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Decision Making Information: A Study of National Attitudes, 05/27/1983-05/30/1983
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118565168
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Decision Making Information: A Study of National Attitudes, 05/27/1983-05/30/1983
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Records of the White House Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff (Reagan Administration)
Michael Deaver's Political Files
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Ronald Reagan Presidential Library Digital Library Collections This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections. Collection: Deaver, Michael: Files Folder Title: [Decision Making Information] A Study of National Attitudes, 05/27/1983- 05/30/1983 Box: 65 To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ Decision/Making/Information ® Intelligent alternatives for today's decision makers 6803 Poplar Place, Suite 300, McLean, Virginia 22101, (703) 556-0001 A STUDY OF NATIONAL ATTITUDES May 27-30, 1983 RNC83-6 #29501 Decision/Making/Information SURVEY SPECIFICATIONS The following tables contain the aggregate results for questions asked of the American public on behalf of the Republican National Committee on the dates indicated below. Project Director: Richard B. Wirthlin Senior Analyst: Lori A. Forman Universe: Adult Americans (persons aged 18 and over) Mode of Interview: Telephone Date(s) of Interviews: May 27-30, 1983 Sample Size: 1000 Confidence Interval: +3.1 in 95 out of 100 cases Decision/Making/Information TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE POLITICAL CLIMATE Right Direction/Wrong Track 2 Better Off/Worse Off 4 Number One National Problem 5 Average Man Getting Worse 7 PERCEPTIONS OF PRESIDENT REAGAN Job Rating - General 9 Job Rating - Economy 12 Job Rating - Foreign Affairs 14 Job Rating - E1 Salvador 16 Job Rating - Inflation 17 Job Rating - Unemployment 19 Job Rating - Social Security 21 Job Rating - Education 23 Like Reagan and his Policies 24 Reagan's Characteristics - Excellent/Good 25 Reagan's Characteristics - Only Fair/Poor 26 THE ECONOMY Status of the National Economy 28 Status of Inflation 29 Status of Unemployment 30 Status of Interest Rates 31 RONALD REAGAN'S ECONOMIC PROGRAM Reagan's Economic Program - Help/Hurt 33 Effects of Economic Program 35 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Fair/Unfair 36 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Helpful/Not Helpful 37 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Reduce Inflation 39 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Increase Employment 41 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Balance the Federal Budget. 42 Economic Program: Fair Chance 43 Economic Program: A Failure 44 Decision/Making/Information TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONTINUED) PAGE OTHER ISSUES Importance of Balanced Budget 46 Cause of Federal Debt 47 Rationale for Increasing Taxes 48 Tax Increases 49 Definition of Welfare State 51 Welfare State: Impression 52 Spending Preferences 53 Spending Preferences (Over Time) 54 Spending Preference -- Defense 55 EDUCATION Job Rating -- Education 57 Responsible for Education 58 Status of American Education: Students and Schools 59 Status of American Education: Teachers 60 Department of Education 61 FOREIGN AFFAIRS Job Rating -- E1 Salvador 63 E1 Salvador -- Military Advisors 64 E1 Salvador -- Solve Problems 65 E1 Salvador -- Another Vietnam 66 E1 Salvador -- National Elections 67 E1 Salvador -- Extreme Rightists 68 E1 Salvador -- Killings/Communists 69 PARTISANSHIP Congressional Job Rating 71 Thermometer Ratings (Political and Others) 72 Thermometer Ratings (White House and Cabinet People) 73 Thermometer Ratings (Organizations) 76 Party Identification with Lean 77 Thermometer Ratings (Party) 79 Party of the Future 80 Endorsements 81 Democratic Telethon 82 Decision/Making/Information POLITICAL CLIMATE 2 Decision/Making/Information Right Direction/Wrong Track "Generally speaking, would you say that things in this country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?" Feb Jun Sep Jan June Sep 20-22 12-14 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Right direction 42 41 46 50 32 33 Wrong track 51 51 47 45 62 63 No opinion 8 8 7 5 6 4 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Right direction 33 35 40 38 40 42 Wrong track 64 59 56 56 56 52 No opinion 3 7 4 6 4 6 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK? PERCENT 100 RIGHT DIRECTION 90 WRONG TRACK 80 NO 70 67 OPINION 64 60 59 52 3 50 50 42 40 45 33 34 28 30 20 Decision/Making/Information 10 6 5 5 5 3 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 4 Decision/Making/Information Better Off/Worse Off "How about you personally? Generally speaking, are you better or worse off now than you were two years ago today?" Jan Apr Jan Jan Mar Apr 28-31 12-18 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 1983 Better off 43 33 * 36 40 44 Worse off 34 39 * 38 37 33 Same 11 28 * 25 23 23 No opinion 12 * - 1 0 0 * May 27-30 1983 Better off 46 Worse off 32 Same 21 No opinion 1 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 5 Decision/Making/Information Number One National Problem "What would you say is the single most important problem facing the United States today, that is, the one that you, yourself, are most concerned about?" Feb Jul Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 16-18 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Unemp loyment 5 6 7 24 28 36 Inflation 38 31 30 17 15 12 Economy/Other 33 26 33 29 19 22 Domestic/Social 7 13 11 5 5 6 Crime/Drugs/Morals 8 10 7 9 10 7 Foreign