Ask the Scholar

Document scope · 1 page
doc
Scholar
Ask about this object, its catalog metadata, its source description, or the page inventory. For page-specific OCR and visual context, open one of the page chats.

Scholar Source Context

Document identity
localId
215872164
label
Nuclear Accident: Chernobyl 04/29/1986 (3)
core
doc
dtoType
document
pageCount
1
Source metadata
id
215872164
contentType
document
title
Nuclear Accident: Chernobyl 04/29/1986 (3)
collections
Records of the National Security Council, Directorate of European and Soviet Affairs (Reagan Administration)
Jack F. Matlock, Jr.'s Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (U.S.S.R.) Subject Files
imageCount
1
hasImages
yes
source
import
hasTranscription
no
Source extras
naId
215872164
levelOfDescription
fileUnit
recordType
description
ocrSource
nara-archive
Single page context
seq
1
pageIndex
0
type
document
mediaId
30935b78cd023f84
ocrText
Ronald Reagan Presidential Library Digital Library Collections This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections. Collection: Matlock, Jack F.: Files Folder Title: Nuclear Accident: Chernobyl 04/29/1986 (3) Box: 29 To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ WITHDRAWAL SHEET Ronald Reagan Library Collection Name MATLOCK, JACK: FILES Withdrawer JET 5/13/2005 File Folder USSR: NUCLEAR ACCIDENT: CHERNOBYL APRIL 29, FOIA 1986 3/9 F06-114/8 Box Number 29 YARHI-MILO 2909 ID Doc Type Document Description No of Doc Date Restrictions Pages 10407 FAX COVER AMBRAMOWITZ TO MATLOCK RE 1 5/1/1986 B2 B3 SHEET CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR DISASTER PAR 3/16/2011 F2006-114/8 10408 PAPER CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR DISASTER: INITIAL 20 5/1/1986 B1 B3 ANALYSIS PAR 3/16/2011 F2006-114/8 10409 FAX COVER FORTIER AND MCDANIEL RE 1 5/1/1986 B3 SHEET RADIOLOGICAL HEALTH CONSEQUENCES TO TRAVELLERS IN THE USSR PAR 3/16/2011 F2006-114/8 10410 MEMO RADIOLOGICAL HEALTH CONSEQUENCES 2 5/1/1986 B1 B3 TO TRAVELLERS IN THE USSR PAR 3/16/2011 F2006-114/8 10411 MEMO SOVIET NUCLEAR DISASTER 3 5/1/1986 B1 10412 CABLE 011257Z MAY 86 3 5/1/1986 B1 R 9/30/2008 F06-114/8 10413 CABLE 011737Z MAY 86 2 5/1/1986 B1 R 9/30/2008 F06-114/8 10414 CABLE 011732Z MAY 86 1 5/1/1986 B1 R 9/30/2008 F06-114/8 Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] B-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] B-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] B-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] B-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] B-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] B-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] B-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] B-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. WITHDRAWAL SHEET Ronald Reagan Library Collection Name MATLOCK, JACK: FILES Withdrawer JET 5/13/2005 File Folder USSR: NUCLEAR ACCIDENT: CHERNOBYL APRIL 29, FOIA 1986 3/9 F06-114/8 Box Number 29 YARHI-MILO 2909 ID Doc Type Document Description No of Doc Date Restrictions Pages 10415 CABLE 011352Z MAY 86 1 5/1/1986 B1 R 9/30/2008 F06-114/8 Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] B-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] B-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] B-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] B-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] B-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] B-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] B-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] B-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. WASHFAX RECEIPT DEPARTMENT OF STATE Filehernolgh URCHNI B 86 47 S/S # SITUATION ROUSEM MESSAGE NO. 307491 UNCLASSIFIED CLASSIFICATION No. Pages 4 FROM: MBOVE 5/8 73126 7224 (Officer name) 10ffies symbol) (Extension) (Room number) MESSAGE DESCRIPTION Soviet Statements re Chernobyl TO: (Agency) DELIVER TO: Extension Room No. NSC Rod McDeniel 456-2257 RALPH MATROCIC ST. MART, N FOR: CLEARANCE INFORMATION PER REQUEST XX COMMENT REMARKS: PLEASE DELIVER URGENTLY TO ADDRESSEE. S/S Officer: MBCg Jander FORM 06-1760 ... Unofficial Translation As a result of the measures taken within the last 24 hours, the discharge of radioactive substances has decreased and the level of radiation in the area of the incident has lowered. Measurements taken demonstrate that fission chain reaction of the atomic generator is not occuring. The reactor is in an inactive ("saglushennom") state. Active work for cleaning the contaminated unit is in progress. The Soviet Union possesses sufficient material, scientific and technical possibilities for the works to liquidiate the consequences of the socident and at the present moment the need does not arise for sesistant from other states. We are appreciative for the propeeals of aid to us. Foreign citizens located in the Soviet Union (in particular specialists or tourists) have not approached competent Soviet organisations in connection with the accident at the Chernobyl A.E.S. (stomic energy station). 3 Unofficial Translation In Moscow there is appreciation for President Reagan's expression of sympathy in connection with the accident at the Chernobyl A.E.S. (atomic energy station), and also for the expressed readiness to render assistance in liquidating its consequences. We are undertaking all necessary efforts to localize the accident and keep its consequences to a minimum. At the present moment there is no need for assistance from other states. As far as the facts of the situation, the President of 1: USA has been informed of them. 4 B результате принятых Mep 3a встекшие сутки выделение радио- активных веществ уменьнилось, уровни радиации B районе происшест- вия онизились. Проводимые измерения свидетельствуют o TOM, что цепной реакции деления яхерного тожлива me прожеходит. PeaKTop находитоя B заглу- шенном состоянии. Развернуты padoru по очистке загрязненных участков. Советский Come располагает достаточными матернальными, науч- ными X техническими воеможностии для работ по ликвидации послед- ствий аварии M Ha даниом этапе потребности B содействии CO cTopo- HH других государств Ho возинкает. Мы признательны sa предложение вами помощи. B компетентные осветские организации He поступало обращений CO стороиы находящихся B CoBeTcKoM Союзе иностранных граддан (B частности опециалнотов XXX TypMoToB) B овязи c аварией Ha Черно- быльской АЭС. 5 B Mookse признательны sa вырахенное Президентом Рейганом сочувотвие B связи o аварней Ha Чернобильской AЭС. a TaKKe 3a проявленную готовность оказать содействие B устранении послед- отвий случивиегося. Неми предпринимаются Bce необходимне you xra по локанизации аварян E оведению K минимуму ee последствий. Ha данном этапе потребности B содействия B этой связи CO cTopo- MM других государств He возникает. Что касается фантического положения дел, TO o HeM Презкдент Chila ISSACK промыђормирован. 