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    "ocrText": "Ronald Reagan Presidential Library\nDigital Library Collections\nThis is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections.\nCollection: Roberts, John G.: Files\nFolder Title: [JGR/Carter Briefing Book for\nPresidential Debate] (5 of 17)\nBox: 7\nTo see more digitized collections visit:\nhttps://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library\nTo see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit:\nhttps://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection\nContact a reference archivist at: [email protected]\nCitation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing\nNational Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/\nMASS TRANSIT\nQuestion: What do you plan to do to improve our nation's mass transit system?\nAnswer:\nTHEME\nA MAJOR GOAL OF MY ADMINISTRATION HAS BEEN TO IMPROVE THE FLEXIBILITY OF OUR\nTRANSPORTATION SYSTEM AND OFFER BETTER TRANSPORTATION SERVICES TO ALL\nAMERICANS. I HAVE PROPOSED A TEN YEAR, $43 BILLION PROGRAM TO INCREASE MASS\nTRANSIT CAPACITY BY 50 PERCENT AND TO PROMOTE MORE ENERGY EFFICIENT VEHICLE\nUSE, IN THE NEXT DECADE. I ALSO HAVE ESTABLISHED A GOAL OF MAKING MASS TRANSIT\nSYSTEMS ACCESSIBLE TO ALL AMERICAN CITIZENS, INCLUDING THE ELDERLY AND THE\nHANDICAPPED.\n1.\nTHE PAST AND THE PRESENT\nMass transit had been the step-child of the transportation system until my\nAdministration.\n2,1983\n= have proposed a ten year, $43.billion program to increase mass\ntransit services and to provide more energy efficient transportation.\nThis program will be funded partially from revenues raised by the\nWindfall Profits Tax.\nI also have submitted legislation to the Congress to restructure the\nmass transit capital and operating assistance programs. This bill\nwill:\n-- increase the efficiency of Federal operating assistance;\n-- encourage cities to achieve major national priorities,\nsuch as reducing costs and increasing energy efficiency;\nand\n-- provide greater aid to the communities with the most\neffective transit systems.\nThese proposed changes in the urban mass transit formula aid program\nwill result in additional funds for cities and counties with large,\nexisting mass transit systems.\nIn addition, we as a nation cannot retreat from our commitment to make\npublic transportation accessible to the elderly and the handicapped.\nI am committed to the goal of making public transportation accessible\nto all elderly and handicapped citizens.\nBut public transportation is not just urban mass transportation. My\nRural Development Policy which I announced last year has led to the\nfirst Small Community and Rural Area Transportation Initiative to be\nimplemented by the Department of Transportation.\n-2-\n2.\nTHE FUTURE\nA.\nReacan\nO\nGovernor Reagan has said, \"urban aid programs are the biggest\nphonies in the Federal system,\" but he has not defined an urban\nor rural mass transportation policy.\n0\nHe has proposed returning mass transit funding from the Federal\ngovernment to State and local communities. That would increase\nlocal property taxes enormously.\n3.\nCarter\nC\nMuch progress has been made over the past four years, and much remains\nto be done.\n0\nFirst, I will work closely with the Congress to insure passage of the\nPublic Transportation Act Amendments which includes the reformulation\nof urban mass transit funding grants - the most significant change\nin the formula program since its inception in 1979 - and the largest\nauthorization in the history of the Urban Mass Transportation Administra-\ntion, $24.7 billion over the next five years.\no.\nSecond, my 1981 budget for the Urban Mass Transportation Administration,\npassed by the Congress this month as part of the DOT Appropriations Act,\nreflects the largest level of public transit support ever, over $4\nbillion in federal aid to urban and non-urban areas.\no\nWe must begin now to insure that funds for mass transit over the\nnext decade are wisely spent, and the promise of mass transit to bring\nour cities and towns closer together is finall y kept.\nSCHOOL BUSING\nQuestion:\nDo you still support busing as a vehicle for school desegregation?\nAnswer:\nO\nI do not believe busing is the solution to ensuring that our schools\nare integrated in a constitutionally permissible way.\nO\nMy preference would be that less disruptive ways might be found to\nensure integration. And I believe that is the preference of the\nvast majority of parents of school-age children, both black and\nwhite.\nO\nHowever, in many cases busing may be the only way a Federal court\ncan find to ensure school integration. IFO court makes that\ndetermination, and I hope a court would make that determination\nonly as a last resort, I believe we have no choice but to obey\nthe court order.\nI am sworn to uphold the Constitution and believe it would be in\nviolation of my oath if I in any way sought to circumvent the court\norder. I would never do that.\nFinally, let me say that I do not support the view which my opponent\nhas advocated a number of times - that a Constitutional amendment\nbe adopted to prevent the use of busing. Such an amendment might\nimpede the ability of the courts to enforce the Brown V. Board of\nEducation decision by the Supreme Court. And I strongly support\nthat decision.\nSTATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS\nQuestion:\nIn what areas affecting State and local governments do you think the\nFederal government should assume a greater role? A lesser role?\nAnswer:\nTHEME\nMY ADMINISTRATION HAS DONE A GREAT DEAL TO IMPROVE RELATIONS BETWEEN THE\nFEDERAL GOVERNMENT AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS. IN GENERAL, OUR EFFORTS\nHAVE BEEN DESIGNED TO REDUCE THE BURDEN ON THE LOCAL PROPERTY TAX SYSTEM AND\nTO ENSURE THAT ALL STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS HAVE ADEQUATE RESOURCES TO\nPROVIDE ESSENTIAL POLICE, FIRE AND SANITATION SERVICES.\n1.\nTHE PAST AND THE PRESENT\n0\nOne of my domestic policy goals has been to give States and localities\ngreater flexibility to manage the aid that the Federal government provides.\nWhether it is revenue sharing, community development, education, housing,\ntransportation or other programs, we have increased the flexibility the\nStates and cities have to manage these programs so that they can meet the\nneeds of our citizens. And we havemcut through red tape to make these\nprograms easier to use.\nIn a number of areas, we have expanded the Federal government's respon-\nsibility. A good example is welfare reform. There is no question that\nreducing poverty is national concern that must be addressed by all of\nUS.. It simply is not fair to place the burden of financing welfare\non property tax payers throughout our Nation. This service should be\nfinanced by all of us, and on a reasonably equitable basis.\nOne principal that I have sought to enforce is to reduce the demands to\nprovide services on the local property tax. By increasing aid for educa-\ntion, fiscal relief and other services, we have helped to hold the line\non property tax increases. This has been an important goal to me,\nbecause no tax falls more cruelly on the elderly, the sick and the\ndisadvantaged than the property tax.\nWithout question, any major transfer of programs to the States and\ncities will cause massive and disastrous increases in local taxes, and\nparticularly in the property tax.\n2.\nTHE FUTURE\nA.\nReagan\nGovernor Reagan has proposed a massive but unspecified transfer of\nFederal programs to the States and cities. He has been no more specific\nabout the proposal than he was about many of his other campaign proposals.\nBut this proposal could only have one of two effects.\n2\nC\nEither the services transferred (presumably education, mass transit,\nhousing) will be eliminated or cut severely; or State and local taxes\nwill increase dramatically to pay for them. Nothing could be worse for\nour Federal system than the massive and uncontrolled increases in\nproperty taxes that this proposal would cause.\nB. Carter\no\nI will continue to work with State and local governments to build on\nour previous progress and achieve the following:\n1)\nprovide even greater flexibility to States and cities in managing\nFederal programs.\n2)\ncut through red-tape SO that the Federal programs are more\nefficient; and\n3)\nrefine the responsibilities of the Federal, State and local\ngovernments.\nJUN\nI feel very strongly that a massive transfer of programs to the States\nand cities will only increase the already excessive burden of the\nproperty tax. I will oppose that type of program.\nHUMAN NEEDS\nHEALTH AND WELFARE - GOVERNMENT'S RCLE\nQuestion:\nDon't your major welfare and health proposals demonstrate\nthat your Administration basically favors at bigger Federal\ngovernment, and given that the public and the Congress seem\nto be moving in the other direction, can you tell us how\nyou can have any more success with them in a second term\nthan you did in the first term?\nAnswer:\nTHEME\nTHESE PROPOSALS REPRESENT SOLUTIONS TO VERY SERIOUS PROBLEMS --\nRISING HEALTH COSTS, LACK OF ADEQUATE HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE, AND\nAN INEFFICIENT INEQUITABLE WELFARE SYSTEM. GOVERNOR REAGAN HAS NOT\nPROPOSED REAL SOLUTIONS\nWHILE THIS LEGISLATION DID NOT PASS IN MY FIRST TERM, VERY REAL\nPROGRESS HAS BEEN MARE\nAND WE HAVE AN EXCELLENT CHANCE OF PASSING\nTHESE MEASURES MI SECOND TERM\nTHE PAST AND THE PRESENT\nMy health insurance. proposal would guarantee that all citizens\nwere protected against catastrophic expenses, that Medicare\nbenefits for the aged are improved, and that basic insurance\ncoverage for the poor would be expanded. My proposal would build\non the current partnership between public programs like Medicare\nand private insurance.\nAlthough this measure did not pass, it stimulated the first serious\nCongressional committee consideration in nearly a decade in the\nSenate Finance Committee.\nUntil my Administration, no serious effort to reform the Nation's\nwelfare system had been attempted in almost a decade. Working\nwithin the framework of our existing welfare system, the welfare\nreform package offers an achievable means to increase self-\nsufficiency through employment rather than welfare, to provide\nmore adequate assistance to people who are unable to work, and\nto remove inequities in coverage under current programs.