Affairs/Defense 6 10 8 10 15 9 Government leadership 3 3 3 3 4 4 No problems/No opinion 1 2 1 3 4 4 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Unemp loyment 51 48 37 34 36 29 Inflation 5 7 8 6 8 7 Economy/Other 18 18 18 19 15 16 Domestic/Social 7 7 7 7 9 9 Crime/Drugs/Morals 4 5 9 9 8 10 Foreign Affairs/Defense 11 7 14 17 16 21 Government leadership 1 4 4 4 4 4 No problems/No opinion 2 3 3 4 4 4 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 NUMBER ONE PROBLEM (NATIONAL) PERCENT 60 UNEMPLOYMENT 52 50 INFLATION OTHER ECONOMIC 40 39 9 FOREIGN 29 AFFAIRS 30 23 OTHER ISSUES 24 21 20 18 17 16 12 14 10 9 7 Decision/Making/Informati 5 2 0 1/81 1/82 4/82 7/82 10/82 1/83 3/83 4/83 4/83 5/83 DATE 7 Decision/Making Information Average Man Getting Worse "In spite of what some people say, the condition of the average man is getting worse, not better." Feb Jul Sep Jan Jun Jan 20-22 16-18 18-28 11-19 15-22 7-10 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1983 Agree 74 62 65 67 67 70 Disagree 24 36 33 32 31 27 No opinion 2 2 2 1 2 2 Jan Mar Apr Apr May 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Agree * 60 59 * 57 Disagree * 38 38 * 41 No opinion * 2 3 * 2 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 8 Decision/Making/Information PERCEPTIONS OF PRESIDENT REAGAN 9 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating -- General "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling his job as President?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-14 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Approve 70 67 60 60 52 51 Disapprove 14 27 33 33 40 43 No opinion 16 6 7 7 8 6 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 46 44 50 50 50 55 Disapprove 49 50 46 46 44 41 No opinion 5 5 4 4 6 4 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN JOB RATING GENERAL PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 60 55 51 54 10 50 50 40 40 44 41 42 30 33 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 7 7 6 6 4 0 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 REAGAN JOB RATING INTENSITY OF RESPONSE PERCENT 100 STRONGLY APPROVE 90 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 80 70 60 11 50 40 30 30 30 27 24 20 20 23 21 19 Decision/Making/Informati 10 0 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 2 3 4 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 12 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating -- Economy "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Mar Jul Oct Jan Jun Sep 6-9 16-18 5-14 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Approve 63 61 66 57 45 44 Disapprove 23 33 28 40 51 52 No opinion 14 6 5 3 4 4 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 38 40 44 47 49 50 Disapprove 58 57 54 52 49 48 No opinion 4 3 2 1 2 2 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN JOB RATING THE ECONOMY PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 50 57 50 13 50 50 48 48 48 40 40 46 38 30 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 4 3 4 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 14 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating -- Foreign Affairs "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Mar Jul Oct Jan Jun Sep 6-9 16-18 5-14 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Approve 60 56 65 59 56 46 Disapprove 19 27 23 33 34 43 No opinion 21 16 12 8 10 11 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 46 45 41 44 46 47 Disapprove 44 40 49 48 46 44 No opinion 10 14 10 8 8 9 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN JOB RATING FOREIGN AFFAIRS PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 59 56 15 50 47 44 40 33 34 30 20 8 10 Decision/Making/Informati 10 9 0 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 16 Decision/Making Information Reagan Job Rating -- E1 Salvador "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling the situation in E1 Salvador?" Apr May 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 Approve 36 29 Disapprove 44 53 No opinion 20 18 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 17 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating -- Inflation "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Jan Jun Sep Jan Jan Mar 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Approve 51 41 43 42 44 49 Disapprove 43 53 52 55 55 48 No opinion 6 6 5 3 3 3 Apr Apr May 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 Approve 47 * 50 Disapprove 50 * 47 No opinion 3 * 3 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN JOB RATING INFLATION PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 57 18 50 51 49 50 48 47 40 43 38 30 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 6 5 3 3 0 1 3 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 19 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating -- Unemployment "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Jan Jun Sep Jan Jan Mar 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Approve 34 30 30 26 28 31 Disapprove 57 64 63 70 67 65 No opinion 9 6 7 4 5 4 Apr Apr May 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 Approve 33 * 34 Disapprove 63 * 62 No opinion 4 * 4 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN JOB RATING UNEMPLOYMENT PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 70 NO 70 OPINION 62 60 57 20 50 40 34 34 30 26 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 9 4 4 0 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 21 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating -- Social Security "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Jul Sep Jan Jan Mar Apr 16-19 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 40 36 35 35 33 35 Disapprove 52 55 57 