121, WASHFAX RECEIPT IIC DEPARTMENT OF STATE & MR -1 1 B 80 MAY 9: 48 NM S/S # WHITE IROUSE SITUATION KOOM MESSAGE NO. 007505 SECRET/NO FORN/WNINTEL 18 CLASSIFICATION No. Pages FROM: Amb. Abramowitz INR/OD 2220 6527 (Officer name) (Office symbol/ (Extension) (Room number) MESSAGE DESCRIPTION Chernobyl Nuclear Disaster TO: (Agency) DELIVER TO: Extension Room No. CIA/DDI RKerr (3) FOIA(b) (2) OSD EIkle McDannel NSC Jiatlock DIA NSA FOR CLEARANCE INFORMATION PER REQUEST COMMENT REMARKS: S/S Officer: mmD SLMA DECLASSIFIED IN PART FORM 06-1760 " NLRR FD4-114/8#10407 BY RW NARA DATE 3/16/11 SECRET/NOFORM/WNINTEL 1 Cheracbyl Nuclear Disaster: Initial Analysis (ICOD: 2000 GMT, 1 May 1986) T/NOTORN/MMINTEL DECLASSIFIED IN PART NLRR FD6-114/8#10408 BY RW NARA DATE 3/16/11 SECRET/NOFORN/WNINTEL 8 Chernobyl Nuclear Disaster Table of Contents 1. Current Status A. Chernobyl Reactor B. Evidence of a Neltdown C. Nature of the Accident D. Casualties II. Economic Effects A. The Chernobyl Plant in Boonomic Perspective B. Coping with Reduced Cenerating Capacity c. Short-term Energy Resources D. Nuclear Reaction Sales E. Effect on World Commodity Prices III. Ecological Effects A. Population Affected B. Medical Consequences C. Effect on Agriculture (Food and Water Resources) IV. Soviet Domestic Consequences V. Foreign Reaction A. East Bloc B. Western Europe VI. Other Soviet Reactor Problems A. Civil B. Military Chernobyl Reactor Disaster 9 1. Current Status A. Chernobyl Reactor May 1 morning imagery shoved what appeared to be smoke/vapor continuing to be emitted from the severely damaged reactor, Unit 14, at Cheractyl, indicating that the fire continued to burn, despite Soviet statements to the contrary. Fire engines and emergency vehicles continued to be parked in the same locations around the reactor site where they were originally observed two days ago. This area has been very heavily contaminated. Other imagery showed continuing efforts at fire suppression by helicopter. The fire suppressent units may contain earth or sand in an attempt to smother the fire. Imagery of Kiev showed the city to be functioning normally (see Map 1). Although there have been press reports that Reactor 3 is also melting, the Intelligence Community has no technical data to support this. The infrared signature on Landsat photos of Chernobyl does not allow us to distinguish between the large amount of heat emanating from Reactor 4 and any possible loss from Reactor 3. On April 29, after the accident, it appeared that cooling water was being pumped into Reactor 3. Even though this reactor has been shut down, it is still necessary to continue cooling. There are also reports that four reactors that are identical to the severely damaged Chernobyl unit--Kurek 3 & 4 and possibly Smolensk 1 & 2-have been shutdown by the Soviets. The emergency commend and control site that was about 1 km southeast of the reacter has been moved, and may now be located at a possible field hospital and decontamination site approximately 4.8 km to the southeast. B. Current Evidence of a Meltdown The withdrawal of the emergency command and control center to a greater distance probably reflects the continued spewing of the heavier redicective firsion particulates from the burning reactor core. Preliminary analysis of data from Scandanavia suggests that all of the volatile [gaseous] fission products [radioactive krypton, zenon, iodine] vented from the reactor. [At Three Mile Island a tiny fraction of 1 percent of the volatile fission products vented.] More than 50 percent of the total fission products [including particles of radioactive cesium, strontium, barium, tellurium, lanthanum, ruthenium, (in addition to the gases noted above) has already been scattered. T/NOFORN/WMINTEL Map 1 10 Kreeneye Posudovo CHE REACTOR BRAGINK Gden Parishchev CHERNOBYL Zalamye Opeshitsy Kamenka Rairead Hard surfered Terekhi multilians red if, Dityotki Gubin Butt up orne - or march Strakholes'ye Gernestrypel Area subject 10 inundation To Kisy VODOKHRANILISHCHE 10 Pribank ] . 0512 ⑉ STATE(GE) -1- Radioactive particles deposited in Sweden and Finland now include some of the heavier, less reactive, radioactive elements. The appearance of these elements in samples so far from the site of the accident is a strong indicator that at least a partial core meltdown has occurred, and that a major fraction of the coze's radioactivity has been and is continuing to be dispersed. Speculation that fracturing and subsequent burning, rather than nolting, of the damaged fuel in the core occurred, does not change this assessment. The difference in expected radiological consequences between the two cases is essentially meaningless. C. Mature of the Accident Continuing analysis of available imagery suggests the following sequence of events: --For an as yet undetersined reason, at least part of the reactor coolant was lost. West German sources have reported that an initial power loss was the immediate cause, which interrupted the pumping of coolant water into the reactor. The operatore may have tried to use auxiliary power, which either failed or case on too late to prevent an initial overheating. --At that point the operators probably tried to shut down the reactor. However, even when a reactor is shut down, its temperature will continue to rise for an uncertain period of time. --Given the initial loss of coolant, the remaining coolant channels overheated, feeding superheated steam into the steam separator, which takes heat from the reactor to feed to the turbine. [Alternatively, the overheating of the reactor core, coupled with a rupture of the feed water tubes running through the reactor may have generated an gas--either hygdrogen or methane--which then expleded, shattering the steam lines in the adjacent steam separator.] --At this point, the steam separator apparently exploded. This destroyed the upper portion of the reactor hall, with two inmediate effects: first, this added air to the overheated graphite core, fueling the fire; second, the uranium core was now melting, if it had not already begun to do so after the reactor was shut down. The destruction of the reactor hall allowed radioactivity to spread. By this time, everyone in the immediate area, estimated at between 50 and 100 workers, were dead or dying. [The Soviets have now admitted to two dead and 197 hospitalised, of whom 18 are said to be in serious condition.] --The - continuing fire now spread a cloud of radioactive gas. This sequence of events took place on Friday 25 April and early Saturday 26 April. We do not know when the Soviets began evacuation of the surrounding towns, established the security perimeter and noved in helicopters to fight the fire. We became aware of the incident on Monday 28 April, following Scandinavian reports of radiation drifting from the USSR. Our satellite imagery of the 29th showed the accident, evidence of evacuation, and connand posts being established. While the helicopter fire-fighting activity has increased since then, little else has changed. River traffic continues, as does normal life in Kiev 80 miles to the south. D. Casualties The entire Intelligence Community believes a fatality figure of two is preposterous. A normal day shift at an individual Soviet RBMK-1000 power reactor is reported to be around 100 people: a night shift would be 25-35 people. This would mean that, because Unit 3 and 4 are adjacent, as many as 200 people in the daytime or 50-70 people at night could have been working in the vicinity of Reactor Unit 4 when the accident began. While we would expect that an immediate evacuation was ordered when the seriousness of the accident became apparent, still a fairly large crew (compared to US reactor operations) would be expected to remain to carry out emergency procedures in an attempt to shut down the reactor and to solve whatever problem may have caused the accident. This crew would be a "forlorn hope," kept at the site in order to rectify the problem, but with the knowledge that they would be lost should the problem wetson dramatically. The only alternative to this would be to abandon the site immediately at the sign of major problems, which would virtually insure the sort of disaster that ultimately occurred. If the accident situation lasted for any amount of time we would expect the emergency crew to be augmented as the seriousness of the situation became known. Shift supervisors and foremen from the other units would be called in to make sure that appropriate actions were being taken to head off any potential catastrophe. Imagery showing fire engines and energency vehicles near the reactors supports the supposition that additional personnel were responding to the accident. They could only have been brought in before any explosion. Based on numbers of vehicles in the area and postulating an augmented emergency crew, as such as 100 people could have been in the immediate vicinity of