\nWith the cooperation of the Congress, the Social Welfare Reform\nAmendments Act has passed the House, and hearings have been held\non the Work and Training Opportunities Act. I consider welfare\nreform one of my most important legislative initiatives, and will\ncontinue to press for final enacument.\n-2-\n2.\nTHE FUTURE\nA.\nReagan\n=\nIn spite of the 20 million people without any health insurance\nand the 80 million with inadequate coverage, my opponent has said\n\"There is no health care crisis\" and \"I'm opposed to National\nHealth Insurance\".\no\nGovernor Reagan proposes to transfer all functions to the States\nalong with the tax sources to finance them.\nB.\nCarter\nC\nI am commi to enactment of my carefully phased-in National\nHealth\nPhan and am confident given the serious committee\nconsideration the issue received this year that we will be able\nto buil\nor those efforts and achieve enactment this year.\nI will press for final enactment of welfare reform. In the mean-\ntime, I will continue to pursue all reasonable efforts administratively\nwithin the lattitude provided by present law, to achieve coordination,\nefficiency, and effectiveness in our welfare system.\nNATIONAL HEALTH INSURANCE\nQuestion:\nWhat is your position or. National Health Insurance?\nAnswer:\nTHEME\nTHE NATIONAL HEALTH PLAN = HAVE SUBMITTED TO THE CONGRESS IS SOLID\nEVIDENCE OF MY COMMITMENT TO THE ACHIEVEMENT OF HEALTH INSURANCE\nCOVERAGE FOR ALL AMERICANS. MY NATIONAL HEALTH PLAN FOLLOWS IN THE\nDEMOCRATIC TRADITION OF PRESIDENT TRUMAN, WHO CHALLENGED CONGRESS TO\nSECURE FOR ALL AMERICANS ACCESS TO QUALITY HEALTH CARE AS A MATTER OF\nRIGHT, AND PRESIDENTS KENNEDY AND JOHNSON, WHO LED THE CONGRESS TO\nENACT MEDICARE AND MEDICAID. MY ROPPONENT, ON THE OTHER HAND, BITTERLY\nOPPOSED THE ENACTMENT OF MEDICARE, JUST AS NOW HE OPPOSES NHI. UNDER\nMY ADMINISTRATION, NHI HAS RECEIVED THE FIRST SERIOUS CONGRESSIONAL\nCONSIDERATION IN OVER A DECADE; WITH THIS EXPERIENCE WE HAVE AN\nEXCELLENT CHANCE OF OBTAINING PASSAGE OF A BILL IN MY SECOND TERM.\n1.\nTHE PAST AND THE PRESENT\nJUN\nThe first phase legislation which I have submitted to the Congress\nlays the foundation for universal, comprehensive health insurance\nby:\n--\nproviding comprehensive coverage for the poor;\n--\nlimiting expenses for the elderly;\n-- providing comprehensive coverage for all pregnant women\nand young children; and\nI\nassuring catastrophic coverage for everyone.\nAt the same time, it recognizes that such a major new program\nmust be carefully phased in, with essential cost containment\nfeatures.\nIt provides a substantially increased role for private health\ninsurance (through increased underwriting and administrative\nservices) and provides strong incentives for competition.\nIt responds to a glaring need -- 20 million Americans have no\nhealth insurance, another 20 million have inadequate basic insurance,\nand yet another 40-50 million have inadequate catastrophic insurance.\nThe Senate Finance Committee has done extensive mark-up of as bill\nwhich closely resembles my proposal, and it expects to complete\nthat task in the next session of Congress. Under a Democratic\nAdministration, the chances of passage are excellent next session.\n-2-\n2.\nTHE FUTURE\nA.\nReagan\nMy record here is in stark contrast to the views of Governor\nReagan. He opposes NHI, and helped lead the unsuccessful fight\nto defeat Medicare when it was being considered by the Congress.\nThe substantial progress we have made toward enactment of NHI\nover the past 4 years would be wasted under Governor Reagan.\nC\nGovernor Reagan has publicly stated that \"There is no health\ncare crisis today\", and further, that \"Virtually all Americans\nhave access to excellent medical care today.\" The facts simply\ndo not support these assertions.\nmi\nCarter\nO\nwith the help of Senator Kennedy, who-has devoted a substantial\nchunk of his Congressional career to improved health care,\nSenator Long and other Congressional leaders, the chances of\npassage in Congress are excellent for the next session.\n0\nI am committed to the ultimate enactment of universal, comprehen-\nsive NHI, to be phased in as economic conditions permit. I feel\nit is one of the major unfinished items on America's social agenda.\nThe proposal which I have submitted to the Congress creates both\nthe framework and the momentum to reach that long-sought goal.\nSavings\nQuestion:\nWhat specific incentives would you provide to encourage\ngreater savings? What would you do to encourage savings?\nAnswer:\nPrivate savings stems from both businesses and individuals. The\nliberalized depreciation plan I proposed as part of my revitalization\nprogram will contribute directly to an increase in business saving.\nAs for individuals, the best way to encourage Americans to save more\nis to allow them to earn a fair return on their savings dollars. My\nAdministration has already taken steps to give small savers and house-\nholds more opportunities for higher interest on their savings accounts\nopportunities that were available only to large savers.\nWe helped to introduce new savings instruments -- such as the\n6-month money market certificate and the 2-1/2 year small saver\ncertificate -- that pay the higher interest rates only those\nwith very large amounts Cof money could earn.\nAs part of my deregulation program last April I signed into law\na proposal to phase out all (Requlation Q) limits on interest\npaid to small savers. This means that household savings accounts\ncould earn the same rate of interest banks pay the huge accounts\nof businesses.\nI signed into law a bill which provides a $200 tax exemption for\nindividuals and a $400 exemption for couples on interest earned\nin a savings account.\nSOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM\nQuestion:\nWhat actions do you propose to ensure the continued fiscal\nstrength of the Social Security System?\nAnswer:\nTHEME\n= HAVE A SOLID RECORD -- IN THE TRADITION OF THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY -- IN\nPROTECTING THE ELDERLY AND INTEGRITY OF THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM. MY\nOPPONENT, BY CONTRAST, HAS REPEATEDLY TAKEN POSITIONS THAT, IF IMPLEMENTED,\nWOULD HURT THE ELDERLY AND WOULD WEAKEN THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM. I AM\nCOMMITTED TO POLICIES WHICH IN THE FUTURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROTECT SOCIAL\nSECURITY AND THE ELDERLY.\n1.\nTHE PAST AND THE PRESENT\nThe Social Security System is much sounder now than when I took office.\nThe elderly have been among my principal concerns as President. I\nam determined to make certain that they. are (free from discrimination\nand are able to continue, living happy and useful lives.\nFor those reasons I have signed legislation to virtually eliminate\nmandatory retirement restrictions due to age, strengthened the\nprotection of pensions, increased funding for elderly housing and\nnutrition, and worked to achieve Hospital Cost Containment to protect\nthe elderly from skyrocketing medical costs.\nOne of my first acts as President was working with the Congress to\nprovide financial stability to the Social Security System and to\nrescue it from near-bankruptcy.\nThis year I proposed and the Congress adopted further action to\nassure the short-term stability of the retirement fund.\nThe full faith and credit of the U.S. government stands behind the\nSocial Security System. No retiree will ever go without the benefits\nto which he or she is entitled while I am President.\n2.\nTHE FUTURE\nA.\nReagan\nMy record here is in stark contrast to that of Governor Reagan. He\nopposes National Health Insurance and Hospital Cost Containment, and\nhelped lead the fight to defeat Medicare when it was being considered\nby the Congress.\n-2-\nThroughout the 1960's and as recently as his last campaign for President,\nGovernor Reagan discussed the possibility of making the Social Security\nSystem voluntary -- if that were to occur, the System would certainly\nbe bankrupt in a short period of time. While the Governor now indicates\nhis opposition to making Social Security voluntary, the fact that he\ncould even consider such a proposal is of concern to me.\nFurther, Governor Reagan supports a tax cut, which to balance the budget\nwill require him to cut $130 billion in spending in 1983. He says he\nwon't touch Social Security but how else can he pay for his tax cut?\n33\nCarter\no\nI am committed to preserving a sound Social Security System in the future.\nTo ensure that, I have appointed a commission to provide recommendations\nto me about further steps that might be taken to protect Social Security\nrecipients.\nAfter receiving the Commission S recommenda and after consulting\nwidely with the Congress and leaders of elderly organizations, I will,\nin my next term, make recommendations for further improvements in the\nSocial Security System.\nUN\n0\n: have not yet formulated the recommendations I will make but I have\nestablished broad guidelines by which the recommendations will be governed:\nno taxing of Social Security benefits;\nno raising the age limit for Social Security eligibility;\nno reducing Social Security benefits; and\nno capping of the cost-of-living adjustment for Social Security.\n= am determined to make certain that the Social Security System remains\nthe pillar of fiscal strength that we need and that the needs of all\nSocial Security recipients are met.\nI am also determined to help reduce the burden of high Social Security\ntaxes. That is why I have proposed an extension of the earned income\ntax credit and an 8 percent credit for employers and employees on\ntheir income tax form; that credit will essentially eliminate the\nburden of increased Social Security taxes next year -- and it will\ndo SO without taking a dollar from any of the Social Security trust\nfunds.\nWELFARE\nQuestion:\nFor years public attention as well as government attention\nhas focused on problems in the welfare system without much\nsuccess in solving those problems. You have described the\nwelfare system as \"inequitable and archaic\". Welfare\nrecipients and State and local governments also have\ncriticized the welfare system, generally for different\nreasons. What would you do to solve the problems in the\nwelfare system?