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Digitized from Box 19 of the NSA. Presidential Country Files: East Asia and the Pacific at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library 34 MEMORANDUM 1651 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON URGENT INFORMATION SECRET FORD MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT own) A FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT SUBJECT: Saigon CIA Station Chief's Assessment of the Current Military Situation in South Vietnam The CIA Station Chief in Saigon has just completed an appraisal of the current military situation there following the outbreak of North Vietnamese attacks on March 10. The key points in this analysis are as follows: -- Developments of the past two weeks in South Vietnam leave no doubt that the Government (GVN) is facing a "general offensive" as traditionally defined to include coordinated, countrywide attacks by divisional-sized units aimed at bringing about a decisive change in the military and political situation. -- Elements of two strategic reserve divisions recently have moved from North Vietnam into the South and possibly other elements are on the way. -- The GVN as a result of U.S. aid cutbacks is in the position of having to defend itself with far fewer resources than ever before, a problem which has been seriously exacerbated by the latest round of fighting. -- The drawdown on GVN ammunition and POL stocks will soon be staggering. -- In their own guidance documents and briefings the Communists are describing 1975 as the year of decision in which large scale military activity will bring about decisive changes in the military=political balance. DECLASSIFIED SECRET E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 NSC Memo, 11/24/98, State Dept. Guidelines, CIA Review By KBH NARA, Date 2/9/00

Document source description

This item is a National Security Council memorandum from William L. Stearman to Brent Scowcroft, and an accompanying memo from Scowcroft for President Gerald Ford.

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8d385c566f3629e3
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Document identity
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Page context
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    "ocrText": "Digitized from Box 19 of the NSA. Presidential Country Files: East Asia and the Pacific at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library\n34\nMEMORANDUM\n1651\nTHE WHITE HOUSE\nWASHINGTON\nURGENT INFORMATION\nSECRET\nFORD\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nTHE PRESIDENT\nown) A\nFROM:\nBRENT SCOWCROFT\nSUBJECT:\nSaigon CIA Station Chief's Assessment of\nthe Current Military Situation in South Vietnam\nThe CIA Station Chief in Saigon has just completed an appraisal of\nthe current military situation there following the outbreak of North\nVietnamese attacks on March 10.\nThe key points in this analysis are as follows:\n-- Developments of the past two weeks in South Vietnam leave no\ndoubt that the Government (GVN) is facing a \"general offensive\" as\ntraditionally defined to include coordinated, countrywide attacks by\ndivisional-sized units aimed at bringing about a decisive change in the\nmilitary and political situation.\n-- Elements of two strategic reserve divisions recently have moved\nfrom North Vietnam into the South and possibly other elements are on\nthe way.\n-- The GVN as a result of U.S. aid cutbacks is in the position of\nhaving to defend itself with far fewer resources than ever before, a\nproblem which has been seriously exacerbated by the latest round of\nfighting.\n--\nThe drawdown on GVN ammunition and POL stocks will soon be\nstaggering.\n-- In their own guidance documents and briefings the Communists\nare describing 1975 as the year of decision in which large scale military\nactivity will bring about decisive changes in the military=political balance.\nDECLASSIFIED\nSECRET\nE.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5\nNSC Memo, 11/24/98, State Dept. Guidelines, CIA Review\nBy KBH NARA, Date 2/9/00"
}