN EISENHOWER EISENHOWER KENNEDY JOHNSON NIXON FORD 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 2 1 1 1 5 5 5 12 13 18 29 House Senate 47 48 48 Congressional Support for Administration Priorities, by Party* House of Representatives 289 146 68.2% Senate 62 38 27.1% 72.9% 44.2% Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans * Based on 34 key votes in House, and 26 key votes in Senate as determined by Congressional Relations Staff Close Votes in Congress on Key Issues SENATE 62 38 Motion to table Pearson/Bentsen Amendment 43 (de-regulation) (69%) 7 Administration position won 50-46 lost 62 38 Social Security Financing 40 Administration position won 42-41 (65%) 2 (with VP breaking tie) 62 38 Presidential Pardon of Draft Resisters 35 (57%) Administration position won 48-46 13 Democrats Republicans Close votes in Congress on key issues 289 HOUSE Motion to kill Energy Bill Administration position won 219 - 203 146 216 (75%) 289 3 Democrats Republicans Coal Conversion 146 Administration position won 221 - 198 212 (74%) 9 289 Democrats Republicans Natural Gas De-regulation 146 Administration position won 227 - 199 210 (73%) 289 17 Democrats Republicans $1.4 billion for construction of five 146 B-1 bombers 183 Administration position won 204 - 194 (63%) 21 Democrats Republicans 120 105 90 75 POLITICAL ANALYSIS OF SENATE SEATS - 1978 WASHINGTON MONTANA 45 Olympia 78 MAINE NORTH DAKOTA Lake 79 MINNESOTA Superior OREGON DAHO 88 83 Helena Augusta F 39 Bismarck VT © 73 MICHIGAN SDo © WISCONSIN Lake Montpelier SOUTH DAKOTA Huron WYOMING 79 Lake Boise 30 St. Paul Lake PACIFICS Michigan NEW Ontario YORK Albany MASS Prokider Boston 64 CALIFORNIA NEVADA Pierre 48 R.I.P. R.I Madison IOWA © Lake Lansing NE BRASKA 92 PENNSYLVANIA 87 Erie OCEAN UTAH z ILLINOIS 33 Des Moines 68 INDIANA OHIO Cheyenne Harrisburg 64 Sacramento Dover Carson City Lake City COLORADO Lincoln, MD DEL MISSOURI Indianapolis Columbus Annapolis 85 Springfield © TON D.C. Denver KANSAS 74 VIRGINIA ATLANTIC 61 Topeka Charleston Frankfort 5 23Richmond® Jefferson City OCEAN ARIZONA KENTUCKY 69 NEW MEXICO NORTH CAROLINA Raleigh OKLAHOMA TENNESSEE 33 42 21 ARKANSAS Nashville TEXAS 50 Santa Fe Oklahoma City 62 SOUTH CAROLINA MISS ALABAMA 17 GEORGIA Columbia Phoenix Little Rock 59 79 Atlanta 46 58 30 OUISIANA Jackson ® 30 Montgomery 59 120 MEXICO FLORIDA Tallahassee Austin Baton Rouge ARCTIC OCEAN U.S.S.R. 105 160 D BAHAMA CANADA O ALASKA GULF OF MEXICO ISLANDS BERING SEA 36 Honolulu 60 HAWAII (principal islands) SAFE SAFE DEMOCRATIC TOSS-UP REPUBLICAN Juneau 20- PACIFIC OCEAN LEANING LEANING 0 MILES 600 0 MILES 150 DEMOCRATIC REPUBLICAN 180 PACIFIC OCEAN 150 160 155 Figures represent % of support to Administration on 26 key issues by incumbent Senators. 55308 3-67 Congressional Losses to Party in the White House in Off-Year Elections TRUMAN EISENHOWER EISENHOWER KENNEDY JOHNSON NIXON FORD 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 2 1 1 1 5 5 5 12 13 18 29 House Senate 47 48 48 Congressional Support for Administration Priorities, by Party* House of Representatives 289 146 68.2% Senate 62 38 27.1% 72.9% 44.2% Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans * Based on 34 key votes in House, and 26 key votes in Senate as determined by Congressional Relations Staff Close Votes in Congress on Key Issues SENATE 62 38 Motion to table Pearson/Bentsen Amendment 43 (de-regulation) (69%) 7 Administration position won 50-46 62 38 Social Security Financing 40 Administration position won 42-41 (65%) 2 (with VP breaking tie) 62 38 Presidential Pardon of Draft Resisters 35 (57%) Administration position won 48-46 13 Democrats Republicans DEGREE OF SUPPORT FOR KEY ADMINISTRATION ISSUES AMONG SENATORS UP FOR RE-ELECTION IN 1978* Clark, Iowa Democrat 92.0% Pearson, Kansas Republican 60.9% Biden, Delaware Democrat 91.3 Eastland, Mississippi Democrat 59.1 Anderson, Minnesota Democrat 87.5 Johnston, Louisiana Democrat 59.1 Pell, Rhode Island Democrat 87.0 Nunn, Georgia Democrat 57.7 Haskell, Colorado Democrat 85.0 Baker, Tennessee Republican 50.0 McIntyre, New Hampshire Democrat 82.6 Griffin, Michigan Republican 47.6 Hathaway, Maine Democrat 79.2 Thurmond, South Carolina Republican 45.8 Abourezk, South Dakota Democrat 78.9 Domenici, New Mexico Republican 42.3 Sparkman, Alabama Democrat 78.9 McClure, Idaho Republican 39.1 Metcalfe, Montana Democrat 78.3 Stevens, Alaska Republican 36.4 Randolph, West Virginia Democrat 74.1 Curtis, Nebraska Republican 33.3 Hatfield, Oregon Republican 72.7 Helms, North Carolina Republican 33.3 Huddleston, Kentucky Democrat 69.2 Hansen, Wyoming Republican 29.6 Percy, Illinois Republican 68.2 Scott, Virginia Republican 23.1 Case, New Jersey Republican 64.0 Bartlett, Oklahoma Republican 21.1 Brooke, Massachusetts Republican 64.0 Tower, Texas Republican 16.7 McClellan, Arkansas Democrat 62.5 * Based on analysis by Congressional Relations Staff on 26 key issues. 