\nAnswer:\nI HAVE PROPOSED A SET OF WELFARE-REFORM PROPOSALS WHICH I BELIEVE WOULD\nMAKE MAJOR PROGRESS IN SOLVING THE MOST URGENT PROBLEMS IN OUR WELFARE\nSYSTEM. THESE PROPOSALS HAVE STRONG WORK INCENTIVES, STRONG PRO-FAMILY\nINCENTIVES, AND ESTABLISH A UNIFORM PAYMENT STANDARD. I AM COMMITTED\nTO THEIR PASSAGE AS A WAY OF HELPING OUR MOST DISADVANTAGED CITIZENS.\n1.\nTHE PAST AND THE PRESENT\nThe reforms I have proposed are emplovment-oriented. They\nplace major emphasis on job and training opportunities and strong\nwork incentives for people who are able to work. 400,000 jobs\nwould be created to give those on welfare jobs.\nMy reforms also would establish a national minimum benefit\nreflective of the current living increases cost for the poorest\nfamilies with dependent children.\nWorking within our existing welfare system, not to expand, but\nto coordinate programs for more efficient management and more\neffective service, we can rout. out waste and abuse, increase\nself-sufficiency through employment, and provide adequate assistance\nto those who really need it -- many of whom are young children and\nelderly citizens.\nMy welfare reforms also recognize the deepening fiscal burdens\non many State and local governments which, through no fault of\ntheir own, have larger than average welfare populations. Fiscal\nrelief is provided.\nI have also taken separate measures to improve several programs\nwhich have been of great value to poor people in this country.\n-2-\n: have strongly supported the Food. Stamp program.\nI proposed and Congress enacted a program providing help\nto poor people in meeting their increased home energy\ncosts and coping with energy-related emergencies.\nJust this year we enacted legislation to remove abuses\nin the child welfare and foster care programs for poor\nchildren and to help those homeless children find\npermanent homes with loving families.\nI have established an inspector general program under which\nI appointed an Inspector General in most Federal departments\nto rout out fraud, abuse, and waste in Federal programs.\n2.\nTHE FUTURE\nA.\nReagan\n1983\nMy opponent has recommended shifting our national welfare problems\nonto the shoulders of State and local governments, and said that\nhe would transfer welfare back to the States along with the tax\nsources to finance it. I believe that the responsibility of\ntaking care of poor people in this country is a responsibility\nof both the Federal and State governments, and given the problems\nthe system faces, transferring welfare problems to the States is\nnot reform.\nMy opponent opposes the ERA. Most of the adults on welfare are\nwomen. Equal rights for them both legally and economically would\nhelp to get them and their children off welfare.\nB.\nCarter\nI will continue to press for final enactment of welfare reform,\nwhich passed the House of Representatives last year.\nIn addition I will take all reasonable administrative measures\nto achieve improvements in the welfare system and to assure that\nwelfare does not compete with employment, but does provide a\nviable system of support for the poor who cannot work.\nREBUTTALS TO REAGAN STATEMENTS\nBased on his interviews, speeches and previous debates, the assertions and\nclaims Reagan will make on a particular subject can be reasonably predicted.\nSet forth below are the key assertions and claims, along with suggested\nrebuttal information.\nCalifornia Record\nReagan\nRebuttal\n1. Rebated $5.7 billion to\nLargest tax increases (3) in California\ntaxpayers.\nhistory.\n$20 billion tax increase.\nNear tripling of tax collections.\n2. Almost no growth in\nO\n20% increase in State employees\ngovernment.\n(counting higher education and mental\nhealth, which Reagan does not).\nGreater per capita increase than\nunder predecessor.\nHeld down government\nHighest real growth rate in State's\nspending.\nhistory.\nC\n126% increase in State budget.\n1.\nStopped bureaucracy's\nO\nCreated 30 new State agencies and\ngrowth.\nboards.\n\"No significant State program was\neliminated.\" L.A. Times\n3. Reformed welfare - saved\no\nWelfare costs tripled.\n$2 billion; caseload dropped.\nNo one will confirm S2 billion savings.\nO\nFought in court Congress' mandated\ncost-of-living increases for welfare\nrecipients.\nO\nLast time we debated -- at Governors'\nConference in 1973 - he argued against\nincreased welfare assistance (on behalf\nof Nixon's position).\nC\nCaseload dropped because economy improve\n-2-\nReagan\nRebuttal\n6. Had toughest anti-smog laws\nO\nWere passed over his objections.\nin country when he left\noffice.\nO\nLeague of Conservation Voters said\nhe undermined the State's pollution\nprogram.\nEconomy\n:.\nKemp-Roth is not inflationary;\nO\nOwn running-mate once said i: would\ndoes what John Kennedy's tax\ncause 30% inflation; cannot cut\ncut did; supported by all\nS1 trillion over next 5 years and\neconomists who have analyzed\nnot be inflationary.\nit.\nO\nKennedy's cut occurred when inflation\nwas 1%-2%; was much smaller cut (24%\nover two Years) ; and was only a\nbusiness tax cut.\nC\nNo rebutable economists not supporting\nReagan support it, and his OWN economists\nhave tried to get him == sciten has\nsupport for the bill.\nO\nFord does not support R-K-R.\n2.\nTaxes doubled since 1976.\nO\nShows lack of understanding of government\nfigures.\nO\nTotal receipts will double, but tax\nburdens have not gone up much (1976 -\n18.5% of GNP; 1981 - 21.8%), and some\nof increase is due to Windfall Tax.\nO\nBurdens will be reduced after\nRevitalization Program is enacted.\n3. Budget deficit for last four\nO\nBudget deficit as a percentage of GNP\nyears is highest in history.\nis less than half of what was inherited.\nO\nInherited largest deficit in history\nand have made spending restraints\nwhich will ensure further reductions\nin deficit.\nO\nCurrent deficit is directly due =\nrecession - if unemployment was now where\nit was two years ago (6%) we would be in\nbalance.\n-3-\nReagan\nRebuttal\nInflation rose from 4.8% in\nC\nNo denying inflation is up -- largely\n76 to 18.1% in first three\nbecause of OPEC.\nmonths of this year.\nO\nMisleading to lock at only a few\nmonths figures -- underlying rate is\nno more 18% than the 0% we saw in July.\nO\nUnderlying rate -- according to all\neconomists --- is about 9%, or only\n1-1/2 points above what we inherited.\n5. Unemployment is worse than\nNearly 9 million new jobs created.\nwhen you took office;\n8 million unemployed.\nEmployment grown more rapidly than any\nAdministration in history (twice as\nfast as Republican predecessors).\nO\nMinority youth employment has increased\n17 times as fast as previous four years.\nO\nUnemployment declined in each of\nprevious three months.\n6. Real take home pay of\n0\nUsing statistic which is seriously\naverage worker has fallen\nflawed in economists' view.\n10% (this relies on statistic\ncalled \"real spendable weekly\nO\nBest measure is real, after-tax income\nearnings\".\nper person.\nO\nThat shows that real income has\naveraged growth of 1.6% per year during\nmy Administration (or about 6% since\n'77).\n7. Unemployment has been at\no\nUnemployment during Depression went as\nDepression levels.\nhigh as 25%.\nO\nNever reached 8% during my Administratio\no\nDid reach 8.5% during previous\nAdministration.\n8. Record numbers of Blacks\nO\n1.3 million new jobs held by Blacks.\nare unemployed.\nO\n13% more Blacks employed today.\nO\nEmployment grown at twice the rate it\ndid during Nixon-Ford years.\n-4-\nReagan\nRebuttal\n9.\nGovernment spending has not\nO\nReal growth in Federal spending has\nbeen controlled, and has been\nbeen cut in half.\nprincipal cause of inflation.\n0\nDeficit as percentage of GNP is less\nthan half what I inherited.\n10. Broke 176 campaign promise\nO\nStill are our goals.\n== get inflation and unemploy-\nment down to 10%.\nO\nOPEC and recession made impossible.\nC\nBetter chance of reaching if avoid\nEassive tax cut and if pursue by\njob-creating Economic Revitalization\nprogram.\nit.\nSocial Security tax increase\nO\nTax\nIncrease protected System from\nwas largest tax increase in\nbankruptcy.\nhistory.\n8% credit will eliminate taxt year S\nscheduled increase.\nEnergy\n:.\nPursued anti-production\nO\nDecontrol of oil and natural gas are\npolicies throughout\ndirectly responsible for production\nAdministration.\nincreases -- by 1985, 400-700,000 b/d\nof oil and 2 trillion cubic feet per\nyear of natural gas more than there\nwould be if controls were continued.\n0\nOil and gas exploration will set new\nrecord in '80 - 3,164 rigs in\noperation this month. Oil and gas\nwells drilled will reach 60,000 in\n'80 -- 66% above 1976.\nO\nCoal production will reach highest\nlevel, exceeding 800 million tons for\nthe first time in history -- 15% above\n1976.\n-5-\nReagan\nRebuttal\n2.\nExcluding Alaska, oil production\n0\nIncluding Alaska, which is still a\nhas declined every year of this\npart of the United States, domestic\nAdministration.\noil production has gone up in 3 out\nof 4 years in office.\nO\nMore new wells are being drilled this\nyear and more rigs are active today\nthan at any time in our Nation's\nhistory.\n3.\nMore dependent on OPEC than\nO\nImports of foreign oil down 2 million\nbefore.\nbarrels per day since '76, or 23%.\nReduced dependence has enabled us to\navcid shortfalls that might have\nresulted because of Iran-Iraq War.\nDuring previous 2 Republican Adminis-\ntrations (1968-75) imports of foreign\noil increased from 2.8 million barrels\nper day = 8.8 million barrels per day.\nThere is tic energy shortage --\nC\nWe have produced about 120 billion\nthere is still more oil in\nbarrels of domestic oil SO far.\nthe ground than we have\nAssuming that enhanced oil recovery\ntaken out.\nmethods such as secondary and tertiary\nrecovery reach their full potential,\nthe total volume remaining = be\nproduced is about 73 billion barrels.\nC\nNo authoritative estimate has ever\nclaimed that secondary and tertiary\nmethods could bring total production\nup to 120 billion barrels.\n5. SPRO has been mismanaged.