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This file contains:
Handwritten memo from H.R. Haldeman to D.W. re: estimate on the general elections. 1 page. [Memo], n.d.
Handwritten memo from H.R. Haldeman to D.W. re: data needed regarding Republican turnout in various elections. 1 page. [Memo], n.d.
Voter turnout information for various primary elections. 1 page. [Report], n.d.
Voter turnout information for various primary elections. 1 page. [Report], 8/13/1962
Primary results for 1962 elections. 4 pages. [Report], n.d.
to Emily G. Pike from H.R. Haldeman re: San Francisco statistics. 1 page. [Letter], 7/13/1962
To H.R. Haldeman from Emily G. Pike re: San Francisco primary election statistics. 1 page. [Letter], 7/11/1962
To Don Frey from H.R. Haldeman re: primary vote analysis. 1 page. [Memo], 6/25/1962
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26127906
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WHSF: Returned, 60-10
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26127906
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WHSF: Returned, 60-10
description
This file contains:
Handwritten memo from H.R. Haldeman to D.W. re: estimate on the general elections. 1 page. [Memo], n.d.
Handwritten memo from H.R. Haldeman to D.W. re: data needed regarding Republican turnout in various elections. 1 page. [Memo], n.d.
Voter turnout information for various primary elections. 1 page. [Report], n.d.
Voter turnout information for various primary elections. 1 page. [Report], 8/13/1962
Primary results for 1962 elections. 4 pages. [Report], n.d.
to Emily G. Pike from H.R. Haldeman re: San Francisco statistics. 1 page. [Letter], 7/13/1962
To H.R. Haldeman from Emily G. Pike re: San Francisco primary election statistics. 1 page. [Letter], 7/11/1962
To Don Frey from H.R. Haldeman re: primary vote analysis. 1 page. [Memo], 6/25/1962
citationUrl
collections
Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Returned White House Special Files
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
White House Special Files Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
Document Type
Document Description
60
10
n.d.
Memo
Handwritten memo from H.R. Haldeman to
D.W. re: estimate on the general elections. 1
page.
60
10
n.d.
Memo
Handwritten memo from H.R. Haldeman to
D.W. re: data needed regarding Republican
turnout in various elections. 1 page.
60
10
n.d.
Report
Voter turnout information for various
primary elections. 1 page.
60
10
08/13/1962
Report
Voter turnout information for various
primary elections. 1 page.
60
10
n.d.
Report
Primary results for 1962 elections. 4 pages.
60
10
07/13/1962
Letter
to Emily G. Pike from H.R. Haldeman re:
San Francisco statistics. 1 page.
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
Page 1 of 2
Box Number Folder Number
Document Date
Document Type
Document Description
60
10
07/11/1962
Letter
To H.R. Haldeman from Emily G. Pike re:
San Francisco primary election statistics. 1
page.
60
10
06/25/1962
Memo
To Don Frey from H.R. Haldeman re:
primary vote analysis. 1 page.
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
Page 2 of 2
DW> -
Can't they get
some estimate
or anything on
the gend elections?
Primaries do no
good
I
It
BOB HALDEMAN
/
DW
I need to know
right away the
% turnout of Repubs
vs. Dems in Calif
in 1960, 1950, 1956,
1954 & 1952 + 7950
This should be % of total
registered Repubs who actually
boted - and same for
Dems,
Thanks
BOB HALDEMAN
Re: your note
Hal Gríffin says this info. is not available for general elections
but based on primary votes for tóp office (Gov. & Pres.) he Comes
up with following percentages:
1960
60.0 - Repub.
(Pres.) 54.4 - Dem.
1958
65.2 - Repub.
Gov.
64.6 - Dem.
1956
59.5 - Repub.
Pres.
60.0 - Dem.
1954
57.0 - Repub.
Gov.
54.6 - Dem.
1952
70.7 - Repub.
Pres.
54.8 - Dem.
1950
68.1 - Repub.
Gov.
60.9 = Dem.
Research vate andy
& 8-13-62
Re: your note
Hal Griffin says this info. is not available for general elections
but based on primary votes for top office (Gov. & Pres.) he Comes
up with following percentages:
1960
60.0 - Repub.