353 Domestic Issues As Reported By The National Media* Domestic Priorities of the Carter Administration 70 Other Reported Issues/Topics 38 27 27 23 22 21 25 29 15 17 19 19 23 15 16 5.5 Economy Reform Social Budget Security Blacks Minorities Breeder Cargo Reactor Farm Hospital Policy Domestic Costs Travel Labor Reform Urban Policy Veteransjects Water *Cumulative minutes of coverage of three major network news programs. From detailed analysis Jan.-Oct. 1977. Domestic Priorities of the Carter Administration* Energy Economy Reorganization 100 40 40 80 20 20 60 0 0 (Minutes of Coverage) FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO Social Security Welfare Reform Budget 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO *Detailed monthly analysis of network evening news (Jan - Oct 1977) Foreign Policy Issues As Reported By The National Media* 222 Foreign Policy Priorities of the Carter Administration 106 Other Reported Items 73 63 51 48 33 38 24 31 30 15 15 Human Rights Mideast Panama Canal SALT/ Soviets South Africa B-1 Bomber Foreign Cuba Visitors Korea Neutronclear Bomb Test Foreign Ban Travel Vielnam *Cumulative minutes of coverage of three major network news programs. From detailed analysis Jan.-Oct. 1977. Foreign Policy Priorities of the Carter Administration* Panama Canal SALT/Soviets 40 40 Mideast 80 20 20 60 (Minutes of Coverage) FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO 40 Human Rights South Africa 40 40 20 20 20 FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO *Detailed monthly analysis of network evening news (Jan - Oct 1977) Summary of Presidential Meetings, Jan-Oct 1977 Domestic/Political* hours Members of Congress 162 Governors, Mayors & Local Officials 21 Other Political Leaders 18 Special Interest Groups 35 (includes Labor, Blacks, Hispanics, Women, Consumers, Environmentalists, Ethnic Groups, etc) 236 Foreign Policy/Defense** Foreign Heads of State (received in U.S.) 141 Meetings with Heads of State Abroad (London) 40 Other Foreign Officials 54 Separate & Group Meetings with Vance, Brzezinski, & Brown on Foreign Policy/ Defense Matters 156 391 * Excludes private meetings with White House Staff on domestic issues ** Excludes daily Brzezinski briefings and meetings with NSC staff on Foreign Policy matters Meetings between US Presidents and Foreign Chiefs of State/Heads of Government - in first year of office * 68 43 43 32 21 John F. Lyndon B. Richard M. Gerald R. Jimmy Carter Kennedy Johnson Nixon Ford * If scheduled foreign trip takes place this year, this number will increase to 71. Meetings between US Presidents and Foreign Chiefs of State/Heads of Government - in first year of office * 68 43 43 32 21 John F. Lyndon B. Richard M. Gerald R. Jimmy Carter Kennedy Johnson Nixon Ford * If scheduled foreign trip takes place this year, this number will increase to 71. The American People What they expected of President Carter How President Carter actually spent his time How they perceive President Carter Domestic Issues Foreign Policy / Defense Cambridge Survey % of Media Coverage % of Meeting Time In January 1977, the American people were asked to list their top four areas of concern for President Carter to work on - their response:* Jobs/Unemployment 78% Tax Reform 52% Stimulate Business & Economy 50% Welfare System Reform 44% New Energy Policy 44% Restore Trust in Govt. 38% Fight Crime 22% Reduce Defense Budget 18% Health Care 16% Reorganize Fed. Govt. 14% Reshape Foreign Policy 14% Domestic Problems of Cities 13% Reduce Nuclear Proliferation Foreign 12% Race Relations 11% *Source: Cambridge Survey Research. January, 1977 Survey SETTING PROGRAM AND POLICY PRIORITIES FOR THE CARTER ADMINISTRATION PROGRAM/POLICY PUBLIC CONGRESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT PRESENTATION/EDUCATION PLANS COORDINATION PRESIDENTIAL Subject matter designated by Pres- Public announcement by President White House Congressional Relations Designation of lead Agency and INITIATIVE ident as "Presidential Initiative" of initiative Staff has primary responsibility White House Staff Coordinator Options paper