the reactor when a major steam/gas explosion occurred, ripping open the reactor building and causing major structural damage. Because of the extent of the damage observed on imagery of the site, we feel that all the people in the immediate vicinity of the Unit 4 explosion were either killed or suffered lethal radiation doses at the time of the explosion. The failure of the Soviets to evacuate the fire engines from the lethal radiation sone around the destroyed reactor building is another indication of fatalities. CRET/NOFORN/MMINTEL 13 II. Economic Effects A. The Chernobyl Plant in Economic Perspective The 4,000 negewatt (m) Chernobyl nuclear power plant represents nearly one-teath of the electric generating capacity of the Ukraine (and one percent of total Soviet capacity). The Ukraine and Moldavia essentially comprises the South Consolidated Electric Power System (South OES) in the USSR (see Map 2, which shows the regional electric transmission lines). In turn, the South OFS is one of nine OESes comprising the Unified Power System of the USSR. (Two other OESes--the Central Asia OZS and the For Bast OES--are isolated from the unified system and operate independently.) The unified system also is linked to the East Buropean CEMA countries, Finland, Norway, and Turkey. This integration increases the flexibility of Soviet electric power supply in that power can be transferred between the linked systems, albeit usually only in small amounts (e.g., in 500 MM loade). It is likely that Chernobyl Reactors 1, 2, and 3 will not be operational for at least three years, if not longer. Two larger renk reactors under construction within 2 km of the explosion cannot be worked on either because of the radiation. This represents a not loss of 7,000 negawatts of electricity [4,000 current and 3,000 potential]. The Chernobyl accident also sets back plans in the latest Soviet Five Year Plan to increase the share of electricity generated by nuclear pewer from 11 percent to 20 percent of the total. B. Coping with Reduced Generating Capacity The Soviets could transfer judicious amounts of power from adjacent OESes to the South OES, but would have to be careful of robbing Peter to pay Paul. Other short-term options for adjusting to the shutdown of the Chernobyl' plant include: -- increase power output at fossil-fuel plants and selectively ration electricity; -- cut back electricity exports via the South OES: and -- increase imports via the South OES from Poland. Map 2 14 Nuclear Power Plants & Electrical Transmission Lines I I 1 I I I 1 1 . 1 I I I I - - - - - - 1 I 1 . 4 2 1 4 KIEV MOSCOW 3 3 VOLGOGRAD 2 Huclear Power Plant (member of reselars) Nuclear Power Plant Under Construction 2 Transmission Line o 400 800 Klemeters . Transmation - - - - 239 av 6310 0-00 State (NR/SD) 1 I I I -5- 15 Over the longer term, the Soviets might consider delaying any planned retirement of older generating capacity, especially in the South OES and adjacent regions. FOIA(b) (i), (3) Selective retioning of electric power probably will be KOECOM'S first response II only because It could take days or even weeks to implement some of its other short-term options. This would provide imediate relief: otherwise, key industries in the Ukraine and Beleruasia--which is at the end of & major trunk line fed by the Cheraobyl plant--could suffer serious power shortages. Cutting back on electricity exports would have negligible hard-currency consequinces For the USSR and would relieve considerable pressure on an otherwise capacity-short system. In 1984, the last year for which detailed information is available, the USER exported 24.7 billion kwh of electricity, an amount comparable to the estimated annual output of the Chernobyl plant. More than 19 billion kwh went to its CEMA partners; the balance appears to have gone to Western countries, primarily to Fialand but also to Turkey, Norway, and Greece. The only hard-ourrency generated by these sales was some $15 million from 552 million kWh sold to Greece and from about one million 10th sold to Norway. (Sales to Finland and Turkey are on barter terms.) with the exception of sales to Finland and Norway, most of the electric power appears to have been shipped via the affected South OES (and possibly the Transcaucasus OES for exports to Turkey). Increased irrects from Peland are a distinct possibility. According to Folish telatics, Poland is a net importer of electric power from the UTER, but only marginally so. Overall, Poland is a significent net exporter of electric power, with major customers including other East European countries and Austria. Slack demand last year apparently denied Poland the chance to reclain lost coel markets in the West. Poland thus may be capable of increasing coal exports to the USSR to help ensure steady, higher levels of operation in coal-fired power plants, and might be able to increase its exports of electric power to the South OES. Conceivably, Poland might also boost exports to other East Europeans to compensate for the likely decline in Soviet exports. C. Short-Term Energy Resources The shutdown of the Cheracbyl' plant puts additional strain on the USSR's already trechied energy sector. While gains were posted for all Bajor fuels during the first quarter of 1986 compared with the came period last year, the oil industry is still falling short. Output recovered to nearly 12.1 mb/d, the SCRNT/NOFORN/MMINTEL 16 highest level since 1984 but less than earlier achieved and below the 12.3 mb/d rate planned for 1986. More than 100 teams from different producing regions were sent to the important Samotlor field in West siberia in an effort to boost output. The output of natural gas continues to increase faster than planned, and coal output continues to increase--perhaps finally raising the coal industry up from its nearly seven-year doldrume. This improved performance by coal could not have come at & more opportune time given the setback to the USSR's nuclear program and the increased reliance on fossil fuel plants. D. Nuclear Reactor Sales Soviet nuclear reactor exports have not included the type that exploded at Chernobyl. Nevertheless, Moscow will be very hard-pressed to play down the unfavorable publicity generated by the Chernobyl incident in their continuing efforts to market their nuclear reactore. At present there are Soviet reactors in Finland and in all European East Bloc countries except Poland: two are under construction in Cuba. The Soviets have offered assistance to Egypt, Morocco and Indonesia. They have bid on plants for Yugoslavia and, recently, North Korea. E. Effect on World Commodity Prices Chernobyl should have no real effect on world commodity prices. The quick upowing in wheat futures prices was a typical spurt of speculative activity in the face of uncertainty. The global stock of wheat is currently in excess of 300 million metric tome, Soviet wheat production for 1986 is projected to be about 190 million metric tons, with an additional 17 million being imported. Even a disaster of the scope of Chernobyl would be unlikely to dent global stock. (Effects on Soviet grain production are discussed below.) III. Ecological Effects A. Population Affected The Southwest Region, which includes Chernobyl, is densely populated, even in rural areas. Large villages are located in the major river valleys. The Chernobyl plant employed some 10,000 workers. Based on an average family size of 2.5, the workers' settlement of Pripyst, located just northwest of the plant, has a population of at least 25,000. Chernobyl, 17 km south of the reactor, had a 1970-estimated population of 10,100. Both of these towns have been evacuated, although we do not know if the evacuation took place before or after the explosion. Based on rural population densities (171 person/square mile) and major towna and cities, the population in the 17 surrounding area is (see Hap 3), within 30 km 50,000 people within 