(Pres.) 54.4 - Dem.
1958
65.2 - Repub.
Gov.
64.6 - Dem.
1956
59.5 - Repub.
Pres.
60.0 - Dem.
1954
57.0 - Repub.
Gov.
54.6 - Dem.
1952
70.7 - Repub.
Pres.
54.8 - Dem.
1950
68.1 - Repub.
Gov.
60.9 - Dem.
1962 PRIMARY RESULTS - REPUBLICAN
47 NORTHERN COUNTIES
Registration
Total Vote
% Voted
Nixon
Shell
% Nixon
for Gov.
for Gov.
Vote
Vote
of Total
47 Northern Counties
1,080,781
755,178
69.8%
488,237
256,926
64.7%
GROUP A
Alameda
163,934
111,423
68.2%
75,576
34,173
67.8%
San Francisco
127,149
79,877
62.7%
59,553
19,545
74.6%
Santa Clara
119,869
80,513
67.2%
54,226
25,203
67.3%
Sacramento
77,431
56,786
73.5%
28,034
28,054
49.4%
San Mateo
93,767
59,287
63.3%
41,282
17,378
69.7%
Contra Costa
72,225
51,412
71.2%
34,451
16,233
67.0%
Fresno
44,102
30,538
69.2%
18,927
11,264
62.23
SUB TOTAL:
697,977
469,836
62.3%
312,049
151,850
66.5%
GROUP B
San Joaquin
37,443
28,462
76.0%
19,009
9,177
66.3%
Marin
36,543
26,354
72.2%
18,333
7,717
69.2
Sonoma
31,245
22,241
71.2%
14,419
7,507
64.8%
Monterey
28,068
20,230
72.18
13,717
6,221
67.8%
Stanislaus
25,600
19,174
74.9%
10,335
8,676
53.96
Tulare
23,047
16,700
72.5%
10,248
6,344
61.4%
SUB TOTAL:
181,946
133,161
73.3%
86,061
45,642
64.6%
GROUP C
Santa Cruz
22,340
16,284
72.9%
11,015
4,908
67.7%
Butte
17,904
13,063
73.0%
7,678
5,194
58.7%
Humboldt
16,201
12,610
77.8%
7,232
5,141
57.3%
Solano
14,689
10,398
70.8%
6,964
3,250
67.1%
Napa
13,318
9,678
72.66
6,338
3,218
65.5%
Merced
9,728
7,121
73.1%
4,305
2,672
60.5%
Yolo
9,253
7,027
75.9%
3,496
3,403
49.8%
Placer
9,226
7,387
80.2%
3,335
3,912
45.2%
Shasta
8,793
6,660
75.8%
3,041
3,537
45.7%
SUB TOTAL:
121,452
90,228
74.2%
53,404
35,235
59.2%
- 2 -
Registration
Total Vote
% Voted
Nixon
Shell
of Nixon
for Gov.
for Gov.
Vote
Vote
of Total
GROUP D
Mendocino
7,960
6,378
80.1%
4,337
1,871
68.0%
Sutter
6,034
4,733
78.56
2,596
2,035
54.9%
Siskiyou
5,386
3,995
74.3%
2,396
1,510
60.0%
Kings
5,151
3,524
68.45
2,185
1,304
62.0%
Nevade
5,121
3,906
76.2%
1,768
2,112
45.3%
El Dorado
5,105
3,793
74.3%
1,996
1,754
52.6%
Tehama
4,719
3,962
84.0%
2,047
1,873
52.0%
Madera
4,551
3,474
76.4%
2,291
1,102
65.9%
Yuba
4,064
3,024
74.4%
1,701
1,283
56.8%
Lake
3,866
3,190
82.5%
2,052
1,097
64.3%
Glenn
3,323
2,698
81.2%
1,581
1,075
58.7%
Tuolumme
3,116
2,483
79.8%
1,734
706
59.96
San Benito
2,659
2,062
77.7%
1,426
589
39.2%
Jel Norte
2,486
1,982
79.8%
1,347
605
68.0%
Calaveras
2,386
1,975
82.8%
1,219
717
61.7%
Colusa
2,096
1,688
80.62
1,046
605
62.0%
Lassen
1,988
1,529
76.9%
857
648
56.0%
Amador
1,870
1,568
83.9%
857
690
54.7%
Plumas
1,788
1,405
78.6%
642
747
45.7%
Modoc
1,469
1,189
81.0%
741
425
62.3%
Mariposa
1,398
1,113
79.7%
738
363
66.3%
Trinity
1,316
986
75.0%
473
501
47.9%
Mono
857
694
81.0%
433
254
62.4%
Sierra
564
478
84.9%
178
293
37.2%
Alpine
133
124
94.2%
82
40
66.1%
SUB TOTAL
79,406
61,953
78.0%
36,723
24,199
59.0%
1962 PRIMARY RESULTS - DEMOCRATIC
47 NORTHERN COUNTIES
Registration
Total Vote
% Voted
Brown
Non-Brown
% Brown
for Gov.