presented to the Continuing statements of focus and Coordinates lobbying efforts of Formation of Working Group to President support affected agencies coordinate White House/Agency activities Briefing(s) with President, affected Use of maximum public relations Consultation with Congress during agency heads and White House tools i. e. major speech, fireside chat, program development Development of political work plan Staff to discuss options etc. for approval by the President Presidential involvement at briefings Decision made and at critical stages of Congressional debate Cabinet involved when necessary ADMINISTRATION Subject matter designated by White Joint announcement by President and Agency Congressional liaison has Agency workplan prepared and INITIATIVE House as "Administration Initiative" Agency head primary responsibility approved by agency head Agency-White House reviews options Agency head has primary responsibility Limited White House involvement White House Staff (Domestic and makes final recommendation to for public education Council or NSC) reviews and President Presidential involvement only in an approves work plan Very limited Presidential involvement emergency situation when recom- President reviews and approves final mended by White House Congress- program ional Relations Staff AGENCY Subject matter designated by Agency Program announced by Agency head Agency Congressional liaison has Internally as directed by Agency INITIATIVE head as "Agency Initiative" exclusive responsibility head No White House involvement Agency head makes program decisions No White House involvement Final program reviewed by White House to insure compatibility with Adminis- tration policy and goals How President Carter Spent His Time (Jan 77-Oct 77) As Reported by the Media* Other 323 min. 15.4% Domestic Goals 926 minutes & Programs 44.3% 842 minutes 40.3% Foreign Policy- National Defense *Detailed analysis of network evening news (Jan - Oct 1977) Key Carter Constituent Groups* 85% 82% 67% 68% General 58% 55% Election Support Job Performance DEMOCRATS BLACKS UNION MEMBERS 71% 65% 68% 60% 56% 41% JEWS SOUTHERNERS HISPANICS *Based on Cambridge Survey Research, Post Election Analysis & October, 1977 National Survey Foreign Policy & National Security Decision Making Process PRESENTATION OF PROBLEMS & INFORMATION DECISION MAKING IMPLEMENTATION STATE Secretary's daily report Important diplomatic messages Weekly breakfast meeting with President Frequent direct communication with President Notations on State, NSC, CIA, STATE and Defense reports NSC Brzezinski daily briefing Oral directives & decisions NSC NSC paperwork and communications to principals NSC meetings PRESIDENT PRM process Decisions made at scheduled Frequent unscheduled meetings with Brzezinski & group meetings Defense Defense Formal decisions on NSC/State Frequent communications with the Secretary documents & PRM's CIA Written and oral reports CIA Daily intelligence report Weekly intelligence meeting with President Special reports as requested and/or needed Close votes in Congress on key issues 289 HOUSE Motion to kill Energy Bill Administration position won 219 - 203 146 216 (75%) 289 3 Democrats Republicans Coal Conversion 146 Administration position won 221 - 198 212 (74%) 9 289 Democrats Republicans Natural Gas De-regulation 146 Administration position won 227 - 199 210 (73%) 289 17 Democrats Republicans $1.4 billion for construction of five 146 B-1 bombers 183 Administration position won 204 - 194 (63%) 21 Democrats Republicans Constituent Plan for 1978 Primary Total Democratic State Business Environ- Activity Activity Blacks Labor Hispanics Jews Leaders Southerners Friends Leaders Women Consumers mentalists Hours Major Speech or 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Address Convention White House 2 2 1 1 6 Dinner White House Informal Social 1 1 4 6 Event Picnic/Reception Meeting 4 6 2 3 2 6 2 2 2 With the 19.5 President (4 x 4) (6 X 7 4.2) (2 .5 1) (3x. 7 2.1) (2 .5 1) (6 .7 = 4.2) (2 X .5 1) (2 X .5 1) (2 .5 1) Special Constituent 2 1 2 5 Press Briefing Total Cumulative Group 9 7.2 3 5.1 4.0 1.0 4.0 5.2 2.0 1.0 1.0 Total Hours 42.5 SETTING PROGRAM AND POLICY PRIORITIES FOR THE CARTER ADMINISTRATION PROGRAM/POLICY PUBLIC CONGRESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT PRESENTATION/EDUCATION PLANS COORDINATION PRESIDENTIAL Subject matter designated by Pres- Public announcement by President White House Congressional Relations Designation of lead Agency and