40 km 250,000 people within 160 ks 7 milion people within 208 ke 9 million people Kiev is the largest city in the region, approximately 100 km downstream from the Cheraobyl reactor. The 1984 population estimate for Kiev is 2.4 million, with another 1.9 million outside the city but within the Kiev Oblast. Both Pripyet and Chernobyl appear to have been evacuated. We do not know if the evacuation took place when the initial problem occured, or after the explosion. No evacuation from Kiev is evident. We do not have enough information about the evacuation to draw any conclusions about the effectiveness of Soviet civil defense plaaning. B. Medical Consequences of the various types of radioactivity released by the reactor, the most immediate concern is iodine, which is easily absorbed by humans and can lead to thyroid cancer. To preclude the absorption of redioactive iodine, iodine tablets or liquid can be taken. Radioactive iodine 131 has a half-life of about eight days. The longer term threat is provided primarily by cesium-137 and strontium-90, which have half-lives of 30 years and 29 years respectively. Cesium concentrates in electrolytes (bodily fluids). Strentium concentrates in the bones. It is readily absorbed via dairy prejucts. Thus, the milk supplies and milk producing areas areund the accident site will be contaminated, posing a difficult problem for Soviet officials who may be reluctant to admit the importance of the accident by dumping tainted milk. Both types of radiation can cause such cancers as leukemia, lung, and bone. C. Effect on Agriculture (Food and Water Resources) The type of radiation being emitted is easily absorbed by plants, especially during the rainy spring season. However, it is impossible for us adequately to address the radiological impact of the accident on Soviet agriculture at this time, other than to say that things could have been worse. The area closest to the plant and, presumably, receiving the highest levels of radioactive contamination, is . low lying, relatively awampy area where truck crops are the major agricultural activity. It lies about 100 km north of the Ukraine NUT/NOFORN/MMINTEL 8 Map 3 ESTIMATED POPULATION IN THE AREA OF THE CHERNOBYL REACTOR 160 km 7,000,000 30 km 50,000 40 km 250,000 He zhen Determ Redread Read 19 Map 3 ESTIMATED POPULATION IN THE AREA OF THE CHERNOBYL REACTOR 160 km 7,000,000 Charage 30 km 50,000 40 km 260,000 Hoshir Driver Redread Read -8- 20 breadbasket, and the winds blew away from the Ukraine at the time when the heaviest contamination vented from the damaged reactor. For this reason the immediate radiological threat is less than had the wind direction been reversed. However, the Pripynt March is a major water basin (see Map 4), and its contact iration could have an effect lasting for generations. Bow BOOR the contamination will begin to affect cities and towns downstrees is impossible to determine at this time. The migration of the redioactive products through soil and water table is dependent on the exact type of soil, water flow rate, turbulence and chemical composition. However, based on US accident cases, the water contamination problem is a longer rather than a shorter term problem. The 30 mile long Kiev reservoir is certainly contaminated, but the extent and the type of contamination cannot be well estimated without access to measurements. The Kiev authorities may be able to mitigate the contamination through extra filtration. IV. Soviet Consequences International. Gorbachev's year-long effort to project a new image of Soviet leadership as more open, responsive, and concerned about popular issues such as the environment has been seriously damaged, especially in Europe, by the regime's handling of the Chernobyl incident. Faced with the emergency, the bureaucracy automatically reacted along familiar lines: highly restricted and centralised news control; denial of the importance of the issue to other countries; an automatic replay of past American problems in auclear energy: and a reflexive linking of the issue to the need to accept Gorbachev's arms control initiatives. The initial Soviet admission, several days after the accident apparently took place, was probably prompted by two factors: (1) the inability to continue covering it up, owing to the detection of radiation in Scandinavia: and (2) an assessment at that time that the situation was out of control and required foreign assistance. Indeed, the Soviet government did initially request aid from Sweden and West Gerzany, on May 1, the Soviets asked Italy for aid, according to the proos. However, in the following days the Soviets have reverted to their more familiar behavior in such crises. They have claimed to have put out the fire and gotten the situation under control: most Western analysts believe the fire has continued to burn. On April 30 the Seviets put on television pictures of Reactors 3 and 4 before and after the accident. This confirmed the seriousness of the damage, although the pictures were shown to promote the view that as there was no smoke the fire must be out. We believe that the smoke was edited out of the image. The testimony of a Soviet embassy officer before a congressional subcommittee on May 1 was an interesting CRNT/NOFORN/MNINTEL 21 exception to their continued reticence. The Soviet official insisted that the accident occured on Monday, although we continue to believe that Friday or Saturday is more likely. The regime has banked upon an ephemeral European unhappiness over Nosesw's reirstance to inform its neighbore about Cheracbyl and the prof:bility that traditional interests will soon reasert their priority. Nevertheless, Gorbachev probably will try to and feaces with his neighbors, probably in bilateral communications, in the future. Dorestic. Party and governmental officials probably approve of the regiss's handling of the Chernobyl incident as being in line with Soviet law and custom, and in accord with deeply ingrained Russian reluctance to reveal problems to foreigners. The popular reaction will, as always, vary according to. social class. Critical intellectuals rely on foreign broadcasts and personal ocatacts for such of their information and will be much better informed than the man in the street, and thus critical of the regise's restriction on news. Bureaucrate also rely on foreign broadcasts as an important supplement to official information, and are likely to be asbivalent toward the regime's handling of the crisis. The ordinary workers will for the most part be passive, expecting the government to handle the crisis properly. But, at the same time, the ordinary people are the most avid rumor mongers, disregarding logic and autual incompatibility of conflicting rumors. The response of this social class is the one that the regime fears most, and this concern is one of the primary shapers of the regime's clamp on news. The only area in the USSR likely to have any public demonstrations is Estonia and Latvia where there is a long standing resentment of the regime as well as Bore consciousness on environment issues. Leadership Aloofness. It is a Soviet tradition that Politburo leaders remain uninvolved publicly with hot issues such as the KAL shootdown and the current crisis. Gorbachev has not said a word in public about the Chernobyl accident, and the traditional May Day parados took place in Moscow and the republic capitals without reference it. As usual, the state, not the party is the responsible organization for handling the problem, and the customery responsible body has been created, a government inquiry ocraission headed by the deputy premier for fuels and energy, Boris Shchertina. While such commissions often whitewash events, in this case it is likely that a review of the atomic energy industry will lead to changes in operating procedures and design changes in reactors. Furthermore, some officials will be singled out as responsible and punished. A scandal over the building of the Atomash factory in Volgadonsk (which produces nuclear reactors) eventually led to the retirement of deputy premier 1. T. Novikov, then in charge of construction, in July 1983. 