for Gov.
Vote
Vote
of Total
47 Northern Counties
1,642,404
937,064
57.0%
757,358
179,706
80.8%
GROUP A
Alameda
263,586
147,701
56.1%
124,990
22,711
84.7%
San Francisco
229,324
132,142
55.2%
116,849
15,293
88.4%
Santa Clara
141,098
74,817
53.0%
62,570
12,247
83.8%
Sacramento
132,672
77,004
58.0%
60,230
16,774
77.9%
San Mateo
111,309
55,834
51.0%
47,875
7,959
85.7%
Contra Costa
113,558
65,610
57.8%
52,357
13,253
79.8%
Presno
93,469
51,956
55.7%
40,289
11,667
77.6%
SUB TOTAL:
1,085,016
605,064
56.8%
505,160
99,904
83.7%
GROUP B
San Joaquin
59,178
33,521
56.7%
24,488
9,033
73.2%
Marin
32,707
19,383
59.3%
15,984
3,399
82.5%
Sonoma
37,072
20,228
54.6
16,168
4,060
79.8%
Monterey
34,707
20,162
58.2%
14,882
5,280
73.9%
Stanialaus
38,265
21,128
55.2%
16,667
4,461
79.0%
Tulare
34,900
18,811
53.9%
14,075
4,736
74.8%
SUB TOTAL:
236,829
133,233
56.3%
102,264
30,969
76.8%
GROUP C
Santa Cruz
22,438
13,482
60.2%
9,984
3,498
74.1%
Butte
21,241
12,432
58.5%
8,991
3,441
72.3%
Humboldt
24,549
14,809
60.3%
10,321
4,488
69.7%
Solano
33,606
21,200
63.1%
17,377
3,823
81.9%
Napa
17,918
11,249
62.8%
8,987
2,262
79.8%
Merced
19,557
10,990
56.2%
8,539
2,451
77.7%
Folo
15,971
10,341
64.8%
8,082
2,259
78.2%
Placer
16,125
10,745
66.7%
7,916
2,829
73.6%
Shasta
17,799
11,452
64.4%
8,595
2,857
75.0%
SUB TOTAL:
189,204
116,700
61.7%
88,792
27,908
76.1%
- 2 -
Registration
Total Vote
% Voted
Brown
Non-Brown
% Brown
for Gov.