INITIATIVE ident as "Presidential Initiative" of initiative Staff has primary responsibility White House Staff Coordinator Options paper presented to the Continuing statements of focus and Coordinates lobbying efforts of Formation of Working Group to President support affected agencies coordinate White House/Agency activities Briefing(s) with President, affected Use of maximum public relations Consultation with Congress during agency heads and White House tools i. e. major speech, fireside chat, program development Development of political work plan Staff to discuss options etc. for approval by the President Presidential involvement at briefings Decision made and at critical stages of Congressional debate Cabinet involved when necessary ADMINISTRATION Subject matter designated by White Joint announcement by President and Agency Congressional liaison has Agency workplan prepared and INITIATIVE House as "Administration Initiative" Agency head primary responsibility approved by agency head Agency-White House reviews options Agency head has primary responsibility Limited White House involvement White House Staff (Domestic and makes final recommendation to for public education Council or NSC) reviews and President Presidential involvement only in an approves work plan Very limited Presidential involvement emergency situation when recom- President reviews and approves final mended by White House Congress- program ional Relations Staff AGENCY Subject matter designated by Agency Program announced by Agency head Agency Congressional liaison has Internally as directed by Agency INITIATIVE head as "Agency Initiative" exclusive responsibility head No White House involvement Agency head makes program decisions No White House involvement Final program reviewed by White House to insure compatibility with Adminis- tration policy and goals Support for Foreign Policy Initiatives of the Carter Administration * Percent of Support 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Neutron Human Bomb Rights Middle East Policy Panama Canal Treaty Amnesty Policy South African Policy Korean Policy B-1 Decision Vietnam Policy * Based on Recent Survey by Cambridge Survey Research In January 1977, the American people were asked to list their top four areas of concern for President Carter to work on - their response:* Jobs/Unemployment 78% Tax Reform 52% Stimulate Business & Economy 50% Welfare System Reform 44% New Energy Policy 44% Restore Trust in Govt. 38% Fight Crime 22% Reduce Defense Budget 18% Health Care 16% Reorganize Fed. Govt. 14% Reshape Foreign Policy 14% Domestic Problems of Cities 13% Foreign Reduce Nuclear Proliferation 12% Race Relations 11% *Source: Cambridge Survey Research. January, 1977 Survey In January 1977, the American people were asked to list their top four areas of concern for President Carter to work on their response:* Jobs/Unemployment 78% Tax Reform 52% Stimulate Business & Economy 50% Welfare System Reform 44% New Energy Policy 44% Restore Trust in Govt. 38% Fight Crime 22% Reduce Defense Budget 18% Health Care 16% Reorganize Fed. Govt. 14% Reshape Foreign Policy 14% Domestic Problems of Cities 13% Foreign Reduce Nuclear Proliferation 12% Race Relations 11% *Source: Cambridge Survey Research. January, 1977 Survey 353 Domestic Issues As Reported By The National Media* Domestic Priorities of the Carter Administration 70 Other Reported Issues/Topics 38 27 27 23 22 21 25 29 15 17 19 19 23 15 16 5.5 Economy Reform Budget Social Security Blacks Minorities Breedergo Reaclor Farm Hospital Stic Labor Policy Costs Travel Reform Policy Veteransjects Urban Water * Cumulative minutes of coverage of three major network news programs. From detailed analysis Jan.-Oct. 1977. 353 Domestic Issues As Reported By The National Media* Domestic Priorities of the Carter Administration 70 Other Reported Issues/Topics 38 27 27 23 22 21 17 19 19 23 25 29 15 15 16 5.5 Economy Reform Budget Social Security Blacks Minorities Breedergo Reactor and Reform Policy Policy C Farm Joqel Veterans Water Projects *Cumulative minutes of coverage of three major network news programs. From detailed analysis Jan.