58 60 60 No opinion 8 9 8 6 7 5 Apr May 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 Approve 43 42 Disapprove 52 51 No opinion 5 7 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN JOB RATING SOCIAL SECURITY PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 62 60 22 52 51 50 42 40 40 29 30 20 Decision/Making/Information 10 8 9 7 / 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 23 Decision/Making Information Reagan Job Rating: Education "Now, a little more specifically. I am going to read you a list of issues. For each, I would like you to tell me whether you strongly approve ... somewhat approve somewhat disapprove ... or strongly disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling each of these issues: Education." Strongly approve 18% Somewhat approve 31 Somewhat disapprove 20 Strongly disapprove 23 No opinion 8 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 24 Decision/Making Information Like Reagan and his Policies "Let's talk for a moment how you feel both about Ronald Reagan personally and about his policies. Generally speaking, do you like or dislike Ronald Reagan personally?" Apr Sept Oct May 12-18 23-27 14-16 27-30 1982 1982 1982 1983 Like personally 75 77 73 72 Dislike personally 17 17 22 22 "Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of his policies?" Approve of policies 47 50 46 50 Disapprove of policies 45 44 49 45 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 25 Decision/Making/Information Reagan's Characteristics -- Excellent/Good "Would you say that this is an excellent, good, only fair, or poor description of Reagan?" May Sep Jan Jun Sep Jan 12-17 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 1983 Cares about the needs of the elderly and poor 47 * 40 37 33 32 Will start an unnecessary war 19 27 25 23 23 23 Effective in getting things done 78 71 69 51 52 45 Really knows what he is doing * * * 45 43 40 Has the strong leadership qualities this country needs 77 68 * 54 51 48 Is trustworthy * * 65 * 61 56 Shows too much business favoritism * * * * * * Dangerous * * * * * Knowledgeable * * * * * * Is delivering on what he promised * * * * * * Jan Mar Apr Apr May 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Cares about the needs of the elderly and poor 33 30 30 30 36 Will start an unnecessary war 20 22 24 23 27 Effective in getting things done 39 44 46 47 49 Really knows what he is doing 37 37 38 * 42 Has the strong leadership qualities this country needs 45 45 47 49 48 Is trustworthy 54 53 54 * 57 Shows too much business favoritism * 47 49 * 47 Dangerous * * 22 * 22 Knowledgeable * * * * 57 Is delivering on what he promised * * * * 39 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 26 Decision/Making/Information Reagan's Characteristics -- Only Fair/Poor "Would you say that this is an excellent, good, only fair, or poor description of Reagan?" May Sep Jan Jun Sep Jan 12-17 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 1983 Cares about the needs of the elderly and poor 52 * 59 62 65 66 Will start an unnecessary war 70 70 73 72 70 73 Effective in getting things done 20 28 30 47 46 53 Really knows what he is doing * * * 53 54 59 Has the strong leadership qualities this country needs 21 23 * 44 47 51 Is trustworthy 20 * 33 * 35 41 Shows too much business favoritism * * * * * Dangerous * * * * * * Knowledgeable * * * * * Is delivery on what he promised * * * * * Jan Mar Apr Apr May 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Cares about the needs of the elderly and poor 67 69 69 69 63 Will start an unnecessary war 76 72 73 73 68 Effective in getting things done 59 55 53 52 49 Really knows what he is doing 60 61 60 * 57 Has the strong leadership qualities this country needs 53 54 52 49 50 Is trustworthy 41 44 44 * 39 Shows too much business favoritism * 47 47 * 47 Dangerous * * 75 * 75 Knowledgeable * * * * 41 Is delivery on what he promised * * * * 60 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 27 Decision/Making/Information THE ECONOMY 28 Decision/Making/Information Status of the National Economy "Compared to a year ago, do you think the national economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Thinking about a year from now, do you think the national economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jan Mar 13-14 15-22 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 11 12 20 * 19 39 Gotten worse 56 51 51 * 54 30 Stayed the same 31 33 28 * 26 30 No opinion 2 4 1 * 1 1 Now/Future Get better 48 43 46 * 47 56 Get worse 25 20 22 * 20 15 Stay the same 23 34 29 * 31 26 No opinion 4 3 3 * 2 3 Apr Apr May 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 39 * 44 Gotten worse 32 * 28 Stayed the same 28 * 27 No opinion 1 * 1 Now/Future Get better 53 * 56 Get worse 13 * 14 Stay the same 31 * 28 No opinion 3 * 2 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 29 Decision/Making/Information Status of Inflation "Compared to a year ago, do you think inflation has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Thinking about a year from now, do you think inflation will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?" Feb June Aug Jan Jan Mar 13-14 15-22 25-29 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 23 26 29 * 33 43 Gotten worse 50 42 43 * 42 26 Stayed the same 26 31 28 * 24 30 No opinion 1 1 0 * 1 1 Now/Future Get better 36 45 39 * 35 46 Get worse 31 21 25 * 25 18 Stay the same 29 31 34 * 37 34 No opinion 4 3 2 * 2 2 Apr Apr May 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 41 * 41 Gotten worse 30 * 34 Stayed the same 29 * 24 No opinion 0 * 1 Now/Future Get better 41 * 42 Get worse 22 * 22 Stay the same 35 * 34 No opinion 2 * 2 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 30 