22 Political forgementing? Inevitably, there will be politics involved even in determining responsibility for the Chernobyl disaster and its conseruences. In addition to eacking technical officials, there say be an effort to use the event for attacking, or even removing, high-level political officials. Corbacher night find this . convenient occasion to undercut Ukrainian leader Cheherbitskiy, whose state apparatus charged with ecological controls and clean-up is poorly organized and ill-equipped to handle the Chernobyl pollution. Should such a power nove develop, it would materialize only slowly, and would probably be signalled ahead of time by traditional political indicators in the press. V. Foreign Reactions A. East Bloc Issediate Health Crocerps. Poland announced early on that radiation levels In the northeastern portion of the country posed potential health hasards. The government set up a high-level commission in direct contact with the Soviets to consult on the problem. Precautionary health and safety standards were instituted is those areas affected by the fall-out. Polish children 16 years old and younger were being given iodine to prevent their absorbing radioactive iodine from the atmosphere. Government spokesmen said--somewhat paradoxically--that there was "no indication of a health hazard." Hungery and Yugoslavia announced they are monitoring radiation levels, but that the redioactivity measured thus far posed no public health problers. Romania made a similar announcement. Romanien television announced that Ceausescu chaired a party leadership meeting to review the situation. A task force headed by his wife was formed to oversee the quality of the environment. It was also noted that there had been "some increase in radioactivity" in the northeastern part of the country. Bulgaria, Csechoslovakia, and East Germany made no announcements about monitoring, or about any safety precautions. Mor sover, the Bast Germans in general have downplayed the affair, following the Soviet line that the severity of the accident has been greatly exaggerated by the Western press. Political. The Polish government hinted at a general annesty if Solidarity backs down from its plane to hold May 1 and May 3 (old Polish National Day) demonstrations. All indications are that the demonstrations were likely to be small and containable. The Chernobyl accident could give the protesters an additional anti-regime (anti-Soviet) issue around which to rally. Csechoelovakia is a najor supplier of reactor components 13 both within the bloc and as part of Soviet nuclear reactor exports, and expects nuclear power to supply roughly 20% of the planned increase in its electricity output in the next five-year plan. Thus, the Caechs are particularly concerned about public reaction, both domestically and abroad. Romania, already herd pressed to meet its energy demands, receives some of its electrical power from the Chernobyl plant and may soon face sporadic shortages. Romanian-Soviet discussion of bilateral economic agreements are expected in the near future and a Cosusesou visit to Moscow is again being rumored; this development could complicate that bargaining. Hungary is heavily committed to nuclear energy. Anti- nuclear protests--small onee--may develop here, if only as another outlet for exhibiting dissatisfaction with the government. The country does have an active environmentalist group which can be expected to seize on the episode for new campaigns. There may be similar protests in Yugoslavia, where Western-style demonstrations are popular. Moreover, there is a serious debate over nuelear power in Yugoslavia--an industry in its early stages--and this secident is sure to enliven that debate. No protests are likely in Bulgaria, however, where there is a large nuclear power industry struggling to grow larger. Behind the scenes concern about its effect on the country's agricultural exports is likely to grow Three bloc countriss--Bulgaria, Csechoslovakia, and the GDR--produce an appreciable share of their electricity from Soviet-designed nucleer power plants. Heretofore nuclear programs within the bloc have been bilateral, between the Soviets and the participating country. The long-term Science and Technology program announced at the CEMA session in December 1985, earmarked nuclear energy as one of the five priority areas in which the bloc members will increase efforts at joint production. CENA head Vyacheslav Sychev said that total capacity of the nuclear power plants in the bloc will double in the next five years. Most bloc countries have been reluctant to commitment themselves fully to the ambitious integration scheses backed by the Soviets via CEMA. The Chernobyl accident will likely increase the foot-dragging. B. Western Europe Immediate Health Conserne. Scandinavia as well as some parts of West Germany, and Switzerland have reported significant increases in radicectivity--three to ten times normal levels in many areas, and over a hundred times in western Sweden where rain fell. Nevertheless, health authorities in all except Austria have not called for 24 precautionary measures. Officials in eastern Austria warned mothers to keep babies inside. Political. The four day delay in notifying affected countries has provoked a round of official criticism of the Soviets. Sweden ledred & digiematic protest and desanded an international investigation of Soviet nuclear power stations. The other nordic nations, except Finland, demanded an official Boviet report. Although the French press sharply criticized the USSR, the French government has remained muted--perhaps due to France's distance from the disaster and their commitment to nuclear energy. The West Germans have asked the USSR to shut down similar plants and seconded US urgings that an international team inspect the Chernobyl plant. Other countries have also blasted the Soviets' dinosaurian response--denting Gorbachev's oarefully cultivated image as a forthooming new Soviet leader. Peace and ecological groups are likely to mount limited protests against the soviets, while seeking primarily to exploit public anxieties to foster generalized opposition against things nuclear--energy and weapons. Swedish activists are lobbying to preserve a 1930 vote to dismantle Sweden's four nuclear plants by 2010. Greens in the FRG, who recently staged several rowdy anti-nuclear power demonstrations, will step up their efforts, as will the British Greens and Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament (CND) who have protested low-level leaks at a reactor on the Irish Sea. Heightened public anxieties may also strengthen the hand of the FRG Social Democrate' left-wing which--in cooperation with the Bast German communist party--is drafting a proposal for . central European nuclear weapons free zone. VI. Other soviet Reactor Problems A. Civil. Since the late 1940s, Moscow has had its share of nuclear-related accidents, although only the distintegration of a nuclear-powered satellite over Canada affected other countries. Emigre reports and occasional Soviet press items document at least five domestic incidents: --In 1948, workers at Soviet atomic energy installations were said to have developed cataracts and other illnesses because of radiation leaks. --In 1958, an explosion at the Kyshtya facility near Chelyabinsk contaminated more than 125,000 square kilometers of Siberian countryside. --In 1963, apparent lazity in the handling of radioactive materials led to a wave of leukemia cases in Moscow. --In 1965, Soviet scientists reported unusual levels of strontium in the Caspian sea, suggesting it had been used as a nuclear waste dump. SOFORN/MMINTEL 25 -13- --In 1968, the Soviet press took the unusual step of denying rumors that nuclear power plants caused disease. Trud, for example, published the complaint of someone living near such a plant that "the high level of radio- activity" night explain "why I an frequently sick." The paper's decision to publish such a letter, even while rejecting the premise, suggests a nuclear episode at the time. Two enigre accounts, Shores A. Medvedev's Nuclear Disaster in the Urals (1979) and Boris Komarov's The Destruction of Nature In the Soviet Union (1980), provide details on these specific incidents. 