\nWe made a reful decision, based on\nthe international market situation,\nnot to buy vast quantities of oil\nfor the SPRO last year. To have done\nso would just have driven up the\nworld oil price.\nO\nWe have now started filling rather\nrapidly (24 million barrels now\nbeing delivered) and a number of\ntests have proved that the system\nworks smoothly.\n-6-\nReagan\nRebuttal\n6. There is 20 need for government\nO\nWithout government role, there has\nrole in synfuels development.\nbeen no synfuels production; now on\ntarget to produce 2 million barrels\nof synfuels per day by 1992.\nO\nGovernment will only help with\nfinancing -- absorbing the risk of\nnew technology -- no operating or\nmanagement role.\nProhibited exploration on\nO\nOur Alaska Lands bill Leaves 90% of the\npossibly productive lands.\npromising oil and gas land available\nfor development and 100% of the Outer\nContinental Shelf, where most oil and\ngas will probably be found.\nO\nMy new 5-year 5 Outer Continental Shelf\nleasing program offers more acreage\n(45 million acres) than all acreage\noffered since the program began in\n1954. though only 2-3% of the OCE is\nnow reased, less than 10% has any\npossible oil OI gas reserves.\nC\nOf the 822 million acres of Federal\nmineral estate, about 500 million\nacres are available for lease.\n8. Windfall Tax is not a tax\nO\nThe Windfall Tax reclaims some of the\non oil companies -- but a\nincreased profits that the oil companies\ntax on consumers.\nwill make from consumers when oil is\ndecontrolled. It creates the revenues\nwe need to increase domestic production\nof energy and to help our poor citizens\nafford the rising costs of energy.\n9.\nOne year's waste from a\no\nThis ignores the serious responsibility\nnuclear plant could be\nthat the Federal government has to\nstored under a desk.\nestablish a safe nuclear waste\nprogram.\nC\nMost nuclear plants create more\nwaste than this in a year, but size\nis irrelevant; a cyanide capsule or\na time bomb are small, too, but that\ndoes not mean they are safe.\n-7-\nEnvironment\nReagan\nRebuttal\n1.\nEPA is dominated by \"no growth\"\nO\nAt my direction, EPA has devised inno-\nadvocates -- EPA wants you to\nvative regulatory approaches, such as\nlive in birds nests or rabbit\nthe bubble policy, economic incentives,\nholes.\nemissions banking and deadline\nextensions, to allow growth to continue\nwhile keeping environmental costs at\nan acceptable level.\nC\nEPA's activities are essential if WE\nare to have the kind of growth we all\nwant -- healthy growth that does not\ndespoil our air and water for future\ngenerations.\n2. Clean Air Act has forced\nO\nNot even the steel companies claim\nclosing of steel mills.\nthat Carter's steel program provides\ncase-by-case balance between needs\nof steel and environmental goals.\nEven the industry admits that our\nprogram solves the industry's major\nenvironmental concerns.\n3.\nEnvironmental regulations\nO\nThe vast majority (about S3%) of\nhave hurt auto industry.\nindustry expenditures for Federal\nregulations are for fuel economy --\nnot for environmental protection.\nConsumer demand is forcing the\nindustry to make these investments\nregardless of Federal requirements.\nObviously some investment for environ-\nmental regulation is necessary to\nprotect the health of our citizens -\nas recent victims of Los Angeles'\nsmog episode will attest.\nO\nMy Administration has worked to ensure\nthat regulations are cost-effective.\nEPA has modified several rules to\nsave the industry as much as\n$600 million without sacrificing air\nquality.\nMoreover, environmental regulation has\nencouraged the development of new tech-\nnology benefitting the industry and\nconsumers; for example, the new\nelectronic devises which save fuel as\nwell as curb pollution.\n-8-\nReagan\nRebuttal\nEPA is anti-coal.\nO\nEPA believes that coal can be burned\ncleanly with the appropriate pollution\ncontrol technologies, and they are\nfunding studies = develop better\nand cheaper devices.\nO\nEPA has shown its flexibility in\ndealing with coal-burning pollution\ntime and time again -- most recently\nby extending the 30-day averaging\nprovision in Ohio SC that Ohio\nutilities can burn Ohio coal.\n5. Air pollution is\nC\nAnyone who lives in an urban area knows\nsubstantially under\nthat air pollution is not under control.\ncontrol. Mt. St. Helens\nIn fact, when Reagan made that claim.\nand trees cause more pollution\nLos Angeles was under a several-week\nthan cars.\npollution alert.\nO\nMC\n15t. Helens emits sulfur cxides.\nwhich cars de not. Power plants in\nthe U.S. dc, though, but they emit\n50 times as much in a day as\nMt. St. Helens. Trees emit harmless\nnitrous crides, not the nitrogen\ndioxide that comes from CETS and can\ncause serious heart and respiratory\nillness.\n6. Carter has closed off =\nO\n90% of land in Alaska with potential\nmuch of Alaska to energy\noil reserves is open to exploration,\nexploration.\nand 100% of the Outer Continental Shelf\nwhere most cil and gas probably will\nbe found.\n7.\nSagebrush rebellion will\nO\nReagan would give away millions of\nbecome Reagan Administration\nacres of land that is now owned by all\npolicy.\nof the people in the country to a few\nprivate interests.\nO\nI would continue to open these lands\nfor commercial development as appro-\npriate, but = would not give up the\nAmerican peoples right == enjoy\nnatural resources.\n-9-\nReagan\nRebuttal\n6. 55 MPH speed limit should\nO\nSaved 40,000 lives and 228,000 barrels\nbe eliminated.\nof gasoline per day.\n9. Toughest anti-smog Laws in\nC\nHe opposed the laws while they were\nNation were enacted during\ngoing through the Legislature.\nhis term as Governor.\nO\nLeague of Conservation Voters said\nhe undermined tough enforcement of\nenvironmental laws.\nRegulation and Government Reform\n:. Trucking, airline and banking\nO\nMost significant change in government\nderegulation are merely\nrelationship with business since the\npublicized examples of\nNew Deal.\nshowcase deregulation.\nO\nMore real regulatory reform in last\n3½ years than-in preceding 3½ decades.\nO\nAirline deregulation saved $5 billion\nfor consumers in first IWC years.\n0\nTrucking deregulation will reduce\nshipping costs by $5-8 billion a year.\n2.\nGreatest regulator in history;\n=\nDeregulated airlines, rails, = banking,\nhasn't done anything to stop\ntrucking and communications\nregulation growth.\n(administratively).\nO\nReduced paperwork burden by 15%.\nO\nDeregulated oil pricing and natural\ngas pricing.\nO\nRegulations now written in easy-to-\nunderstand English.\nO\nReformed regulatory process -- cost of\nregulations reviewed for first time\nin Nation's history.\n3.\nFederal Register pages\nO\nThere are more pages because we now requ:\nhave increased.\nlarge print for easy reading and a simpl:\nfied explanation that the average person\ncan understand.\nC\nThere has not been any real increase in\nthe number of new regulations (those bei:\nissued are largely the product of status\nenacted before I took office).\n-10-\nReagan\nRebuttal\nNothing has been done about the\nC\nInspectors General appointed in every\n$50 billion in fraud and abuse\nDepartment.\nin government programs.\nO\nCivil Service Reform improved ability\nto detect problems.\nO\nReagan has never indicated precisely\nhow he would cut out this problem\nor precisely what programs are\ninvolved.\nAgriculture\n.gricultural policies are an\nO\nAgricultural exports have set records\nunprecedented disaster.\nevery year - this year will rise by\nS8 billion to $40 billion.\nO\nFarth\nincome was up in each of last\nyears.\n=\nLast year farm income reached record-\ntying level.\nO\nPast four years - record yields in\nsix major crops.\nO\nFirst farmer-owned grain reserve.\nC\nOpened up new trade markets -- in\nChina, Mexico.\n2.\nGrain embargo has hurt\nO\nSoviet feed grain imports are off\nfarmers more than Soviets.\nby 8-10 million tons.\nO\nSoviets now forced into meat\nshortage situation.\n0\nFarmers were made whole for any\nlosses through grain purchase\nprogram.\nKEY LINES TO USE AT BEGINNING OF COMMENTS ON REAGAN\n1.\nSimplistic Solutions That Won't Work in the Real World\n--\nGovernor Reagan simply does not understand the consequences of\nhis proposal.\n--\nGovernor Reagan's program has an initial, surface appeal, but\nI've learned as President to look beneath the surface.\n-- Governor Reagan's proposal provides a simplistic and erroneous\nsolution to a very complicated problem.\n--\nI do not believe Governor Reagan would make that proposal if he\nappreciated the complexities involved.\nI\nI had a similar view before I became President and learned\nfirst-hand the complexities Tinvolved.\n:\nI have learned a great deal from the experiences of the last\n4 years. I wish that the Governor had learned as well.\n--\nI wish the matter were as simple as the Governor has portrayed it.\nIt would have made my job a lot easier these past four years.\nI would have said the exact same thing myself -- four years agc.\nFortunately for the country, I have learned that\n2.\nTroublesome\nThat kind of thinking has gotten us into trouble before.\n3.\nRepublican\nThat is a good example of age-old Republican doctrine. (NHD, Minimum\nwage, Medicare)\n4.\nIgnores Consequences\nThat sounds fine. But let's look at the consequences.\n5.\nReliance on Experts\nGovernor Reagan cites what he calls \"expert\" opinion (on Kemp-Roth,\nmilitary needs). As President, you get \"expert\" opinion on both sides.\nThe President must be the final judge.\n-2-\n6. Negative\nAnyone can list problems. we need to understand them.\n7. Knee-ierk\nGovernor Reagan seems to have a predictable, knee-jerk response to\nevery situation. Kemp-Roth is his answer whether the economy is expanding\nor contracting. Military power is always his answer, necessary or not.\n8. Vacue\nThe Governor paints a rather vague picture. I would like a few more\ndetails. I would like to know\nwhen\nwhere\nhow\n9. Elitist\nThat is a great idea -- if you make $200,000 a year!\n10. Pro-Business\nThe Governor says we should rely on the private sector alone. That is\nthe approach Herbert Hoover took The private sector alone can't be\ndepended upon to protect worker safety and health or the environment or ==\nsolve our energy problem cr provide medical care for the aged.