Decision/Making/Information Status of Unemployment "Compared to a year ago, do you think unemployment has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Thinking about a year from now, do you think unemployment will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?" Feb Jun Aug Jan Jan Mar 13-14 15-22 25-29 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 4 4 4 * 4 17 Gotten worse 80 83 82 * 86 61 Stayed the same 14 12 13 * 9 21 No opinion 2 1 1 * 1 1 Now/Future Get better 40 43 44 * 51 58 Get worse 35 30 29 * 24 16 Stay the same 21 24 26 * 23 24 No opinion 4 2 1 * 2 2 Apr Apr May 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 18 * 27 Gotten worse 57 * 48 Stayed the same 24 * 24 No opinion 1 * 1 Now/Future Get better 57 * 57 Get worse 18 * 16 Stay the same 23 * 25 No opinion 2 * 2 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 31 Decision/Making/Information Status of Interest Rates "Compared to a year ago, do you think the Thinking interest rates year have from gotten now, BATTON. do you , 31 Decision/Making/Information Status of Interest Rates "Compared to a year ago, do you think the interest rates have gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Thinking about a year from now, do you think the interest rates will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?" Feb Jun Aug Jan Jan Mar 25-6 15-22 25-29 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 17 19 51 * 60 65 Gotten worse 51 37 29 * 24 17 Stayed the same 29 42 18 * 14 14 No opinion 3 2 2 * 2 4 Now/Future Get better 41 45 49 * 43 45 Get worse 22 18 17 * 19 16 Stay the same 34 34 31 * 34 36 No opinion 3 3 3 * 3 3 Apr Apr May 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 66 * 64 Gotten worse 20 * 21 Stayed the same 11 * 14 No opinion 3 * 1 Now/Future Get better 44 * 40 Get worse 19 * 21 Stay the same 34 * 35 No opinion 3 * 4 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 32 Decision/Making/Information RONALD REAGAN'S I ECONOMIC PROGRAM 33 Decision/Making/Information Reagan's Economic Program "From what you've heard and read, do you feel that, on the whole, Reagan's economic program will help or hurt the economy?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-14 9-13 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Help 78 60 71 59 51 56 Hurt 13 29 21 32 41 37 No opinion 8 11 8 9 8 7 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Help 51 52 60 56 54 59 Hurt 43 41 34 39 36 35 No opinion 6 7 6 5 10 6 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN ECONOMIC PROGRAM HELP OR HURT THE NAT'L ECONOMY? PERCENT 100 HELP 90 HURT 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 60 59 59 34 50 47 47 40 45 42 35 30 32 34 20 11 Decision/Making/Informati 9 10 8 6 6 0 1 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 35 Decision/Making Information Effects of Economic Program "Just generally, how long from now do you think it will be before we would begin to see either the helpful or harmful effects of Reagan's economic program?" Feb Jul Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 16-18 9-13 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Less than one year 16 21 22 31 31 29 One year 31 30 31 31 23 27 More than one year 53 47 47 36 40 40 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Less than one year 36 * * 34 * * One year 27 * * 24 * * More than one year 32 * * 38 * * RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 36 Decision/Making, Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program -- Fair or Unfair? "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program is ...?" Feb May Oct Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-17 5-14 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Fair 74 71 63 60 45 54 Unfair 17 25 33 35 48 41 No opinion 10 4 4 5 7 5 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Fair 48 49 52 50 * 56 Unfair 46 44 43 45 * 39 No opinion 6 6 5 5 * 5 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 37 Decision/Making/Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program -- Helpful/Not Helpful? "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program is ...?" Feb May Oct Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-17 5-14 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Helpful 63 61 52 45 40 39 Not helpful 28 35 44 50 56 57 No opinion 9 4 4 5 4 4 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Helpful 32 36 41 41 * 45 Not helpful 58 58 54 55 * 50 No opinion 5 6 5 4 * 5 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN ECONOMIC PROGRAM HELPFUL TO YOU? PERCENT 100 HELPFUL 90 NOT HELPFUL 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 58 50 38 50 50 45 45 40 37 30 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 5 5 5 0 1 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 39 Decision/Making/Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program -- Reduce Inflation? "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program will ...?" Feb May Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-17 9-13 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Will reduce 70 69 65 59 52 55 Will not reduce 20 26 30 36 42 40 No opinion 10 6 5 5 6 5 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Will reduce 55 53 58 57 * 58 Will not reduce 40 41 37 38 * 38 No opinion 5 6 5 5 * 4 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN ECONOMIC PROGRAM WILL IT REDUCE INFLATION? PERCENT 100 WILL REDUCE 90 WILL NOT REDUCE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 59 59 58 52 40 50 42 40 36 38 35 30 20 10 Decision/Making/Informati 5 6 6 4 0 1 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 41 Decision/Making/Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program -- Increase Employment? "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program will ...?" Feb Sep Jan Jun Sep Jan 20-22 9-13 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 1983 Will increase 56 53 48 43 43 44 Will not increase 33 41 47 52 53 52 No opinion 11 6 5 5 4 4 Jan Mar Apr Apr May 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Will increase 47 53 51 * 55 Will not increase 47 42 45 * 40 No opinion 6 5 4 * 5 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 42 Decision/Making Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program -- Balance the Federal Budget "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program ...? Feb Mar Apr Apr May June 25-6 20-29 1-2 12-18 20-26 15-22 1982 1982 1982 1982 1982 1982 Will balance the federal budget 32 33 31 33 35 31 Will not balance the federal budget 61 59 63 61 57 63 No opinion 7 8 6 6 8 6 Nov May 23-24 27-30 1982 1983 Will balance the federal budget 28 32 Will not balance the federal budget 63 62 No opinion 9 6 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 43 Decision/Making/Information Economic Program: Fair Chance Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said. "The Democrats want to change the Reagan economic program even before it has had a fair chance to work." Nov Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr 23-24 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 1982 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Agree strongly 31 * 34 27 41 * Agree somewhat 26 * 31 28 28 * Disagree somewhat 19 * 18 22 14 * Disagree strongly 21 * 14 19 13 * No opinion 3 * 4 4 4 * May 27-30 1983 Agree strongly 28 Agree somewhat 29 Disagree somewhat 22 Disagree strongly 17 No opinion 4 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 44 Decision/Making/Information Economic Program: A Failure Here are some statements people. have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said. "Reagan has had enough time to fix the economy but hasn't; his economic program is a failure." Sept Oct Nov Jan Jan Mar 23-27 14-16 23-24 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Agree strongly 24 25 23 * 27 27 Agree somewhat 15 15 15 * 16 16 Disagree somewhat 26 23 23 * 24 24 Disagree strongly 32 35 37 * 32 32 No opinion 3 2 2 * 1 1 Apr Apr May 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 Agree strongly 28 * * Agree somewhat 15 * * Disagree somewhat 23 * * Disagree strongly 33 * * No opinion 1 * * RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 45 Decision/Making/Information OTHER ISSUES 46 Decision/Making/Information Importance of a Balanced Budget "How important do you feel it is that the Congress and the President adjust spending and taxes so that the federal budget will be 'balanced by 1988' ... extremely important ... somewhat important ... or not important at all? Sept* Sept* Feb** Nov** Jan May 9-15 18-28 13-14 4-8 7-9 27-30 1981 1981 1982 1982 1983 1983 Extremely important 57 55 53 58 65 59 Somewhat important 35 37 38 33 27 34 Not important at all 7 7 7 7 5 5 No opinion 1 1 2 2 2 2 * 'balanced by 1984. **... 'balanced by 1985. I RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 47 Decision/Making/Information Cause of Federal Debt "From what you've heard and read, who or what do you think is the main cause of our present federal debt?" Government/Spending 25% Congress 10 Past administrations 8 Government/Generally 7 Reagan/Republicans 6 Trade/Balance of payments/ Foreign factors 5 Inflation 3 Carter/Democrats 3 Present administration 1 Government/taxes 1 Poor economy/Generally 1 Business/Industry 1 High interest rates - Other 6 No main cuase 3 No opinion 20 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 48 Decision/Making/Information Rationale for Increasing Taxes "Now on another topic, I'd like to read you the opinions of an imaginary Mr. Smith and Mr. Jones about taxes. No one likes to pay more in taxes, but sometimes they have to be increased. Please tell me whether your own opinion about tax increases is just like Smith more like Smith than Jones ... more like Jones than Smith ... or just like Jones. Mr. Smith says we should only raise taxes if we are going to increase spending on new or existing government programs. Mr. Jones disagrees. He says we should only increase taxes to reduce the national debt, not to fund new or bigger government programs." Is your opinion ... Just like Smith 14% More like Smith than Jones 19 More like Jones than Smith 28 Just like Jones 33 No opinion 6 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 49 Decision/Making/Information Tax Increases "Let's suppose that taxes had to be increased. I'm going to read you several options that exist, and I'd like you to rate each one on a scale where a minus 5 means you strongly oppose that plan, while a plus 5 means you strongly favor the plan. A zero therefore means that you neither favor nor oppose the plan, but are neutral about it. Of course, you may use any number between minus 5 and plus 5 to indicate how much you personally favor or oppose each proposed tax increase." No -5 -4 to -1 Zero +1 to +4 +5 Opinion Impose a consumption tax on individuals (x = -2) 39 10 28 9 8 6 Impose a sales tax on businesses (x = 0) 25 12 18 19 25 1 Improve compliance with existing tax laws (x = +2) 10 6 20 21 40 3 Impose taxes on energy consumption such as 44 17 17 12 9 1 excise taxes on oil and taxes on gasoline (x = -2) Reduce the amount of deductions individuals can take off their 34 12 20 15 18 1 federal income taxes for consumer interest and state tax payments (x = -1) Tax fringe benefits such as excessive employer 30 10 22 13 23 2 contributions for medical and life insurance (x = 0) RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 50 