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OCR Page 1 of 88THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN
THE CHAIRMAN OF THE
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
WASHINGTON
March 7, 1974
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Subject: Employment Situation in February
The employment-unemployment figures just reported by
the Bureau of Labor Statistics look much better than those
released a month ago. After rising from 4.6 to 5.2 percent
from October to January the unemployment rate remained
unchanged in February. Whereas last month's figures showed
a decline of about 250,000 from December to January in
employment on non-agricultural payrolls, this has been
revised to a decline of only 100,000 and a rise of 175,000
is reported for February. The estimates of hours of work
have been revised up for January and a further increase is
shown for February. Moreover, evidence accumulates that
there has been a significant decline in employment closely
related to the energy situation (gas stations, automobile
factories, airlines) and a strong rise in the rest of the
economy.
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in February
was 5.2 percent, the same as in January and not significantly
different from the unemployment rate in February 1973. This
is higher, however, than the 4.6 percent unemployment rate in
October 1973. The stability of the unemployment rate from
January to February reflected the stability of its components.
The February seasonally adjusted civilian labor force (90.6
million), , civilian employment (85.8 million) and unemployment
(4.7 million) were the same as in January.
Nonagricultural payroll employment increased (175,000)
in
February over January (which was itself revised upward
by 148,000 over the previous estimate) and was greater (by
332,000) than in October 1973. The decline in durable
manufacturing payroll jobs from January to February (134,000)
was concentrated in transportation equipment (83,000) machinery
(16,000), electrical equipment (19,000) and primary metals
(10,000).
REVOLUTION
1776-1976
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