for Gov
Vote
Vote
of Total
GROUP D
Mendocino
12,234-
8,298
67.8%
6,365
1,933
76.8%
Sutter
6,972
4,395
64.5%
2,673
1,722
60.8%
Siskiyou
9,997
6,502
65.0
5,067
1,435
78.0%
Kings
12,733
6,586
51.7%
5,148
1,438
78.2%
Nevada
5,827
3,508
60.2%
2,706
802
77.2%
EL Dorado
8,301
5,015
60.5%
3,589
1,426
71.6%
Tehama
77,200
4,170
58.0%
3,032
1,138
72.78
Madera
10,570
6,406
60.5%
5,108
1,298
79678
Tuba
7,157
4,319
60.6%
2,977
1,342
68.9%
Lake
4,574
3,113
68.0%
2,264
849
72.8%
Glenn
4,630
3,129
67.6%
2,012
1,117
6463%
Tuolume
5,169
3,413
66.0%
2,576
835
70.6%
San Benito
3,719
2,329
62.6%
1,792
537
77.0%
Del Norte
4,275
2,305
53.9%
1,684
621
73.18
Calaveras
3,517
2,425
69.0%
1,608
817
66.4%
Colusa
3,239
2,060
63.6%
1,600
460
77.75
Lassen
4,560
2,971
65.23
2,370
601
79.85
Amador
3,801
2,694
71.0%
2,006
686
74.4%
)
Plumas
4,039
2,780
68.8%
2,304
476
82.95
Modoc
2,285
1,539
67.4%
1,130
409
73.5%
Mariposa
1,784
1,111
67.3%
879
232
79.1%
Trinity
3,068
1,920
62.6%
1,471
449
76.6%
Mono
799
470
58.8%
320
156
68.1%
Sierra
836
546
65.3%
411
135
75.3%
Alpine
89
63
70.8%
48
15
76.2%
SUB TOTAL:
131,355
82,067
62.5%
61,142
20,925
74.5%
July 13, 1962
Dear Emily:
Thanks very much for the San Francisco
statistics. These are interesting and helpful.
Our research people are working up
a very complete analysis of the total primary
vote - from every angle. I am sending your
letter along to them for their information.
It was good to see you down here.
Keep up the good work, and
WIN WITH NIXON:
H. R. Haldeman
Miss Emily G. Pike
Nixon-for Governor
583 Market Street
San Francisco 5, California
ack thank
NIXON FOR GOVERNOR
San Francisco County Headquarters
583 Market Street, San Francisco 5, DO 2-3134
ALAN H. NICHOLS, CHAIRMAN
EMILY G. PIKE, CAMPAIGN MANAGER
July 11, 1962
Mr. H. R. Haldeman
Campaign Director
Nixon for Governor Committee
3908 Wilshire Boulevard
Los Angeles 5, California
Dear Bob:
In view of our previous discussion re
the Republican vote turn-out in San Francisco in the
Primary, I thought you would be interested in the
statistics from our County Registrar.
The Republican registration in San Francisco
is 127,149. The combined vote for all Republican candi-
dates for Governor cast in San Francisco was 79,814.
This makes the Republican vote cast 62.7% of the registra-
tion, rather than the 59.1% statistic which you had on
file. The only way I can figure your researcher arrived
at the 59% figure was to take the total Republican and
Democrat vote for Governor (211,309) divided by the total
registration (356,473).
Incidentally, the total Democrat vote for
Governor was 131,495. The total Democrat registration is
229,324. This makes their turn-out of Democrat voters
57.3%, lower than the Republican turn-out.
I am working closely with the precinct people
in San Francisco to correct and improve the situation for
the Fall.
Sincerely,
Emily Emily G. Pike
CC: A. J. Dolan, Jr.
W. M. Spencer
172
Don Frey
6-25-62
Bob Haldeman
RN is most anxious that a very complete and thorough analysis
be made of the primary vote. His point is that we spend a
lot of money on polls based on small samples, while here we
have 100% accuracy with a sample of gigantic proportions.
X X
File:
He is especially interested in all possible types of
comparative analyses to be used as guide lines for strategy
and schedule planning for the fall campaign.
The total Republican turn-out, the Nixon vote vs. Shell vote,
the Brown vote VS. the Anti-Brown vote, the relative strength
of Nixon and Christopher, should all be analyzed by totals,
counties and Assembly Districts.
The evaluation of results should also be made against known
date
primary promotional activity, i.e. telethon areas vs. non-
covered areas, billboard areas, TV spot areas etc; also, a very
detailed special analysis should be made of the productivity
RN memo file
Research &
of the postcard mailing. This could be done by setting up a
large number of matched pairs of Districts, taking each District
1
in which cards were mailed and matching it with a comparable
District which did not receive the mailing. We should then
evaluate Republican turn-out and Nixon vote in one area vs. the
other.
At this stage, it seems to me that efforts should be concentrated
Vote Analysis
on the statistical summary of all the above data rather than
on attempts to interpret the significance of the total vote
pattern as Griffin has been doing recently.
I would appreciate your thoughts on the above together with some
idea as to when it might be reasonable to expect results.