Decision/Making Information Tax Increases "Let's suppose that taxes had to be increased. I'm going to read you several options that exist, and I'd like you to rate each one on a scale where a minus 5 means you strongly oppose that plan, while a plus 5 means you strongly favor the plan. A zero therefore means that you neither favor nor oppose the plan, but are neutral about it. Of course, you may use any number between minus 5 and plus 5 to indicate how much you personally favor or oppose each proposed tax increase." Negative Neutral Positive (%) (%0 (%) Impose a consumption tax on individuals (Mean: -2) 39 28 17 Impose a sales tax on businesses (Mean: 0) 37 18 44 Improve compliance with existing tax laws (Mean: +2) 16 20 61 Impose taxes on energy consumption such as 61 17 21 excise taxes on oil and taxes on gasoline (Mean: -2) Reduce the amount of deductions individuals can take off their 46 20 33 federal income taxes for consumer interest and state tax payments (Mean: -1) Tax fringe benefits such as excessive employer 40 22 36 contributions for medical and life insurance (Mean: 0) RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 51 Decision/Making/Information Definition of Welfare State "When you hear the phrase 'welfare state,' what do you think of?" Welfare abuses/Corruption 14% People receiving welfare benefits 11 Poor people/Poverty 8 Unemp loyment 8 Too much welfare 7 Specific states 6 Government spending/Give-away programs 6 Big government/Government control 6 Socialism 5 On the Dole/No incentive/No effort 5 Workingman supporting those who refuse to work 3 Welfare/Generally 3 Taxes/Taxpayers 3 General negative 2 No opinion 12 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 52 Decision/Making/Information Welfare State: Impression "Generally speaking, would you say you have a positive or negative impression when you hear the phrase 'welfare state?'" Positive impression 20% Negative impression 75 No opinion 5 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 53 Decision/Making/Information Spending Preferences "Let's talk for a few minutes about government spending on various programs. I'm going to read you a list of programs. For each one, just tell me in your opinion whether the federal government should spend more or should spend less on each program. (NOTE TO INTERVIEWER: IF RESPONDENT SAYS 'SPEND MORE, ASK:) And would you be willing to have your own taxes increased to support this program." Crime Education Prevention Welfare Defense (%) (%) (%) (%) Spend more (even if own taxes increased) 64 60 20 31 Spend more (no tax increase) 15 17 7 9 Spend less 12 12 59 41 Spend same 8 9 11 16 No opinion 1 2 3 3 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 54 Decision/Making/Information Spending Preference (Over Time) "Let's talk for a few minutes about government spending on various programs. I'm going to read you a list of programs. For each one, just tell me in your opinion whether the federal government should spend more or should spend less on each program. (NOTE TO INTERVIEWER: IF RESPONDENT SAYS 'SPEND MORE,' ASK:) And would you be willing to have your own taxes increased to support this program." Jan Jan Nov Mar Apr May 9-12 28-31 4-8 17-21 7-11 27-30 1981 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Spend More (Even if Own Taxes Increased) Education * 53 61 61 62 64 Defense 55 37 33 28 36 31 Spend More (No Tax Increase) Education * 14 11 15 14 15 Defense 21 13 6 7 7 9 Spend Less Education * 16 16 13 12 12 Defense 13 30 44 46 41 41 Spend Same Education * 15 9 9 9 8 Defense 8 17 13 14 13 16 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 55 Decision/Making/Information Spending Preference -- Defense "Let's talk for a few minutes about government spending on various programs. I'm going to read you a list of programs. For each one, just tell me in your opinion whether the federal government should spend more or should spend less on each program." Jan Jan Nov Ma Apr May 9-12 11-19 4-8 17-21 7-10 27-30 1981 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Spend more 76 50 39 35 43 40 Spend less 13 30 44 46 41 41 Spend same 8 17 13 14 13 16 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 56 Decision/Making/Information EDUCATION 57 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating: Education "Now, a little more specifically. I am going to read you a list of issues. For each, I would like you to tell me whether you strongly approve ... somewhat approve ... somewhat disapprove ... or strongly disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling each of these issues: Education." Strongly approve 18% Somewhat approve 31 Somewhat disapprove 20 Strongly disapprove 23 No opinion 8 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 58 Decision/Making/Information Responsible for Education "And from what you've heard and read, which level of government should have the primary responsibility for elementary and secondary education; that is, should it be the federal, state or local government?" Federal 12% State 46 Local 38 All 1 No opinion 3 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 59 Decision/Making/Information Status of American Education: Students and Schools "Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said. Would that be strongly (agree/disagree) or just somewhat (agree/disagree)?" Agree Agree Disagree Disagree No Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Opinion (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) In order to improve the quality of American education, we should require either a longer school 25 22 22 30 1 day, or a longer school year, or both. Before receiving a high school diploma, students should be required to take 4 years of 55 25 11 7 2 