15.1 reported that reactors were deliber- ately built outside populated arous to limit the number of people who would be affected by or be aware of problems. Furthermore, the authorities always denied any report of a problem. That procedure has become less effective, however, as more plants have been built, the ecology movement has expanded, more people have come in contact with such plants, and more ques- B. Military. Numerous humint reports indicate that radiation sickness is a common fear in the Soviet Navy: that there are special clinics for affected submariners: and even that spinal tape are routinely administered to check for radiation sickness. Inadequate quality control of reactor system production and pose practices by operating personnel have led to a large number of naval reactor problems, with chronic reactor leaks being the most commonly noted. Some classes are more affected than others: the first-generation Soviet nuclear submarines (the H-class SSBNs, E-class SSGNs, and M-class SSMs) have motoriously bad propulsion plants. The second-generation V-I-class SEYE and C-class SSGNs also have been trouble-ridden. On several occasions, submarines' nuclear power plants failed completely, requiring the units to be towed home. Nuclear propulsion problems have required individual submarines to be out of service for years at a time, and have even necessitated scrapping a few of them. SECRET/NOFORM/MHINTEL 26 Belo-Russian S.S.R. Comel Mazyr R.S.F.S.R. Charnigev Approximate POLAND Drainage Basin Chernobyl of Pripyet River REACTOR SITE Klev Cherkaney CZECH. Ukrainian a s r. TWY s.a.r. ROMANIA BLACK SEA I . i 200 XX Unclassified 8513 5-00 STATE (MAGE) - - - 1 - - - DATE/TIME TRANSMITTED WASHFAX MESSAGE NUMBER DATE/TIME RECEIVED 27 27 File Electrolegy C I A OPERATIONS CENTER SITE h WASHFAX MESSAGE RECEIPT SITUATION ROOM WHITE HOUSE ? 80 :2d 98 P FROM Richard J. Kerr Deputy Director for Intelligence FOIA(b) (3) SUBJECT Radiological Health Consequences to Travellers in the USSR CLASSIFICATION PAGES 2 SENT TO: DELIVER TO: EXTENSION ROOM Deputy Assistant to the President -hite House Donald R. Fortier for National Security Affairs 456-2257 WHSR lite House Rodney B. McDaniel, Executive Secretary, NSC 395-3684 304 OEOB JHSK C Ron St. Martin, Sentor Director, Crisis Management Center 395-7310 REMARKS: THOUGHT YOU MIGHT BE INTERESTED IN THE ATTACHED. DICK KERR DDI DECLASSIFIED IN PART NLRR F06-114/8#10409 BY RW NARA DATE 3/16/11 SECRET / 28 FOIA(b) 1 Kay 1986 MEMORANDUM FOR THE RECORD SUBJECT: Radiological Health Consequences to Travellers in the USSR 1. Summary. We continue to see no short term radiological health hazzards to persons outside the vicinity of Chernobyl (distances beyond 40-50 km). There can be long term consequences to people, particularly at great distances, if radioactive iodine-contaminated foodstuffs are ingested. 2. Discussion. Although the total radiation released from the damaged reactor at Chernobyl was immense, possibly hundreds of millions of Curies, most is either confined to the immediate vicinity of Chernobyl or has been dispersed widely, thus diluting its potency. 3. The radiation released can be divided into two classes--particulate and gaseous. The particulates, which contain many long-lived, highly radioactive elements, settle out from the atmosphere within tens of kilometers of the source. These particulates will represent the Soviets' long term clean-up problem. 4. The radiation detected is predominately from the gaseous releases. By far, the majority of these gases were released at the instant of the reactor explosion. Thus, radiation readings far from the site should peak as this bow wave passes, then decline rapidly. This is true even though the damaged reactor 5. The primary gaseous releases are radioactive noble gases (zenon, krypton, etc.). These are dangerous gases when concentrated because of the high energy (2 million electron volts) of the gamma rays given off when they decay. But being noble elements, they cannot react chemically to form particulates, and are no danger to foodstuffs. As the bow wave of these gases is dissipated, the danger subsides. 6. At about the same time as the noble gases were released, major amounts of gaseous iodine were released as well. The radioactive iodine DECLASSIFIED IN PART NLRR F06-114/8#10410 0625136 OADR BY RW NARA DATE 3/16/11 SECRET COL 1-82 29 SECRET does not represent a near term radiological health problem, however, because the garrs rays enitted are only about a tenth as energetic as for the noble gases. 7. Iodine is a great long term concern because it does chemically react with the environment and does contaminate foodstuffs. The major health hazzard stems from dairy cattle that ingest contaminated feed, and concentrate the iodine in their milk. This, in turn, is concentrated in thyroid glands in people, particularly infants, who drink the milk. Direct inhalation is also a hazzard, though less radioactivity is concentrated in the thyrold by this means. The carcinogenistic effect of this radioactive iodine is well documented. Cancer of the thyroid is fatal about 25 percent of the time. Radioactive iodine has a half life of about eight days. This means that, for practical purposes, only food or milk produced within the next few months will be a danger. 8. The only concern might be If the reactor blows again as the Soviets pour water on it to cool it off, and the winds were blowing to Kiev. Even then the total dosage in Kiev should be within safe levels. Radioactive iodine levels will need to be monitored. 9. Gordon C. Oehler Director Scientific and Weapons Research Central Intelligence Agency 2 SECRET 30 Editorial 0-1848 (2UR67) May 1, 1986 NUCLEAR DISASTER AT CHERNOBYL Anncr: Lally Next, a VOA Editorial, reflecting the views of the U.S. Government. Voice: Worldwide attention is focused on Chernobyl, a complex of nuclear power plants Revise sixty miles north of Kiev in the Soviet Ukraine, where a meltdown of the central the methow core of a nuclear reactor has taken place causing an explosion that released did not filind a of of cause dangerous quantities of radiation. It is believed that the graphite housing of the the core may still be burning at Chernobyl, spewing particles of radioactive debris into explosion the atmosphere. There seems little doubt that this is the most serious nuclear accident in history. No 1958(?) Official Soviet press statements have termed it a "disaster," and because the Soviets rarely publicize news about any domestic catastrophes -- even earthquakes or floods -- their use of the word "disaster "is especially significant. Nuclear radiation in the atmosphere doesn't respect national borders. It disperses into the air of the planet and is therefore an international concern. The reluctance of the Soviet Union to supply all of the details about the Chernobyl event than is especially disturbing. Within hours of the accident, radiation readings in more day- a day Scandinavia were one hundred times higher than normal, but the Soviets didn't alert the world to the event for more than a day, and then only after they received an inquiry from the Swedish government. They didn't inform the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna until Monday, April 28 -- two days after the explosion occurred. Officially, the Soviets claim that the