\n11. Quoting Democrats\n= notice that Governor Reagan likes to quote Democratic Presidents whose\nprograms he opposed.\n12. Women's Issues\nI do not think many working women would agree with that.\n13. Flip-Flops\nI salute Governor Reagan for moderating his position. It makes good\npolitical sense. Unfortunately it contradicts entirely what he has stood\nfor these past 20 years.\n14. Attacks on Record\nGovernor Reagan fails to mention something: Before we came along, this\ncountry did not even have -- (an energy policy; a Camp David peace process;\nhuman rights program).\n-3-\n15. Hostaces\nDoes Governor Reagan seriously believe that I have not done everything\nI could to get those hostages out safely? If he had a solution, I feel\nconfident he would have offered it long ago -- just as any American citizen\nwould.\n16. \"Secret Plans\"\nOur country learned in 1968 how dangerous it was to believe in \"secret\nplans\" to end international disputes.\n17. Democratic Party\nGovernor Reagan appears to accept Democratic solutions about a generation\nafter they were first proposed (Civil Rights Act, Medicare, Social Security)\nAt this rate, he will be supporting ERA and national health insurance\nsometime in the 21st century!\n18. Clear-Cut Choice\nThat is one position. Fortunately, the American people have a clear-cut\nchoice this year. My position is that\n19. Progress\nGovernor, you used to say on T.V., \"progress is our most important\nproduct. But what you've just said isn't progress.\n20. The GOP Platform/ERA\nHarry Truman said that \"\nparty platforms are contracts with the\npeople.\" I agree.\nThe women of America should know that the platform of the Republican\nParty deprives them their rightful place in our Constitution.\n21. Women--ERA\nThe Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution is just as vital and\nnecessary today as were the Civil Rights Amendments to the Constitution of\nthe last century. Anything less is a half-measure.\n22. Economy\nKemp-Roth is a rich man's tax cut which would flood the country with\nexcess dollars, and which his own Vice-Presidential candidate has called\n\"voodco economics\".\nThe Republican economic philosophy is trickled down. I'm with Hubert\nHumphrey who said Democratic economics percolate up.\n-4-\nGovernor, your tax proposals give the largest tax breaks to the\npeople who need them least -- the rich.\nYour economic program is survival of the richest.\n23. Economy (Labor, Social Security or Medicare)\nI think the American working family can tell the difference between\nan old friend and a new-found friend.\n24. Statistics\nThose numbers just don't reflect reality.\nGovernor Reagan's statistics on\nare\nabout as accurate as his statistics JUN 27 198 '90 percent pollution came from\ntrees.\"\n25. Energy (Windfall Profits)\nGovernor Reagan apparently doesn't believe that the oil companies make\nenough money.\n26. Defense\nGovernor Reagan's defense proposals mean one thing -- a multi-billion\ndollar arms race the American people don't need, don't want and can't afford.\nFirst-Hand Accounts\n(These can be used to take advantage of your training and experience)\n1.\nPeace in the Nuclear Age.\n= served as an engineer on a nuclear submarine.\nI know what nuclear power and nuclear weapons can do.\nI know that all the laws of combat changed when the first atom\nwas smashed.\nI know that the age of the six-gun is over.\nI know you cannot go charging up San Juan Hill with today's\nweapons.\n2.\nBuilding Peace\nI have learned first-hand how to build peace between Nations.\nIt is not simply by avoiding war\nYou build peace by establishing mutual respect, by finding areas\nwhere Nations can cooperate to benefit each other.\nI learned this lesson in building peace between Israel and her\nmost powerful Arab neighbor -- a peace of economic technological\ncooperation, a peace that will grow into a strong regional\npartnership.\nI have worked first-hand with Sadat and Begin to build this peace.\nI am thrilled to see these two countries cooperating for mutual\nbenefit, to watch on television and see.: Egyptian ships being\nreceived at Israeli ports, to see the Jerusalem Post on sale in\nCairo.\n3.\nBuilding Energy Security\nI have learned first-hand there is more to security than simply\nmilitary hardware.\nI have had to plan for energy contingencies. I have had to \"sell\"\nthe American people on the energy challenge.\nI have had to confront\ndifficult regional differences in Congress.\n2\nGovernment Efficiency\nI came to the White House believing that the best way to improve\nefficiency was to consolidate Governmental units.\nI have learned first-hand that the key lies in building a responsive,\nproductive Federal Civil Service. The people make the difference,\nnot the organizational structure. I have pushed through the most\nsweeping overhaul of the Civil Service in a century. The new system\noffers real incentives for good management performance. It has\nreceived strong bi partisan support 'and praise.\n5.\nDealing with Experts\nJUN\nI have learned you get \"expert\" opinion on both sides of every\nissue. Finally, the President must be the \"expert\".\nFOR PRESIDENT CARTER\nQUESTIONS TO ASK GOVERNOR REAGAN\nA.\nOverview\n1.\nWhich specific domestic initiatives of the past 4 years would you seek\nto have Congress repeal?\n2.\nHow can you say your positions have not changed in light of your current\nstands on New York City aid, Chrysler aid, abolishing OSHA, eliminating\nthe minimum wage, and China?\n3.\nCan you explain how you planned to divide responsibility with former\nPresident Ford when you were considering him as your running mate?\n4.\nDo you disavow any parts of the Republican Platform?\n5.\nWhy should people believe that you were Serious about cutting Federal\nspending when you have spent SO much of the campaign making promises\nwhich cost SO much money (inheritance tax removal; tuition tax credit etc. ) ?\n6.\nWhat audience have you addressed in this campaign and called upon them for\nsacrifice, rather than promised additional aid or assistance?\n7.\nHow can the American people believe that equal rights would be protected\nas well by statute if hundreds of statutes would have to be changed by\nCongress and hundreds by State legislatures?\nB.\nCalifornia Record\n1.\nWhy should voters believe you will reduce the size of the Federal government,\nreduce taxes or reduce the number of government employees when you failed\nto achieve any of these goals in California?\nC.\nEconomy\n1.\nWhy have you not named yet a specific program that you would cut in this\nyear's budget, in light of the fact that you are proposing to cut\n$13-19 billion out of this budget as soon as you take office?\n2.\nWill you oppose further increases in the minimum wage?\n-2-\n3.\nWhat evidence do you have that there was any White House role in changing\nthe PPI method of calculation?\n4.\nWhy have you not told the American people your unemployment and inflation\nprojections for next year? (The Senate Budget Committee forecast is not\nbased on your Kemp-Roth proposal).\n5.\nIn light of the positions you took until just recently on the minimum wage,\nOSHA, and applying the antitrust laws to unions, why should working people\nbelieve your current positions reflect your true views?\n6.\nIf you are so concerned about providing investment incentives, why did\nyou drop your support of the 10-5-3-proposal and provide only 10% of\nyour tax cut for investment purposes?\nT.\nCan you tell us why President Ford and your own running mate have not\nsupported your tax cut program?\nD.\nEnergy and Environment\n27:1983\n1.\nCan you explain again to the American people why you believe 93% of air\npollution is caused by trees and how it is that pollution has been\n\"substantially controlled\"?\n2.\nWould you repeal the Windfall Profits Tax or have you changed your\nposition on that tax now?\nE.\nGovernment\n1.\nAre you still standing by your earlier positions that you will seek to\nabolish the Departments of Energy and Education or have you changed\nyour positions?\n2.\nWhat specific powers and functions would you return to the States and\nwhat ão you mean by \"tax sources to pay for them\"?\n3.\nSince you opposed the Chrysler and New York City assistance programs\nwhen they were being considered by the Congress, what would you have\ndone to deal with those problems?\n4.\nWhy do you believe a total freeze of Federal hiring would be any more\nproductive in reducing the number of Federal employees than was your\nfreeze in California? Are you aware I have had such a freeze on for\nseveral months?\n-3-\nF.\nHuman Needs\n:.\nWhy have you failed to support the Fair Housing bill now being considered\nby the Congress?\n2.\nWhy have you failed to support the Unemployment Compensation Extension\nnow being considered by the Concress?\n3.\nWhy do you oppose any form of National Health Insurance?\nCHALLENGES\n(You may want to use the technique of challenging Reagan to provide an answer,\nwhich he obviously will not know or will not want to provide.)\nExamples:\n1. I challenge Governor Reagan to deny that in this campaign he has changed\nhis 20-year-long position on\n2. I challenge Governor Reagan to deny that he once said\n3. : challenge Governor Reagan to name any expert (not on his payroll)\n(not supporting his candidacy) who will support that statement.\n4.\n= challenge Governor Reagan to tell us specifically which programs he\nwould begin eliminating next year.\n5. I challenge Governor Reagan to let us know if he still plans to dismantle\nthe Departments of Education and Energy upon assuming office.\n6. = challenge Governor Reagan tottell us his inflation projections and his\nspecific plan to fight inflation\n= - challenge Governor Readan to explain how changing hundreds of Federal\nand State statutes is a better) and quicker way to ensure equal rights\nthan ERA?\n8. = challenge Governor Reagan to deny that he led the effort to oppose\nMedicare).\nE. = challenge Governor Reagan to be specific about his program to transfer\nprograms back to the States and to tell us how that will be financed and\nhow it differs from his $90 billion transfer program of 1976.\n10. I challenge Governor Reagan to deny that he made the same charge about the\nU.S. becoming No. 2 militarily against Gerald Ford in 1976.