-Oct. 1977. Domestic Priorities of the Carter Administration* Energy Economy Reorganization 100 40 40 80 20 20 60 0 0 (Minutes of Coverage) FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO Social Security Welfare Reform Budget 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO *Detailed monthly analysis of network evening news (Jan - Oct 1977) Domestic Priorities of the Carter Administration* Energy Economy Reorganization 100 40 40 80 20 20 60 0 0 (Minutes of Coverage) FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO Social Security Welfare Reform Budget 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO *Detailed monthly analysis of network evening news (Jan - Oct 1977) Foreign Policy Issues As Reported By The National Media* 222 Foreign Policy Priorities of the Carter Administration 106 Other Reported Items 73 63 51 48 33 38 24 31 30 15 15 Human Rights Mideast Panama Canal SALT Soviets South Africa B-1 Bomber Foreign Cuba Visitors Korea Neutronclear Bomb Test Foreign Ban Travel Vietnam *Cumulative minutes of coverage of three major network news programs. From detailed analysis Jan.-Oct. 1977. Foreign Policy Issues As Reported By The National Media* 222 Foreign Policy Priorities of the Carter Administration 106 Other Reported Items 73 63 51 48 33 38 24 31 30 15 15 Human Rights Mideast Panama Canal SALT Soviets South Africa B. B.1 Bomber Foreign Cuba Visitors Korea Neutron Nuclear Bomb Test Foreign Ban Travel Vietnam * Cumulative minutes of coverage of three major network news programs. From detailed analysis Jan.-Oct. 1977. Foreign Policy Priorities of the Carter Administration* Panama Canal SALT/Soviets 40 40 Mideast 80 20 20 60 (Minutes of Coverage) FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO 40 Human Rights South Africa 40 40 20 20 20 FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO *Detailed monthly analysis of network evening news (Jan - Oct 1977) Foreign Policy Priorities of the Carter Administration* Panama Canal SALT/Soviets 40 40 Mideast 80 20 20 60 (Minutes of Coverage) FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO 40 Human Rights South Africa 40 40 20 20 20 FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO FMAMJJASO *Detailed monthly analysis of network evening news (Jan Oct 1977) How President Carter Spent His Time (Jan 77-Oct 77) As Reported by the Media* Other 323 min. 15.4% Domestic Goals 926 minutes & Programs 44.3% 842 minutes 40.3% Foreign Policy- National Defense *Detailed analysis of network evening news (Jan - Oct 1977) How President Carter Spent His Time (Jan 77-Oct 77) As Reported by the Media* Other 323 min. 15.4% Domestic Goals 926 minutes & Programs 44.3% 842 minutes 40.3% Foreign Policy- National Defense *Detailed analysis of network evening news (Jan - Oct 1977) Summary of Presidential Meetings, Jan-Oct 1977 Domestic/Political* hours Members of Congress 162 Governors, Mayors & Local Officials 21 Other Political Leaders 18 Special Interest Groups 35 (includes Labor, Blacks, Hispanics, Women, Consumers, Environmentalists, Ethnic Groups, etc) 236 Foreign Policy/Defense** Foreign Heads of State (received in U.S.) 141 Meetings with Heads of State Abroad (London) 40 Other Foreign Officials 54 Separate & Group Meetings with Vance, Brzezinski, & Brown on Foreign Policy/ Defense Matters 156 391 * Excludes private meetings with White House Staff on domestic issues ** Excludes daily Brzezinski briefings and meetings with NSC staff on Foreign Policy matters Summary of Presidential Meetings, Jan-Oct 1977 Domestic/Political* hours Members of Congress 162 Governors, Mayors & Local Officials 21 Other Political Leaders 18 Special Interest Groups 35 (includes Labor, Blacks, Hispanics, Women, Consumers, Environmentalists, Ethnic Groups, etc) 236 Foreign Policy/Defense** Foreign Heads of State (received in U.S.) 141 Meetings with Heads of State Abroad (London) 40 Other Foreign Officials 54 Separate & Group Meetings with Vance, Brzezinski, & Brown on Foreign Policy/ Defense Matters 156 391 * Excludes private meetings with White House Staff on domestic issues ** Excludes daily Brzezinski briefings and meetings with NSC staff on Foreign Policy matters Meetings between US Presidents and Foreign Chiefs of State/Heads of Government — in first year of office * 68 43 43 32 21 John F. Lyndon B. Richard M. Gerald R. Jimmy Carter Kennedy Johnson Nixon Ford * If scheduled foreign trip takes place this year, this number will increase to 71. Meetings between US Presidents and Foreign Chiefs of State/Heads of Government - in first year of office * 68 43 43 32 21 John F. Lyndon B. Richard M. Gerald R. Jimmy Carter Kennedy Johnson Nixon Ford * If scheduled foreign trip takes place this year, this number will increase to 71. The American People What they expected of President Carter How President Carter actually spent his time How they perceive President Carter