situation at Chernobyl has stabilized, that radiation levels are under control. Nevertheless, they have asked Sweden and West. Ficials Germany for help, and there are unconfirmed reports of mass evacuations from the Chernobyl area. The United States has expressed regret to the Soviet government about this tragedy, our concern about civilian casualties, and our readiness to provide humanitarian and technical assistance as soon as possible. But as yet, the Soviets have not asked for our help. American specialists want to share their knowledge and experience with Soviet experts, for they know that sealing the damaged reactor, cleaning up the surrounding environment, and treating the thousands of people potentially affected by radiation is a difficult and extensive process. In 1979, there was a partial meltdown at the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant in Pennsylvania. Most of the escaping radiation was contained, and there were no deaths or associated illnesses among the nearby population. Nevertheless, the knowledge Americans gained from their study of the Three Mile Island incident and the recommendations for immediate safety measures could be especially important to the Soviets at this tragic time. The extent of the Chernobyl catastrophe is not yet known, mainly because the Soviet government has released so little information. Rumors and speculation abound, and will continue to increase as long as the Soviets refuse to set the record straight. American and Japanese tourists returning from the Kiev area, for example, say they were warned about possible contamination of the drinking water, but there have been no official cautions from the Kremlin. U.S. intelligence sources NO believe there is reason to fear that a second reactor at Chernobyl may be in danger They of meltdown; yet, again, there is no word from Moscow to confirm or deny this not report. think NO, When it comes to nuclear safety, no one can stand on ceremony. The potential dangers of human radiation poisoning and irreversible damage to the environment are of worldwide concern, regardless of the reticent Soviet government's desire to 32 avoid embarrassment. We want to help in whatever way we can -- to minimize casualties, prevent further contamination, and to work with Soviet authorities to make nuclear energy safe for the future. Anncr: That was a VOA Editorial, reflecting the views of the U.S. Government. -0- To: JFM From: PWR 33 May 1, 1986 POLITICAL TALKING POINTS/THEMES Whatever the cause of the accident, the Soviets' handling of the accident reminds us of some things about the Soviet system. E.G.: -- The Soviet attitude toward international obligations: IAEA Experts' Guidelines (1983-84), which Soviet experts participated in drafting, laid down standards of conduct for such cases, including timely sharing of information to affected states. Other countries' ability to assess environmental impact, hazards to health, and future extent of both, is seriously hampered by withholding of facts about cause and circumstances of the accident. Demonstrates requirement for effective verification and greater transparency in agreements reached with U.S.S.R. -- Aspects of the Soviet system: Callousness toward their own people. Misleading, even deceptive public statements. E.g., TASS's claim that this was first Soviet nuclear accident, when we know of at least five (including a major explosion in Siberia in 1958 that contaminated more than 125,000 sq. km. of countryside). Casts doubt on Gorbachev's pledges of "openness" and his image as a "modern, enlightened" type of leader. I SB/ pls heys a copy- form 34 summary pables then May, incident relaty to nuclear thile CONF BENTIAL 38 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRETARIAT PAGE 01 WARSAW 4476 DTG: 011257Z MAY 86 PSN: 015524 E0B150 AN002900 TOR: 121/1439Z CSN:HCE508 TELEPHONE INQUIRES FROM VIEWERS. PANELISTS WERE: MINISTER OF HEALTH MIROSLAW CYBULKO; DOMESTIC DISTRIBUTION: MAN-01 DOBR-01 KRAM-01 SOMM-01 LENC-01 MAT-01 TRADE MINISTER JERZY JOZWIAK; DIRECTOR OF THE /006 A2 INSTITUTE OF MOTHER AND CHILD PROF. KRYSTYNA BOZEK; PROF. ZBIGNIEW JAWOROWSKI OF THE CENTRAL LABORATORY FOR RADIOLOGICAL PROBLEMS; DIRECTOR OF THE WHTS ASSIGNED DISTRIBUTION: NATIONAL ATOMIC ENERGY AND RESEARCH AGENCY MIECZYSLAW SIT: VP SIT SOWINSKI; AND PROF. JANUSZ NAUMAN OF THE POSTGRADUATE EOB: MEDICAL CENTER. THE PANELISTS BRIMMED EXPERTISE AND EXUDED TRANQUILITY, OF COURSE INTENDED TO ALLAY THE ANXIETIES OF THE POLISH PEOPLE. OP IMMED /PRIORITY 4. PROF. JAWOROWSKI, WHO HAS BEEN PRINICPAL INVESTIGATOR STU0164 ON A MARIE SKLODOWSKA-CURIE FUND GRANT AND IS AN DE RUDKRW #4476/01 1211300 INTERNATIONALLY-RESPECTED RADIOLOGICAL MEASUREMENTS OP 011257Z MAY 86 SPECIALIST, PROVIDED WHAT IS THE "HARDEST" GOP DATA FM AMEMBASSY WARSAW TO DATE ON THE LEVELS OF ABSORBED RADIATION DOSE BY THE POLISH POPULATION. HE SAID: A) THAT THE AVERAGE ABSORBED TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0757 DOSE THROUGH APRIL 30 WAS ABOUT 0.1 REM; B) THAT THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF RADIATION EXPOSURE WAS SUCH THAT IF IT INFO EASTERN EUROPEAN POSTS PRIORITY WERE SUSTAINED FOR TEN DAYS IT WOULD RESULT IN AN ABSORBED AMEMBASSY VIENNA PRIORITY 3037 DOSE OF ABOUT 0.58 REM; C) THAT THE LOWEST ABOVE BACKGROUND AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM PRIORITY 1836 LEVEL REPORTED IN POLAND WAS ABOUT 50 TIMES LOWER, I.E. AMEMBASSY COPENHAGEN PRIORITY 0742 0.012 REM. HE ASSURED HIS VIEWERS THAT THESE DOSES WERE AMEMBASSY HELSINKI PRIORITY 0528 NOTHING TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT SINCE THE "RECOMMENDED AMEMBASSY OSLO PRIORITY 0387 ABSORBED DOSE LIMIT FOR INCIDENTS OF THIS SORT WAS 10 REMS." AMEMBASSY BONN PRIORITY 0034 (COMMENT: THIS LEVEL OF ABSORBED DOSE IS ALIMIT SET IN THE USIA WASHDC PRIORITY 8266 US NATIONAL COUNCIL ON RADIATION PROTECTION MEASUREMENT REPORT 39 FOR RADIATION WORKERS AS "A RETROSPECTIVE ANNUAL CONF ENTIAL SECTION 01 OF 03 WARSAW 04476 DOSE FOR DOSE INCREMENTS WELL DISTRIBUTED OVER TIME." END COMMENT.) HE CHOSE NOT TO TELL THE VIEWERS THAT THE RECOMMENDED E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR LIMIT ON ABSORBED DOSE FOR THE GENERAL POPULATION TAGS: ENRG, SENV, CASC, UR, PL IS ONLY 0.17 REM, PRESUMABLY SINCE THE QUOTE AVERAGE SUBJECT: CHERNOBYL' NUCLEAR DISASTER: GOP INFORMS POLISH PUBLIC CONCERNING RADIATION LEVELS AND PROPHYLACTIC MEASURES UNQUOTE ACCUMULATED DOSE WAS ALREADY 0. 10 REM. IN EFFECT HE WAS ENLISTING THE WHOLE POPULATION OF POLAND INTO THE REF: WARSAW 4452 (NOTAL) FRATERNITY OF RADIATION WORKERS, AN HONOR FOR WHICH THEY WERE NOT PREPARED. HAVING SELECTED THE 10 REM LIMIT, JAWOROWSKI THEN ATTEMPTED A REDUCTION (#) AD ABSURDUM OF 1. ENTIRE TEXT. CONCERN ABOUT POTENTIAL ABSORBED DOSE LEVELS BY POINTING OUT THAT EVEN IF THE MAXIMUM RADIATION LEVELS PERSISTED FOR 100 DAYS--A PROPOSITION WHICH HE REJECTED 2. SUMMARY. A TELEVISION APPEARANCE OF SIX MEMBERS OF THE AS RIDICULOUS--THE TOTAL ABOSRBED DOSE WOULD GOP CHERNOBYL' EMERGENCY PANEL PROVIDED THE FIRST BE BELOW THE 10 REM LEVEL. OFFICIAL FIGURES OF RADIATION LEVELS IN POL AND FOLLOWING THE SOVIET NUCLEAR DISASTER. ACCORDING TO THEM, THE MAXIMUM ABSORBED DOSE RATE ENCOUNTERED (IN NORTHEAST 5. JAWOROWSKI SAID THAT THE RADIATION WAS FIRST DETECTED POL AND) WAS ABOUT 150 TIMES BACKGROUND; THE MINIMUM IN POLAND DURING SUNDAY NIGHT, APRIL 27; SOWINSKI HASTENED ABOUT THREE TIMES BACKGROUND. THE AVERAGE WAS ABOUT 0.1 TO ADD THAT THIS FIRST DETECTION OCCURRED IN NORTHEAST REM. THE POPULATION WAS ASSURED THAT THIS LEVEL OF POLAND. SOWINSKI ALSO SAID THAT THE RADIATION LEVEL EXPOSURE POSED NO HEALTH HAZARD. THE PANEL EXPLAINED "STABILIZED" (READ PEAKED) ON APRIL 29 AND THAT THE THE ODINE DISTRIBUTION PROGRAM (WHICH THEY EMPHASIZED AS QUOTE AVERAGE UNQUOTE HAS BEEN DROPPING SINCE THEN. BEING NECESSARY) WHICH CONTINUES TO PROVIDE THE IODINE BT PREPARATION FOR CHILDREN