\n11.\nI challenge Governor Reagan to let us know why he has not yet indicated\nhis support for the Fair Housing bill in the Senate, which is now opposed\nby the Republicans following his lead.\n12. : - - challenge Governor Reagan to explain why he opposed a grain embargo\nagainst the Soviet Union when he now supports a total trade embargo\nor why he could now support a total quarantine.\n13. I challenge Governor Reagan to deny that taxes and spending doubled while\nhe was Governor.\n2\n0\nHe tends to stay above the fray, leaving his opponents to try to throw\nthe haymakers.\nO\nHe responds to criticism or attack, either by making light of it or by\nappearing hurt. In the Anderson debate, for example,\n--\nwhen Anderson implied he was against conserving energy, he\nresponded: \"Well, as I've said, I am not an enemy of conser-\nvation. I wouldn't be called a conservative, if I were.\n--\nwhen Anderson attacked some statistics he used, he responded:\n\"Well, some people look up figures, and some people make up\nfigures. And John has just made up some very interesting\nfigures.\" (He also looked very pained that his figures were\nbeing challenged.)\nC\nSe regularly appeals to his audience's patriotic pride, both with anecdotes\nand in his closing statements in every debate.\nHe occasionally injects a light touch into the debate, including some\nself-deprecating humor. For example,\n:\nwhen the moderator asked for a one sentence response to a question\nand then called Reagan for responding with two sentences, he\nresponded: \"I thought I put a semicolon in there.\"\n--\nwhen he referred to Ancient Rome and the moderator made a comment\nabout being young then, Reagan popped back: \"In' the only one here\nold enough to remember.\"\n:\nwhen asked his position on ERA, he responded: \"I'm = for ER. :\ncan't go along with A.\"\nIn sum, Governor Reasan's style is to carry on a conversation with his viewing\naudience. He is verv disarming, always general, and often loose with his facts.\nHis answers nearly always revert to his anti-government themes. He appears to\nbe appealing to his audience's common sense; but more often appeals to\npatriotism and national pride.\nREAGAN AND PREVIOUS DEBATES\n5 review of the way Governor Reagan handles himself in debates (he has\nperticipated in five this year) is very instructive, and very impressive.\nGovernor Reagan's style in these debates -- while it appears simplistic on\nthe surface -- is both disarming and effective:\nWith a very few exceptions, he talks to his viewing audience and\nnot to his opponent. In his debate with Anderson, for example, such\nphrases pop UD as \"John tells us\" or \"when John talks about\" CT\n'John claims.\"\nO\nHe seldom answers the question he is asked.\nC\nHe avoids specifics. He virtually never talks in programmatic terms.\nHe never uses lists of programs or proposals.\nO\nHe uses slightly irrelevant anecdores to deflect direct questions;\nindeed, he is probably the best deflector of questions on American\npolitics. For example, when asked what justices presently on the\nSupreme Court he would like his appointments to the Court to emulate,\nhe answered with an anecdote about John Marshall being a great justice\nand not a lawyer.\nVirtually every answer he gives blames government or government inter-\nvention for the problem about which he's asked.\n=\nHe falls back heavily on his record as Governor of California in answering\nquestions.\no\nHe uses conversational questions effectively, both to avoid questions he\nis asked, to make his own points without sounding shrill or harsh, and\nto keep the audience interested. That's one way he avoids reciting long,\nboring lists or proposals. His transcripts are filled with questions\nbeginning with \"Shouldn't we\", \"Why don't we, \" \"Wouldn't it make sense\",\netc. For example, in his debate with Anderson, when asked about his urban\nprogram, he used such questions as:\n--\nWhy don't we start with the Federal Government turning back tax\nsources to states and local governments, as well as responsibilities\nfor those programs?\n-- Wouldn't it make a lot more sense if the Government let them (the\ncities) keep their own money in the first place?\n--\nWhy don't we offer incentives for business and industry to start\nup these zones (depressed city areas)?\n--\nWhat if we had a Homestead Act, and said to people for S1 we will\nsell you this house?\n2\nHe tends to stay above the fray, leaving his opponents to try to throw\nthe haymakers.\nHe responds to criticism or attack, either by making light of it or by\nappearing hurt. In the Anderson debate, for example,\n--\nwhen Anderson implied he was against conserving energy, he\nresponded: \"Well, as I've said, I am not an enemy of conser-\nvation. I wouldn't be called a conservative, if I were.\n--\nwhen Anderson attacked some statistics he used, he responded:\n\"Well, some people look up figures, and some people make up\nfigures. And John has just made up some very interesting\nfigures.\" (He also looked very pained that his figures were\nbeing challenged.)\nHe regularly appeals to his audience's patriotic pride, both with anecdotes\nand in his closing statements in every debate.\nHe occasionally injects a light touch into the debate, including some\nself-deprecating humon. For example,\n--\nwhen the moderator asked for a one sentence response to a question\nand then called Reagan for responding with two sentences, he\nresponded: \"I thought I put a semicolon in there.\"\n1980\n-\nwhen he referred to Ancient Rome and the moderator made a comment\nabout being young then, Reagan popped back: \"Im' the only one here\nold enough to remember.\"\n-- when asked his position on ERA, he responded: \"I'm for ER. I\ncan't go along with A.\"\nIn sum, Governor Reagan's style is to carry on a conversation with his viewing\naudience. He is very disarming, always general, and often loose with his facts.\nHis answers nearly always revert to his anti-government themes. He appears to\nbe appealing to his audience's common sense; but more often appeals to\npatriotism and national pride.\nMAJOR CARTER ACCOMPLISHMENTS\nDOMESTIC\n1.\nComprehensive Energy Program.\n:\nRestored Openness and Integrity = Government.\n3.\nRestored economic growth after deep recession of '74-'75; and increased\nemployment overall, as well as for minorities, women and youth.\n4.\nRescued Social Security System from bankruptcy.\n5.\nExpanded and improved major \"people\" programs - health, housing, social\nservices.\n6.\nDeregulated airline, trucking, railroad and banking industries.\n7.\nGovernment Reform -- Civil Service Reform; simplified regulatory process;\nreduced paperwork burdent\n8.\nReduced size of Federal government (40,000 fewer full time employees)\n(Note: temporary and part-time,more than employees have increased\n9.\nAppointment of record number of mincrities and women = judgeships and\ntop policy management positions.\n10.\nExpanded government efforts on behalf of equal opportunities and equal rights.\n2.\nEducation - substantial expansion of key programs and creation of Department\nof Education.\n12. Comprehensive Urban Policy.\n13.\nProtected the Environment.\n14.\nStrong Farm Policy.\n(FACTS AND FIGURES ON THESE DOMESTIC ACCOMPLISHMENTS ARE SET FORTH IN THE FOLLOWING\nFAGES.)\nFOREIGN\n1. Peace\n2.\nCamp David Accords /Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty\n3.\nCompletion of SALT == Negotiations\n-\nRatification of Panama Canal Treaties\n5.\nMajority Rule/Free Elections in Zimbabwe\n6.\nNormalization of Relations with China\n7.\nReal Increases in Defense Spending, reversing years of decline\n8.\nStrengthened NATO Alliance\n9. Firm opposition to Soviet invasion of O Echanistan\n10. Negotiation and Congressional approval of Multilateral Trade Agreement -\nmost substantial trade agreement of our generation\n#1\nCOMPREHENSIVE ENERGY PROGRAM\nRev Elements\n1.\nProduction\n0\nComprehensive Energy Act of 178 (including phased deregulation of\nnatural gas prices).\nO\nDecontrol of oil prices.\nO\nCoal Production and Conversion Incentives.\n0\nAlaskan Natural Gas Pipeline (supplying 5% of our gas,\nC\nMexican Natural Gas Agreement.\n2.\nConservation\nO\nStandby Gasoline Rationing Plan:\n0\nTokyo and Venice Energy Conservation and Consumption Commitments of\nAllies.\n3.\nSclar and Gasohol\n0\nConservation and Solar Bank (providing $3 billion in loans over\nnext 4 years).\nO\nFirst Solar Energy Tax Credits.\n0\nSolar Commitment of 20% by year 2000; solar funding tripled.\nO\nWindfall Profits Tax.\nL.\nSafer Nuclear Power\n0\nImplementation of Kemeny Commission Recommendations.\n5.\nSynthetics\n0\nSynthetic Fuels Corporation (target of 2 million barrels per day\nby 1992) : biggest peacetime program in history to achieve energy\nsecurity.\nKev Results\nC\nImports declined everv year I've been in office -- historic reversal of\nincreasing dependence every decade since WW II, which I inherited.\n-2-\nC\nImporting 2.2 million barrels per day less than in '77 (25% less)\n(in 3 years before you took office oil imports rose 44%). (In 1980,\noil imports are down by 1.4 million barrels per day compared to 1979.)\nC\nGasoline demand down 10% (750,000 barrels per day) since 1978.\nO\nDomestic crude oil production this year will reach 7 year high of over\n8.6 million barrels daily (10% increase over '77) (in 3 years before\nyou took office production declined by 7% or 600,000 barrels per day).\nO\n011 and gas exploration efforts will set new record in 'SC with an\nestimated monthly average 3,000 rigs in operation -- 70% increase\nover '76.\n0\nCoal production in '8C will reach 850 million tons -- 25% above 176\n(between '72-176, production grew only by 13%) -- all-time high.\nC\nCoal consumption in '80 will be 17% above '76, and coal's share of total\nU.S. energy needs in '80 will pass 20% while oil's share will decline for\nsecond consecutive year; coal exports in '79 reached 5-year high, and\nwill set another record in '80 (84 million tons). For first. time over\n50% of our electricity comes from American coal and not OPEC bil.\nO\nUse of solar energy in households has increased tenfold in past - - years.\n#2\nOPENNESS AND INTEGRITY\nKev Elements\n0\nExecutive Order requiring financial disclosure of government officials\nand prohibiting revolving door practices.