Domestic Issues Foreign Policy / Defense Cambridge Survey % of Media Coverage % of Meeting Time The American People What they expected of President Carter How President Carter actually spent his time How they perceive President Carter Domestic Issues Foreign Policy / Defense Cambridge Survey % of Media Coverage % of Meeting Time Congressional Support for Administration Priorities, by Party* House of Representatives 289 146 68.2% Senate 62 38 27.1% 72.9% 44.2% Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans * Based on 34 key votes in House, and 26 key votes in Senate as determined by Congressional Relations Staff Congressional Support for Administration Priorities, by Party* House of Representatives 289 146 68.2% Senate 62 38 27.1% 72.9% 44.2% Democrats Republicans Democrats Republicans * Based on 34 key votes in House, and 26 key votes in Senate as determined by Congressional Relations Staff Close votes in Congress on key issues 289 HOUSE Motion to kill Energy Bill Administration position won 219 - 203 146 216 (75%) 289 3 Democrats Republicans Coal Conversion 146 Administration position won 221 - 198 212 (74%) 9 289 Democrats Republicans Natural Gas De-regulation 146 Administration position won 227 - 199 210 (73%) 289 17 Democrats Republicans $1.4 billion for construction of five 146 B-1 bombers 183 Administration position won 204 - 194 (63%) 21 Democrats Republicans Close votes in Congress on key issues 289 HOUSE Motion to kill Energy Bill Administration position won 219 - 203 146 216 (75%) 289 3 Democrats Republicans Coal Conversion 146 Administration position won 221 - 198 212 (74%) 9 289 Democrats Republicans Natural Gas De-regulation 146 Administration position won 227 - 199 210 (73%) 289 17 Democrats Republicans $1.4 billion for construction of five 146 B-1 bombers 183 Administration position won 204 ⑉ 194 (63%) 21 Democrats Republicans Close Votes in Congress on Key Issues SENATE 62 38 Motion to table Pearson/Bentsen Amendment 43 (de-regulation) (69%) 7 Administration position won 50-46 62 38 Social Security Financing 40 Administration position won 42-41 (65%) 2 (with VP breaking tie) 62 38 Presidential Pardon of Draft Resisters 35 (57%) Administration position won 48-46 13 Democrats Republicans Close Votes in Congress on Key Issues SENATE 62 38 Motion to table Pearson/Bentsen Amendment 43 (de-regulation) (69%) 7 Administration position won 50-46 62 38 Social Security Financing 40 Administration position won 42-41 (65%) 2 (with VP breaking tie) 62 38 Presidential Pardon of Draft Resisters 35 (57%) Administration position won 48-46 13 Democrats Republicans Congressional Losses to Party in the White House in Off-Year Elections TRUMAN EISENHOWER EISENHOWER KENNEDY JOHNSON NIXON FORD 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 2 1 1 1 5 5 5 12 13 18 29 House Senate 47 48 48 Congressional Losses to Party in the White House in Off-Year Elections TRUMAN EISENHOWER EISENHOWER KENNEDY JOHNSON NIXON FORD 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 2 1 1 1 5 5 5 12 13 18 29 House Senate 47 48 48 DEGREE OF SUPPORT FOR KEY ADMINISTRATION ISSUES AMONG SENATORS UP FOR RE-ELECTION IN 1978* Clark, Iowa Democrat 92.0% Pearson, Kansas Republican 60.9% Biden, Delaware Democrat 91.3 Eastland, Mississippi Democrat 59.1 Anderson, Minnesota Democrat 87.5 Johnston, Louisiana Democrat 59.1 Pell, Rhode Island Democrat 87.0 Nunn, Georgia Democrat 57.7 Haskell, Colorado Democrat 85.0 Baker, Tennessee Republican 50.0 McIntyre, New Hampshire Democrat 82.6 Griffin, Michigan Republican 47.6 Hathaway, Maine Democrat 79.2 Thurmond, South Carolina Republican 45.8 Abourezk, South Dakota Democrat 78.9 Domenici, New Mexico Republican 42.3 Sparkman, Alabama Democrat 78.9 McClure, Idaho Republican 39.1 Metcalfe, Montana Democrat 78.3 Stevens, Alaska Republican 36.4 Randolph, West Virginia Democrat 74.1 Curtis, Nebraska Republican 33.3 Hatfield, Oregon Republican 72.7 Helms, North Carolina Republican 33.3 Huddleston, Kentucky Democrat 69.2 Hansen, Wyoming Republican 29.6 Percy, Illinois Republican 68.2 Scott, Virginia Republican 23.1 Case, New Jersey Republican 64.0 Bartlett, Oklahoma Republican 21.1 Brooke, Massachusetts Republican 64.0 Tower, Texas Republican 16.7 McClellan, Arkansas Democrat 62.5 * Based on analysis by Congressional Relations Staff on 26 key issues. DEGREE OF SUPPORT FOR KEY ADMINISTRATION ISSUES AMONG SENATORS UP FOR RE-ELECTION IN 1978* Clark, Iowa Democrat 92.0% Pearson, Kansas Republican 60.9% Biden, Delaware Democrat 91.3 