English, a half year of computer science and 3 years each of math, science and social studies. RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 60 Decision/Making/Information Status of American Education: Teachers "Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said. Would that be strongly (agree/disagree) or just somewhat (agree/disagree)?" Agree Agree Disagree Disagree No Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Opinion (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) College students who want to become teachers should be required to pass competency 78 15 3 2 2 tests before being allowed to teach in our nation's schools. Grants and loans should be made to encourage outstanding students to become teachers, particularly 53 28 9 8 2 in those areas of critical teacher shortages. We will never have enough high quality teachers unless we pay 40 24 18 16 2 those teachers higher salaries than average teachers receive. RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 61 Decision/Making Information Department of Education "Ronald Reagan believes that the Department of Education should be abolished. Others disagree. How about you? Do you think the federal Department of Education should be abolished, or not?" Abolish 22% Do not abolish 71 No opinion 7 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 62 Decision/Making/Information FOREIGN AFFAIRS 63 Decision/Making Information Reagan Job Rating -- E1 Salvador "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling the situation in E1 Salvador?" Apr May 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 Approve 36 29 Disapprove 44 53 No opinion 20 18 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 64 Decision/Making/ Information E1 Salvador -- Military Advisors "How far should the United States go to save E1 Salvador from being taken over by communist rebels? In your opinion, should the U.S. increase the number of its military advisors in E1 Salvador?" Oct Mar May 17-26 17-21 27-30 1981 1983 1983 Yes 42 35 34 No 47 59 60 No opinion 11 6 6 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 65 Decision/Making/Information E1 Salvador -- Solve Problems "The problems in E1 Salvador have been very much in the news recently. I'm going to read you a series of statements others have made about the situation there and our relations with the Salvadoran government. For each statement, again tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said: We should let those who live in E1 Salvador solve their problems without any help from the United States." Mar Mar Mar Apr May 6-9 25-29 17-21 27-28 27-30 1981 1982 1983 1983 1983 Agree strongly 27 30 33 28 29 Agree somewhat 22 21 24 18 23 Disagree somewhat 29 24 25 25 25 Disagree strongly 17 18 15 25 18 No opinion 5 7 3 4 5 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 66 Decision/Making Information E1 Salvador -- Another Vietnam "The problems in E1 Salvador have been very much in the news recently. I'm going to read you a series of statements others have made about the situation there and our relations with the Salvadoran government. For each statement, again tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said: The kind of help we are now providing E1 Salvador could easily get us into another Vietnam." Mar Feb Mar Apr May 6-9 13-14 17-21 27-28 27-30 1981 1982 1983 1983 1983 Agree strongly 37 36 45 35 43 Agree somewhat 28 32 30 28 30 Disagree somewhat 17 16 11 14 12 Disagree strongly 11 9 9 17 8 No opinion 7 7 5 6 7 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 67 Decision/Making/Information E1 Salvador -- National Elections "The fact that the leftist guerrillas in E1 Salvador refuse to take part in national elections is strong evidence that they, themselves, believe that most of the citizens of E1 Salvador do not support their cause and they must continue to resort to violence rather than to the ballot box." Apr Apr May 7-11 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 Agree strongly 25 27 24 Agree somewhat 33 24 30 Disagree somewhat 15 16 15 Disagree strongly 11 17 10 No opinion 16 16 21 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 68 Decision/Making/ Information E1 Salvador -- Extreme Rightists "The problems in E1 Salvador have been very much in the news recently. I'm going to read you a series of statements others have made about the situation there and our relations with the Salvadoran government. For each statement, again tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said: Most of the killings in E1 Salvador have been done by extreme rightists." Mar Mar May 6-9 17-21 27-30 1981 1983 1983 Agree strongly 11 18 17 Agree somewhat 21 27 26 Disagree somewhat 17 19 22 Disagree strongly 6 8 5 No opinion 45 28 30 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 69 Decision/Making/Information E1 Salvador - -- Killings/Communists "The problems in E1 Salvador have been very much in the news recently. I'm going to read you a series of statements others have made about the situation there and our relations with the Salvadoran government. For each statement, again tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said: Most of the killings in E1 Salvador have bee done by Communists." Mar Mar May 6-9 17-21 27-30 1981 1983 1983 Agree strongly 24 27 30 Agree somewhat 22 25 23 Disagree somewhat 15 19 19 Disagree strongly 9 8 5 No opinion 30 21 23 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 70 Decision/Making/Information PARTISANSHIP 71 Decision/Making/Information Congressional Job Rating "Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is handling its job? Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove) or just somewhat (approve/ disapprove)?" Jan 30 Jan Jan Jan Mar Apr Feb 3 11-19 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1981 1982 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 36 38 35 34 42 * Disapprove 48 50 60 59 52 * No opinion 16 12 5 7 6 * Apr May 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 Approve * 46 Disapprove * 50 No opinion * 4 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 72 Decision/Making/Information Thermometer Ratings -- Political and Others Jan May Sep Jan Jun Sep 9-12 12-17 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Jimmy Carter 50 * * * * * John Glenn * * * * * * Ted Kennedy 49 56 50 49 51 51 Walter Mondale 51 58 55 52 50 51 Tip O'Neill * * 53 * 50 * Paul Volcker * * * * * * Anne Gorsuch Burford Menachem Begin * * 50 * 49 36 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Jimmy Carter * * * * * * John Glenn 61 62 61 59 * 60 Ted Kennedy * * * * * * Walter Mondale 52 54 54 52 * 54 Tip O'Neill 53 57 58 56 * * Paul Volcker * * 51 * * * Anne Gorsuch Burford * * 43 * * * Gary Hart * * * 50 * * Menachem Begin * * * * * * RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 73 Decision/Making/Information Thermometer Ratings -- White House and Cabinet People Jan May Sep Jan Jun Sep 30-3 12-17 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 Ronald Reagan 72 77 64 63 58 57 56 66 * * * George Bush 54 55 * * * * Bill Brock * James Watt * 53 39 * 40 * * 59 * * * * A1 Haig Caspar Weinberger * 61 * * * * Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Ronald Reagan 55 54 54 54 * 60 * * * 55 * George Bush 57 * * * * * * Bill Brock * * 35 * * * James Watt * * * * * * A1 Haig Caspar Weinberger * * * 50 * * * * * 42 * * Raymon Donovan * * * Donald Regan 49 * * RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 REAGAN THERMOMETER RATING 100 90 80 70 63 60 60 54 53 74 50 40 30 20 Decision/Making/Information 10 0 1 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1 1 3 4 5 1982 MONTH 1983 76 Decision/Making/Informati Thermometer Ratings -- Organizations Sep Dec May Nov Jan Jan 9-13 18-22 20-26 4-8 7-10 27-29 1981 1981 1982 1982 1983 1983 The Supreme Court 60 * * * * * Labor Unions 45 * * * * * White House Staff 62 55 * * * * * * * * * Reagan Cabinet 62 Federal Reserve Board * * 48 48 * * Mar Apr Apr May 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 The Supreme Court * * * * Labor Unions 52 * * * White House Staff * * * 55 Reagan Cabinet * * * * Federal Reserve Board 53 * * * RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 77 Decision/Making/Information Party Identification With Lean "Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or something else? (IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Republican/Democrat) or a not-so-strong (Republican/Democrat)? (IF INDEPENDENT/OTHER/NO PREFERENCE, ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or the Democratic party?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-14 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Republican 37 38 34 37 35 35 Independent 27 19 16 18 14 14 Democrat 37 43 49 45 51 51 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Republican 36 33 32 36 * 37 Independent 12 16 14 12 * 15 Democrat 52 51 54 52 * 48 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 PARTY IDENTIFICATION (with lean) Percent 100 Republican 90 Independent 80 70 Democrat 60 54 78 53 48 50 45 40 37 37 34 32 30 18 20 14 .15 13 Decision/Making/Informati 10 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 4 5 1982 Month 1983 79 Decision/Making/Information Thermometer Ratings -- Party Jan Jul Sep Jan Jun Sep 30-3 16-18 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Republicans 64 62 55 56 54 52 Democrats 57 56 58 59 60 60 Jan Jan Mar Apr Apr May 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 27-28 27-30 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 Republ icans 49 52 50 50 * 54 Democrats 61 63 63 61 * 61 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 80 Decision/Making/Information Party of the Future "Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said. Would that be strongly (agree/disagree) or just somewhat (agree/disagree)?" Agree Agree Disagree Disagree No Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Opinion (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) The Republican Party is the party of the future -- it has 13 27 24 30 6 the fresh ideas to deal with America's problems. The Democratic Party is the party of the future -- it has 20 26 25 22 7 the fresh ideas to deal with America's problems. RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 81 Decision/Making/Information Endorsements "Now let's think about the 1984 presidential elections for a moment. As you know, many things determine how we vote. I'd like to read you the names of some persons and groups. Please tell me whether you would be more likely or less likely to vote for a presidential candidate who, before the primary elections, was endorsed by each person or group I mention. Here's the first one. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for a presidential candidate endorsed by:" More Less No No Likely Likely Difference Opinion (%) (%) (%) (%) The AF of L-CIO 27 48 18 7 The National Education 62 18 15 5 Association (NEA) The Chamber of Commerce 51 26 18 5 RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983 82 Decision/Making/Information Democratic Telethon "This weekend on television, have you seen or heard any of the telethon sponsored by the Democratic party? (IF "YES," ASLO ASK:) Have you contributed, or do you intend to contribute, any money to the Democratic party telethon?"** No/have not seen or heard 79% Yes/contributing 6 Yes/Not contributing 15 **asked of 457 respondents only RNC83-6: May 27-30, 1983