\n0\nEthics in Government Act - putting into statute the requirements of\nthe Executive Order; also establishment of Special Prosecutor\nprocedure.\n0\nInspectors General - placed in each Cabinet Department to identify\nfraud and waste; identified S2 billion in wasteful expenditures; over\n600 fraud convictions to date.\n=\nExecutive Order reducing over-classification of government documents -\nincreases amount of classified material to be released over next\ndecade by 250 million pages.\no\nHeld 31 Town Hall Meetings - none held by previous Presidents.\n0\nHeld 59 press conferences.\nKev Results\nO\nRestored openness and integrity of earlier Democratic Administrations.\n=\nGreater public access than ever to government decisionmakers and\ngovernment information.\n0\nEnsured feeling by American people of integrity of their governmental\nleaders.\n#3\nRESTORED ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INCREASED EMPLOYMENT\nKey Elements\n$21 billion economic stimulus package in '77.\nO\n$20 billion tax cut in '78 (that cut plus the $8 billion cut in the\nstimulus package are valued at $40 billion in 1980).\n=\nReduction by one-third of capital gains rate\nMTN Agreement and Export Policy.\nC\n'77 Economic Stimulus Package -- $21 billion program = stimulate\neconomy and create jobs.\nHumphrey-Hawkins Full Employment Act.\nIncreased public service employment funds by 115% and jobs by 150,000\n(from 300,000 in '77 to 450,000 now).\nC\nIncreased youth employment funds by 230% (providing : million youth with\ntraining and jobs).\no\nPrivate Sector Jobs Program (S400 million annually -- 120,000 will get\nprivate sector jobs in '80).\nC\nTargeted Employment Tax Credit -- (tax credit for hiring hard-core\nunemployed).\nSummer jobs programs - 1 million jobs annually.\nDoubling size of Job Corps.\nKev Results\nGNP is up by more than 12% since '76 (between '72-'76, rose by only 7%).\nIndustrial production rose 15% from the end of 1976 - end of 1979\n(between '72-'76 industrial production rose only 6-1/2%).\nCorporate profits taxes rose from 1976-1979 by 58% (between '72-76,\ncorporate profits rose by 54%).\nReal business investment in new plant and equipment has grown at an\nannual rate of 4.7% since '76 (this is 4 times greater than the rate for\nthe previous 8 years).\n2\nC\nNew home construction has averaged 1.7 million units since '76\n(during previous comparable period (3 yrs 9 months) average was\nonly 1.5 million units).\n0\nGot country out of recession you inherited (and will lead out of\none we now have).\nO\nEmployment is now 97.2 million\nhighest in history.\nC\n8.8 million new jobs created since December '76 -- nearly double the\nnumber (4.4 million) created in the previous 4 years under Nixon-Ford.\n(Note: stress that unprecedented growth is labor force kept unemployment\nup).\nC\nEmployment of adult women increased by 16% -- 5.6 million new jobs since\nDecember 1976.\nEmployment of Blacks increased by 13% -- 1.3 million new jobs.\nEmployment of Hispanics increased 25% -- 1 million jobs.\n#4\nSOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM\nKev Elements\n0\nProposed and signed legislation to strengthen financial status of\nall of the Social Security Trust Funds.\n0\nProposed credit to negate effect of next year's Social Security tax\nincrease - without reducing in any way Social Security Trust Funds.\n0\nOpposed efforts to tax Social Security benefits, cap Social Security\ncost-of-living increases, raise the retirement age for Social Security.\nKev Results\n27 1988\nC\nNot a single check to any of the 35 million Social Security recipients was\ndelayed a day.\nSystem was able to afford 14% cost-of-living increase this year.\nProposed credit has provided way = ensure continued fiscal integrity\nwhile reducing inflationary impact of the Social Security taxes.\n#5\nDEREGULATION\nKev Elements\no\nPassage of Airline Deregulation.\nC\nPassage of Trucking Dereculation.\no\nPassage of Banking Deregulation (small savers reform)\n0\nPassage of Railroad Deregulation.\n=\nAdministrative action on Communications Deregulation.\nKev Results\nC\nThe 40-year government push for greater government regulation has\nbeen reversed - most fundamental restructuring of relationship\nbetween government and industry since New Deal.\n=\nAirline deregulation has produced a record number of flights and\npassengers: first year consumer savings - $2.5 billion.\nTrucking dereçulation will enhance competition and reduce energy\nconsumption; saves consumers $5-$8 billion a year.\n=\nBanking deregulation has allowed banks and savings and loan\nassociations to increase the interest they pay to those with\nrelatively small savings:\n0\nRail deregulation will save America's railroads from bankruptcy.\n#6\nREDUCED SIZE OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT\nKev Element\nLast March, you imposed a hiring 2-1 freeze. This was the third one since 1977.\nKev Result\nBy October of 1980, there will be 44,000 fewer full-time Federal employees\nthan when you took office. By comparison, during the four previous years,\nthe number of full-time Federal employees grew by 57,000 workers.\n(Note: Part-time hire increased S.19RS by about 80,000)\nPART\n#7\nAPPOINTMENTS\nKev Elements\n=\nAppointed more women, Blacks and Hispanics (over 80) to federal judgeships\nthan all previous Presidents combined.\n0\nAppointed more women, Blacks and Hispanics to senior government positions -\nCabinet, sub-Cabinet, Agency Head, White House staff - than any previous\nPresident.\n0\nAppointed three of the six women to ever serve in Cabinet positions.\nC\nAppointed 40 women judges (there were only 5 women judges at the\nbeginning of the Administration).\n()\nAppointed 38 Black judges (only 17 Black judges before).\nC\nAppointed 16 Hispanic judges (only 5 Hispanic judges before).\n0\nOne third of all judicial appointments have been women or minorities:\nwhen you took office women and minorities-represented just 5% of the\nfederal judiciary.\nN\n0\nAppointed four Blacks to Cabinet positions, and over 50 == key\nsub-Cabinet positions.\n0\nNumber of senior management positions held by women has doubled.\nKev Results\nC\nReal progress made for first time in our history in having women and\nminorities appointed in numbers much more representative of their\nproportion to the population.\no\nHave appointees whose quality is as high or higher than federal government\nand the federal judiciary has ever had.\nO\nHave placed women and minority judges in position to be interpreting our\nlaws into the next century.\n#8\nEDUCATION\nKey Elements\nCreation of Cabinet-level Department of Education (combining 150\nexisting Federal programs into one organization)\nElementary and Secondary Education Act Amendments (extension of Act,\nexpanding and targeting Federal aid to disadvantaged)\n0\nMiddle Income Student Assistance ACT.\n=\nIncrease in Education budget since '77 -- 73% -- largest increase\nin comparable period in history\nC\nIncreased funding of key education programs:\n:\nBasic Skills Training -- 86%\n--\nBilingual and Education -- 100%\n--\nHigher Education and Student Aid -- 48%\n--\nEducation for the Handicapped -- 57%\n--\nHead Start -- 73%\nKev Results\nYou are The Education President.\nEducation represented at the Cabinet-table for first time in history.\n0\nGreater Federal assistance -- without Federal involvement in local\nschools -- than at any time in history.\nC\nNo student denied a college education because of access to needed\nfinancial assistance.\nGreatly increased emphasis on the basic skills -- reading, writing,\ncomputation.\n#9\nURBAN POLICY\nKev Elements\n()\nCreation of Urban Development Action Grant Program (first $1.3 billion\nof UDAG grants have already stimulated $7.5 billion of new investment\nin our Nations cities and created more than 400,000 new jobs).\n0\nExpansion of Economic Development Administration funding from S60 million\nannually for urban areas to nearly $1 billion per year.\n0\nCreation of a rehabilitation tax credit to encourage businesses to\nrehabilitate their facilities in urban areas (nearly $2 billion of\nrehabilitation will be assisted this year through the credit).\nC\nExecutive Order requiring Federal facilities in urban areas tc be\nlocated in the central business area (resulting SO far in relocation\nof more than 200 government fracilities).\n0\nExecutive Order requiring Federal agencies to target their procurement\nactivities to high unemp ovment areas (this year $1.2 billion of Federal\ncontracts will be targered to these areas).\n=\nReauthorization of General Revenue Sharing.\nC\n$1 billion in counter-cyclical aid.\nC\nIncrease funding by nearly $1 billion for the Community Development\nBlock Grant Program.\n0\nCommitment to provide $50 billion for capital investment in mass\ntransit during the 1980's (compared to S15 billion in the 1970's\nO\nFunding for 300,000 subsidized housing units in FY 'G1, a 25% increase.\nKev Results\n0\nNation has a comprehensive urban policy for the first time.\n()\nGrants-in-aid to States and localities have increased by almost 35%\nsince '77 (from $68 billion to $91 billion).\nC\nFunding to increase private sector jobs and investment in our urban\nareas has increased by nearly 3000% ($60 million to $1.8 billion).\nO\nThis funding (UDAG, EDA, investment tax credit for industrial rehabilitation,\nFederal procurement targeted to high unemployment areas) will produce\n$6.5 billion in private investment and 400,000 new jobs this year.\n#10\nPROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT\nKey Elements\nC\nExecutive actions and progress in legislation to protect Alaska lands.\nEnactment and implementation of -Nation's first Stripmining law.\nStrengthening and reauthorization of Clean Air and Water Acts,\nand their effective enforcement at EPA.\n=\nEnactment and implementation of Nuclear Non-Proliferation Act in\ncontext of overall policy of halting push toward plutonium and\ncommercial breeder reactors.\n=\nDevelopment of comprehensive, environmentally sensitive nuclear\nwaste management policy.\n0\nInitiation of new policies and program to reform water resource\ndevelopment; opposition to wasteful water projects.