Eastland, Mississippi Democrat 59.1 Anderson, Minnesota Democrat 87.5 Johnston, Louisiana Democrat 59.1 Pell, Rhode Island Democrat 87.0 Nunn, Georgia Democrat 57.7 Haskell, Colorado Democrat 85.0 Baker, Tennessee Republican 50.0 McIntyre, New Hampshire Democrat 82.6 Griffin, Michigan Republican 47.6 Hathaway, Maine Democrat 79.2 Thurmond, South Carolina Republican 45.8 Abourezk, South Dakota Democrat 78.9 Domenici, New Mexico Republican 42.3 Sparkman, Alabama Democrat 78.9 McClure, Idaho Republican 39.1 Metcalfe, Montana Democrat 78.3 Stevens, Alaska Republican 36.4 Randolph, West Virginia Democrat 74.1 Curtis, Nebraska Republican 33.3 Hatfield, Oregon Republican 72.7 Helms, North Carolina Republican 33.3 Huddleston, Kentucky Democrat 69.2 Hansen, Wyoming Republican 29.6 Percy, Illinois Republican 68.2 Scott, Virginia Republican 23.1 Case, New Jersey Republican 64.0 Bartlett, Oklahoma Republican 21.1 Brooke, Massachusetts Republican 64.0 Tower, Texas Republican 16.7 McClellan, Arkansas Democrat 62.5 * Based on analysis by Congressional Relations Staff on 26 key issues. Recommended Early Presidential Campaign Trips, 1978 WASH MAINE MONT N. DAK VT. MINN. OREG. 1 IDAHO WIS N.Y. S. DAK CONN MICH R.I WYO PA IOWA NEBR OHIO MD NEV. DEL IND ILL UTAH CALIF COLO W VA VA. KANS MO. KY. N.C TENN OKLA ARIZ ARK S.C. N. MEX GA. ALA MISS. TEX LA FLA. Recommended Early Presidential Campaign Trips, 1978 WASH MAINE MONT N. DAK VT. MINN. OREG. 1 IDAHO WIS. N.Y. S. DAK. CONN MICH R.I WYO PA. IOWA. NEBR. OHIO MT NEV. DEL I. IND ILL UTAH CALIF COLO W.VA VA KANS. MO. KY. N.C. TENN. OKLA. ARIZ. ARK. S.C. N. MEX ALA. GA. MISS. TEX. LA. FLA. SETTING PROGRAM AND POLICY PRIORITIES FOR THE CARTER ADMINISTRATION PROGRAM/POLICY PUBLIC CONGRESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT PRESENTATION/EDUCATION PLANS COORDINATION PRESIDENTIAL Subject matter designated by Pres- Public announcement by President White House Congressional Relations Designation of lead Agency and INITIATIVE ident as "Presidential Initiative" of initiative Staff has primary responsibility White House Staff Coordinator Options paper presented to the Continuing statements of focus and Coordinates lobbying efforts of Formation of Working Group to President support affected agencies coordinate White House/Agency activities Briefing(s) with President, affected Use of maximum public relations Consultation with Congress during agency heads and White House tools i. e. major speech, fireside chat, program development Development of political work plan Staff to discuss options etc. for approval by the President Presidential involvement at briefings Decision made and at critical stages of Congressional debate Cabinet involved when necessary ADMINISTRATION Subject matter designated by White Joint announcement by President and Agency Congressional liaison has Agency workplan prepared and INITIATIVE House as "Administration Initiative" Agency head primary responsibility approved by agency head Agency-White House reviews options Agency head has primary responsibility Limited White House involvement White House Staff (Domestic and makes final recommendation to for public education Council or NSC) reviews and President Presidential involvement only in an approves work plan Very limited Presidential involvement emergency situation when recom- President reviews and approves final mended by White House Congress- program ional Relations Staff AGENCY Subject matter designated by Agency Program announced by Agency head Agency Congressional liaison has Internally as directed by Agency INITIATIVE head as "Agency Initiative" exclusive responsibility head No White House involvement Agency head makes program decisions No White House involvement Final program reviewed by White House to insure compatibility with Adminis- tration policy and goals SETTING PROGRAM AND POLICY PRIORITIES FOR THE CARTER ADMINISTRATION PROGRAM/POLICY PUBLIC CONGRESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT PRESENTATION/EDUCATION PLANS COORDINATION PRESIDENTIAL Subject matter designated by Pres- Public announcement by President White House Congressional Relations Designation of lead Agency and INITIATIVE ident as "Presidential Initiative" of initiative Staff has primary responsibility White House Staff Coordinator Options paper presented to the Continuing statements of focus and Coordinates lobbying efforts of Formation of Working Group to President support affected agencies coordinate White House/Agency activities Briefing(s) with