\n=\nEstablishment of goal of a 20% solar U.S. for the year 2000.\n=\nEstablishment of energy conservation as cornerstone of national energy\npolicy.\n0\nSteady expansion of system of protected national lands: parks,\ntrails, wilderness areas, scenic rivers.\nAppointment of environmentally-concerned individuals = key.\ngovernment positions.\nKey Results\n0\nReversal of previous 8 years of environmental neglect by\nExecutive Branch.\nC\nGovernment and environmental community now working together =\nsolve problems and protect the environment.\n0\nUnanimous endorsement by environmental community leaders.\n#11\nSTRONG FARM ECONOMY\nKev Elements\n0\nFood and Farm Act of '77 -- comprehensive 4 year farm bill.\n0\nPlaced farmers in key decision-making positions at USDA.\nEstablished Nation's first farmer-owned and controlled grain reserve.\n0\nPromoted U.S. agricultural exports, including the development of\nnew markets (such as China).\nKev Results\n0\nFarm prices have gone through a dramatic recovery:\nIn January, 1977\ncorn was $2.34 per bushel and falling (it eventually\nreached $1.60)\n- -in August 1980 it was $2.93 and rising\nwheat was $2.43 per bushel and falling (it eventually\nbottomed-out at $2.00)\n-in August 1980 it was $3.86 and rising\nbeef cattle were $32.20 per hundredweight\n-in August 1980 they were $65.10 and rising\nmilk sold for $9.65 per hundredweight\n-in August 1980 it was $12.80 and rising\no\nAgricultural exports have risen 82% since 1977, setting new records each\nyear. This year, farm exports will reach $40 billion, compared with\n$32 billion last year (and $22 billion in 1977) -- the largest one-year\nincrease in our Nation's history. This will result in an agricultural\ntrade surplus of $21 billion this year.\n0\nFarm income rose during each of the first three years of your Administration,\nrebounding from the steady decline that had occurred during the latter years\nof the Nixon-Ford Administration. In 1979, net farm income reached a\nrecord-tying high $33.3 billion. While net farm income is being squeezed\nthis year by the effect of OPEC oil price rises, stronger farm prices are\nalready beginning to provide relief. Despite this squeeze, farm income\nwill be higher this year than it was when this Administration came into\noffice.\n2\n0\nFor alcohol fuel, we have set production capacity goal of\n500 million callons by the end of 1981. This represents an over\nsix-fold increase from the 1979 level and will provide gaschol\n(90/10 mixture) equivalert to about 10 percent of U.S. unleaded\ngasoline consumption.\nMAJOR CARTER LEGISLATIVE ACCOMPLISHMENTS\n1.\nEconomy and Workers\n1)\nEconomic Stimulus Package - ---\nO\nSocial Security Refinancing - '77\nC\nTax Cut - '78\n=\nHumphrey-Hawkins Act - '78\n0\nMinimum Wage Increases - '78\n0\nNew York City Assistance - '78\nC\nChrysler Assistance - '80\n2. Energy\nC\nDepartment of Energy - 177\nO\nComprehensive National Energy Act '78\nincluding das deregulation, energy tax incentives,\nconservation and conversion incentives)\nO\nWindfall Profits Fax - '80\n=\nSynthetic Fuels Corporation - '80\nC\nSolar Bank - '80\nC\nLow-Income Energy Assistance '79\nO\nStand-by Gasoline Rationing Plan - '80\n3.\nGovernment Reform\n0\nReorganization Authority - '77\nO\n12 Reorganization Plans\n0\nEthics in Government Act - '78\n0\nOmnibus Judgeship Act - '78\nC\nDepartment of Education Act - '79\n-2-\n()\nAirline Deregulation - '78\n0\nInspectors General Act - '79\n0\nTrucking Deregulation - '80\n0\nBanking Deregulation (Small Savers Reforms) - '80\nC\nRail Deregulation - '80\n4.\nHuman and Social Needs\nC\nFood Stamp Reform - '77\nC\nFood and Farm Act - 177\nIncreased Education Spending\nUrban Policy - '78\n=\nConsumer Cooperative Act - '79\n=\nMental Health Act -\nE.\nRights and Liberties\n0\nD.C. Voting Rights Amendment - '79\n=\nERA Deadline Extension - '79\nC\nAnti-Boycott Act - '77\n0\nForeign Intelligence Surveillance Act - '78\n0\nAge Discrimination Act Amendments (mandatory retirement) - '78\n6.\nNatural Resources\nC\nStrip Mining Act - '77\nO\nClean Air and Clean Water Act Amendments - '78\nC\nOuter Continental Shelf Leasing Act\nO\nOmnibus National Parks Act\n7.\nForeign and Defense Policy\n()\nPanama Canal Treaties - '78\nC\nTaiwan-U.S. Relations Act - '79\nC\nMultilateral Trade Negotiations Act - 179\n-\n-3-\n(.)\n=\nIncreased Defense Spending - '78 - '81\no\nEgyptian-Israeli Treaty Assistance Act - '79\nCARTER INITIATIVES ENACTED DESPITE WIDESPREAD\nINITIAL PREDICTIONS OF DEFEAT\n0\nWindfall Profits Tax\n0\nNatural Gas Deregulation\nC\nCivil Service Reform\no\nChrysler Assistance Packages\nO\nNew York City Loan Guarantees\n=\nPanama Canal Treacies\n0\nAirline Dereculation\n1983\n0\nTrucking Dereculation\n0\nERA Ratification. Deadline Extension\n=\nD.C. Voting Rights Amendment\n=\nMultilateral Trade Negotiations Agreement\n0\nLifting of Turkish Arms Embargo\n0\nRepeal of Byrd Amendment (Phodesian imports)\n=\nStopping the funding for B-1 bomber\n()\nRail Deregulation\n1976 CAMPAIGN PROMISES\nKEY POINTS\n:.\nYou were first President to compile and publicly disclose all your campaign\npromises; this was done to allow public to judge your performance against\nthe promises.\n2.\nAny fair-minded, objective assessment of your performance shows that you have\nhonored an extraordinary number of the promises, and worked to honor virtually\nevery one. In those areas where your efforts have not been successful, one of\nthe principal reasons has been Congress' failure to act -- not your failure\nto do what is within your power. However, in some cases, promises have not\nbeen honored because circumstances have changed, new facts have become apparent,\nand you have changed your positions as a result. There is no reason = be\ndefensive about this; it should be used as a positive point -- that things\nlooked simpler to you in some areas before you became President and now you\nknow more (implying that Reagan's simplistic solutions also suffer from a Lack\nof full information about the problems involved)\n3.\nFinally, you have done a better job of honoring your promises than many predicted\nfour years ago, and a far better job than many of your predecessors in honoring\ntheir campaign promises.\n=.\nManor Promises Honored:\n=\nComprehensive energy\n= Comprehensive urban policy\n=\nAppointments -- bringing more women and minorities into the government\nat senior positions\n0\nReorganization -- more than dozen reorganization plans, new Departments of\nEducation and Energy\n()\nPreserving Social Security System\n0\nDeregulating Airline Industry\n0\nCivil Service Reform\nO\nGreater public access to government information and officials\nC\nImproved relations with State and local governments\nReforming and strengthening OSHA\n0\nIncreasing public service job opportunities and youth employment programs\n()\nIncreasing Minimum Wage\n1)\nIncreasing Federal commitment to public education\n-2-\nC Using voluntary wage and price policy\nC Pardoning Selective Service violators\nC Supporting human rights around the world\n= Strengthening NATC alliance\n0 Bringing peace between Israel and Egypt\nC\nImproving relations with China\n: Eliminating waste in the military\nO Halting the B-1 bomber\n5.\nPromises Not Kept Because of Concressional Resistance:\nC\nNational Health Insurance\nC\nWelfare Reform\n0 Tax Reform\n= Consumer Protection Agency\nC Public Financing of Congressional Campaigns\n= Post-card voter registration\nC New SALT Agreement\n6. ** Promises Where Positions Can Reasonably Be Said to Have Chanced or we Have\nNot Delivered:\nC\nBalancing Federal budget by end of first term\nC\nSeeking 2% inflation rate by end of first term\nC\nOpposing decontrol of old oil\n0\nPermitting deregulation of only new natural gas\nC\nReducing government agencies from 1800 to 200\nC\nOpposing sale of arms to Egypt\nC Not relinquishing actual control of Panama Canal\nC Reducing our weapons sales = other countries\nO\nReducing defense spending (here frankly state you found a profoundly different\nsituation than you had expected as a candidate. You found USSR building bigger\nand our own Armed Forces in greater need of repair)\nSITUATION INHERITED IN JANUARY 1977\n(It is important to always remind the audience of the situation you inherited.) )\n1.\nDeepest recession since the Great Depression.\n2.\nUnemployment at 8% (November '76) and averaging 8.5% for all of 1975.\n3.\nA shortage of fuel for heating (especially natural gas) in the Winter of\n'76-'77 in the Northeast and Midwest U.S.\n4.\nNo national energy policy, with oil imports increasing and U.S. production\ndeclining.\n5. Social Security System 1983 on the verge of bankruptcy.\n6. \"Real\" defense spending declining, by 14% between '72-'76 and by 35%\nbetween '68-'76\nIN\n7. NATO defenses weakening.\n8. Highest deficit in U.S. history.\n9.\nRising Federal employment.\n10. Egypt and Israel poised for further war.\nECONOMIC REVITALIZATION PROGRAM\nResults\nCost:\nTax package - $27.6 billion in 1981 (calendar)\nNew Jobs Impact:\n-\n500,000 new jobs in first 12 months without\nrekindling inf liation.\n- 1 million new jobs within two years\nReal Investment Impact:\nIncrease by\n1983 10% over '81-'82 period\nGNP Impact:\nWill add 1 percentage point to real GNP growth.\nInflation Impact:\nReduce inflation because of Social Security tax credits\n(short term) and investment : and productivity incentives\n(long term)\nDeficit Impact:\n'81 budget deficit increased by only S6 - 7. billion\nKEY ELEMENTS\n1.\nIndustrial Revitalization:\n-\nSIMPLIFIED, LIBERALIZED DEPRECIATION\n-\nREFUNDABLE TAX CREDIT (UP TO 30%)\n-\n3% REAL GROWTH IN GOVERNMENT R&D FUNDING (to encourage innovation\nand research)\n2.\nBusiness-Labor-Government Cooperation:\nwas\n-\nPRESIDENT'S ECONOMIC REVITALIZATION BOARD\n-\nINDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY\n-\nTRIPARTITE COMMITTEES IN STEEL AND AUTOS AND COAL COMMISSION\nWITH ALL PARTIES\n2.\nCommunity Assistance:\n-\nTARGETED INVESTMENT TAX CREDIT (10%)\n-\nS1 BILLION COUNTERCYCLICAL REVENUE SHARING\n÷.\nReducing Individual Tax Burdens:\n-\nSOCIAL SECURITY TAX CREDIT (8%)\n-\nINCREASED EARNED INCOME TAX CREDIT (to 12% from 10%)\n-\n\"MARRIAGE PENALTY\" DEDUCTION (deduction of 30% of lower\nspouse's earnings)"
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