President, affected Use of maximum public relations Consultation with Congress during agency heads and White House tools i. e. major speech, fireside chat, program development Development of political work plan Staff to discuss options etc. for approval by the President Presidential involvement at briefings Decision made and at critical stages of Congressional debate Cabinet involved when necessary ADMINISTRATION Subject matter designated by White Joint announcement by President and Agency Congressional liaison has Agency workplan prepared and INITIATIVE House as "Administration Initiative" Agency head primary responsibility approved by agency head Agency-White House reviews options Agency head has primary responsibility Limited White House involvement White House Staff (Domestic and makes final recommendation to for public education Council or NSC) reviews and President Presidential involvement only in an approves work plan Very limited Presidential involvement emergency situation when recom- President reviews and approves final mended by White House Congress- program ional Relations Staff AGENCY Subject matter designated by Agency Program announced by Agency head Agency Congressional liaison has Internally as directed by Agency INITIATIVE head as "Agency Initiative" exclusive responsibility head No White House involvement Agency head makes program decisions No White House involvement Final program reviewed by White House to insure compatibility with Adminis- tration policy and goals Foreign Policy & National Security Decision Making Process PRESENTATION OF PROBLEMS & INFORMATION DECISION MAKING IMPLEMENTATION STATE Secretary's daily report Important diplomatic messages Weekly breakfast meeting with President Frequent direct communication with President Notations on State, NSC, CIA, STATE and Defense reports NSC Brzezinski daily briefing Oral directives & decisions NSC NSC paperwork and communications to principals NSC meetings PRESIDENT PRM process Decisions made at scheduled Defense Frequent unscheduled meetings with Brzezinski & group meetings Defense Formal decisions on NSC/State Frequent communications with the Secretary documents & PRM's CIA Written and oral reports CIA Daily intelligence report Weekly intelligence meeting with President Special reports as requested and/or needed Key Carter Constituent Groups* 85% 82% 67% 68% General 58% 55% Election Support Job Performance DEMOCRATS BLACKS UNION MEMBERS 71% 65% 68% 60% 56% 41% JEWS SOUTHERNERS HISPANICS *Based on Cambridge Survey Research, Post Election Analysis & October, 1977 National Survey Constituent Plan for 1978 Primary Total Democratic State Business Environ- Activity Activity Blacks Labor Hispanics Jews Leaders Southerners Friends Leaders Women Consumers mentalists Hours Major Speech or 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Address Convention White House 2 2 1 1 6 Dinner White House Informal Social 1 1 4 6 Event Picnic/Reception Meeting 4 6 2 3 2 6 2 2 2 With the 19.5 President (4 X 4) (6 X .7 4.2) (2 X .5 1) (3 X .7 2.1) (2 X .5 1) (6 X .7 4.2) I (2 X .5 1) (2 X .5 1) (2 .5 = 1) Special Constituent 2 1 2 5 Press Briefing Total Cumulative Group 9 7.2 3 5.1 4.0 1.0 4.0 5.2 2.0 1.0 1.0 Total Hours 42.5 Constituent Plan for 1978 Primary Total Democratic State Business Environ- Activity Activity Blacks Labor Hispanics Jews Leaders Southerners Friends Leaders Women Consumers mentalists Hours Major Speech or 1 1 1 1 1 1 Address 6 Convention White House 2 2 1 1 6 Dinner White House Informal Social 1 1 4 6 Event Picnic/Reception Meeting 4 6 2 3 2 6 2 2 2 With the 19.5 President (4 4) (6 X .7 = 4.2) (2 X .5 1) (3 X 7 2.1) (2 X .5 1) (6 X .7 = 4.2) (2 X .5 1) (2 X .5 1) (2 X .5 1) Special Constituent 2 1 2 5 Press Briefing Total Cumulative Group 9 7.2 3 5.1 4.0 1.0 4.0 5.2 2.0 1.0 1.0 Total Hours 42.5 Support for Foreign Policy Initiatives of the Carter Administration * Percent of Support 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Neutron Human Bomb Rights Middle East Policy Panama Canal Treaty Amnesty Policy South African Policy Korean Policy B-1 Decision Vietnam Policy * Based on Recent Survey by Cambridge Survey Research Support for Foreign Policy Initiatives of the Carter Administration * Percent of Support 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Neutron Human Bomb Rights Middle East Policy Panama Canal Treaty Amnesty Policy South African Policy Korean Policy B-1 Decision Vietnam Policy * Based on Recent Survey by Cambridge Survey Research