BELOW AGE 16 EVEN ON THE MAY DAY HOLIDAY. IT REPEATED EARLIER PUBLISHED CAUTIONARY MEASURES CONCERNING MILK FROM COWS GRAZING ON OPEN PASTURE. IT RECOMMENDED WASHING ALL FRESH FRUITS AND VEGETABLES. THE TELECAST ALSO SHOWED AN OFFICIAL SOVIET REPORT ON CHERNOBYL' ALONG WITH A PURPORTED STILL SHOT OF THE REACTOR AFTER THE DISASTER. END SUMMARY. DECLASSIFIED 3. ON THE EVENING OF APRIL 30, POLISH TFLFVIEWERS WERE NLRR F06-114/8410412 TREATED TO A REMARKABLE DISPLAY OF CANDOR (OR AT LEAST OF SIMULATED CANDOR) BY MEMBERS OF THE BLUE-RIBBON PANEL HASTILY ASSEMBLED BY THE GOP ON MONDAY IN THE WAKE BY LOJ NARA DATE 9/30/08 OF THE CHERNOBYL' NUCLEAR DISASTER. SIX MEMBERS OF THE PANEL PARTICIPATED IN THE FIFTEEN-MINUTE "MEET THE PRESS" SESSION FOLLOWED BY PANEL RESPONSES TO CONFIDENTIAL CONF IDENTIAL 39 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRETARIAT PAGE 01 WARSAW 4476 DTG:011257Z MAY 86 PSN:015530 EOB151 AN002899 TOR: 121/1441Z CSN:HCE509 WERE IN DANGER FROM THE RADIATION. RATHER, SHE SAID, THEY WERE IN GREATER DANGER FROM THE MOTHER-TO-BE GETTING DISTRIBUTION: MAN-01 DOBR-01 KRAM-01 SOMM-01 LENC-01 MAT-01 UPSET AND GENERATING INTERNAL STRESS. IODINE TREATMENT /006 A2 WAS NOT RECOMMENDED FOR PREGNANT WOMEN. 8. IT RAINED A BIT THE AFTERNOON OF APRIL 30. IN RESPONSE WHTS ASSIGNED DISTRIBUTION: TO A QUESTION, JAWOROWSKI WELCOMED THE RAIN AND WISHED THAT SIT: VP SIT MORE WOULD FALL ESPECIALLY FROM HIGH ALTITUDE CLOUDS. EOB: THIS, HE SAID, WOULD PRECIPITATE THE RADIOACTIVE PARTICLES, WASH PLANTS, PASTURES, ETC AND WOULD HASTEN THE RETURN OF THE RADIATION LEVEL TO BACKGROUND LEVELS. OP IMMED /PRIORITY UTS9451 9. CYBULSKI REPORTED ON THE ESTABLISHMENT OF DE RUDKRW #4476/02 1211320 INCIDENT INFORMATION CENTERS IN EACH REGION VOYEVOD 0 P 011257Z MAY 86 HEALTH OFFICE AND URGED THE POPULATION TO MAKE USE OF FM AMEMBASSY WARSAW THESE CENTERS. HE ALSO SAID THAT THE PANEL WOULD REPEAT A TELEVISION APPEARACHE SHOULD THE SITUATION WARRANT. TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0758 10. THE SAME NEWSCAST WHICH TELEVISTED THIS SESSION WITH INFO EASTERN EUROPEAN POSTS PRIORITY THE PANEL ALSO BROADCAST THE OFFICIAL SOVIET TELEVISION AMEMBASSY VIENNA PRIORITY 3038 REPORT ON CHERNOBYL. IT INCLUDED A STILL PICTURE OF THE AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM PRIORITY 1837 REACTOR WHICH SHOWED HALF THE BUILDING SEVERELY DAMAGED, AMEMBASY COPENHAGEN PRIORITY 0743 THE OTHER HALF APPARENTLY INTACT. THE NEWSCASTER SAID AMEMBASSY HELSINKI PRIORITY 0529 THAT A) THE SITUATION WAS UNDER CONTROL, B) ONLY TWO AMEMBASSY OSLO PRIORITY 0388 PEOPLE HAD DIED, C) WESTERN MEDIA WERE EXAGGERATING THE AMEMBASSY BONN PRIORITY 0035 MAGNITUDE OF THE ACCIDENT, AND D) ABOUT 170 PEOPLE WERE USIA WASHDC PRIORITY 8267 HOSPITALIZED AND 49 RELEASED. CONF ENTIAL SECTION 02 OF 03 WARSAW 04476 11. COMMENT: DATA PROVIDED BY JAWOROWSKI IMPLY THAT THE PEAK ABSORBED DOES RATE LEVEL OBSERVED IN POLAND WAS ABOUT HE CONCEDED THAT LOCAL INCREASES ARE BEING OBSERVED 2.3 MILLIREM PER HOUR. ASSUMING A BACKGROUND LEVEL OF 130 BECAUSE OF WEATHER PATTERN VARIATIONS, BUT HE REPEATED MILLIREM PER YEAR, THIS MEANS THAT THE MAXIMUM ABSORBED THAT THE OVERALL LEVEL IS DROPPING. CYBULSKI URGED THAT DOES LEVEL WAS ABOUT 150 TIMES BACKGROUND. THIS DATA ALSO ALL GREEN VEGETABLES BE WASHED THOROUGHLY BEFORE CONSUMPTION IMPLY A LOW END ABSORBED DOSE LEVEL OF ABOUT 3 TIMES AND REPEATED THE RECOMMENDATION CONTAINED IN THE PRESS BACKGROUND. THAT MILK FROM COWS GRAZING ON OPEN PASTURES NOT BE CONSUMED. HE APPEALED TO THE FARMER'S SENSE OF RESPONSIBILITY TO SOCIETY TO STOP DELIVERING SUCH MILK TO PICK-UP POINTS. 12. THE GOP SHOULD RECEIVE HIGH MARKS FOR TRYING TO RESPOND TO SOCIETAL CONCERNS. HOWEVER, SCICOUNS WATCHED THE PROGRAM IN THE COMPANY OF AN QUOTE ORDINARY UNQUOTE 6. PROFESSOR BOZEK DESCRIBED THE IODINE DISTRIBUTION POLE WHOSE COMMENT WAS THAT THEY WERE LYING. SCICOUNS' PROGRAM WHOSE PURPOSE WAS PROPHYLACTIC. JOZWIAK ASSURED ASSURANCES THAT THERE WERE DISTINGUISHED SCIENTISTS THE PUBLIC THAT THERE WAS NOT A SHORTAGE OF IODINE SOLUTION DID NOT CONVINCE HIS POLISH COMPANION. THAT THE AND THAT CLINICS WOULD ADMINISTER THE DOESE THROUGHOUT POLISH PERSON-IN-THE-STREET DOESN'T BELIEVE THE GOP THE MAY 1 HOLIDAY. (COMMENT: POTASSIUM IODINE IS AN WAS EVIDENCED BY THE NEAR PANIC BUYING OF BUTTER, POWDERED ABUNDANT CHEMICAL PRESUMABLY AVAILABLE IN POLAND IN MILK, BREAD, ETC IN ANTICIPATION OF SHORTAGES WHICH SUFFICIENT QUANTITIES FOR THIS PROGRAM. AS IS WELL KNOWN BT MEDICINES ARE CONTINUALLY IN SHORT SUPPLY IN POLAND; VITAMIN PILLS AND ASPIRINS ARE INFORMALLY RATIONED. THE GOP MUST BE PLEASED TO HAVE ENCOUNTERED A PUBLIC HEALTH PROBLEM FOR WHICH THEY CAN SUPPLY THE PRESCRIBED QUOTE CURE UNQUOTE. END COMMENT.) THE IODINE TREATMENT WAS RECOMMENDED FOR CHILDREN BELOW 16 YEARS OF AGE ALL OVER POLAND. (COMMENT: NO DATA ON IODINE 131 CONCENTRATION WAS PRESENTED. JAWOROWSKI SAID IN EFFECT THAT THE RADIATION EXPOSURE OVER THE COUNTRY VARIED BY A FACTOR OF ABOUT FIFTY. WHILE IODINE TREATMENT MAY HAVE MADE SENSE FOR CHILDREN IN THE HIGHEST EXPOSURE AREAS, IT CANNOT MAKE SENSE FOR THOSE IN THE LOW EXPOSED AREAS WHERE HIS DATA IMPLIES SUPPLIES SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER ABSORBED DOSES. END COMMENT.) BOZEK DID NOT THINK THAT DAILY WASHING OF DECLASSIFIED CHILDREN'S HAIR AND CLOTHING WAS DEMANDED BY THE RADIATION SITUATION BUT SHE ALLOWED THAT SUCH A PRACTICE WAS COMMENDABLE EVEN IN THE ABSENCE OF A RADIATION EMERGENCY. NLRR F06-114/8#104129 7. BOZEK ALSO ADDRESSED THE CONCERNS OF PREGNANT WOMEN. BY LOJ NARA DATE 9/30/08 SHE ASSURED THEM THAT NE ITHER THEY NOR THEIR UNBORN CHILDREN CONF IDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 40 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRETARIAT PAGE 01 WARSAW 4476 DTG: 011257Z MAY 86 PSN: 015531 EOB152 AN002898 TOR: 121/1441Z CSN: HCE510 DISTRIBUTION: MAN-01 DOBR-01 kram-ø1 SOMM-01 LENC-01 MAT-01 /006 A2 WHTS ASSIGNED DISTRIBUTION: SIT: VP SIT EOB: OP IMMED /PRIORITY UTS9457 DE RUDKRW #4476/03 1211345 O P 011257Z MAY 86 FM AMEMBASSY WARSAW TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0759 INFO EASTERN EUROPEAN POSTS PRIORITY AMEMBASSY VIENNA PRIORITY 3039 AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM PRIORITY 1838 AMEMBASSY COPENHAGEN PRIORITY 0744 AMEMBASSY HELSINKI PRIORITY 0530 AMEMBASSY OSLO PRIORITY 0389 AMEMBASSY BONN PRIORITY 0036 USIA WASHDC PRIORITY 8268 Z I E N I A SECTION 03 OF 03 WARSAW 04476 CAN NOW BE BLAMED ON RADIATION CONTAMINATION. THE IODINE DISTRIBUTION PROGRAM SHOULD WIN KUDOS FOR THE GOP; THEY HAVE ACTED QUICKLY, FORCEFULLY, WITH SEMMING CONCERN FOR THE POEPLE AS ITS OVERRIDING GOAL, A STROKE OF GENIUS. OF COURSE, THEY HAVE OTHER MOTIVES FOR THEIR ACTION. THEY MUST AVERT PANIC, REDUCE A FURTHER BUILD-UP OF ANTI- SOVIET SENTIMENT, AND PRESERVE THEIR ABILITY TO CONTINUE THEIR OWN NUCLEAR ENERGY PROGRAM. 13. ADDITIONAL UNEVALUATED DATA. IN CONVERSATION LAST NIGHT, THE RECTOR OF WARSAW UNIVERSITY (STRICTLY PROTECT) WHO IS HIMSELF A PHYSICIST, TOLD THE CHARGE THAT RADIATION LEVELS IN WARSAW ON APRIL 30 WERE 15 TO 30 TIMES BACKGROUND AT VARIOUS TIMES DURING THE DAY, THAT A SAMPLE OF DUST FROM AN AUTOMOBIL JUST RETURNED FROM THE NORTHEAST HAD BEEN ANALYZED AND SHOWED RADIATION AT 300 TIMES NORMAL LEVELS, AND THAT AIRCRAFT MEASUREMENTS IN THE HIGH ALTITUDE CLOUD OVER NORTHEAST POLAND (DATE NOT SPECIFIED) REGISTERED RADIATION AT 1000 TIMES BACKGROUND. HE DESCRIBED NORMAL BACKGROUND RADIATION IN WARSAW AS ABOUT 100 C. P.M. ON A GEIGER COUNTER. DAVIS BT CONF IDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 41 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRETARIAT PAGE 01 MOSCOW 7457 DTG: 011737Z MAY 86 PSN: 015790 EOB628 AN003019 TOR: 121/1759Z CSN:HCE571 NUCLEAR ACCIDENT ISSUE, IT WOULD NOT RECEIVE THE DUTCH, AND DEPFONMIN KOVALEV WAS "OUT OF TOWN." DISTRIBUTION: MAN-01 DOBR-01 KRAM-01 SOMM-01 RODM-01 LENC-01 THEY REFERRED THE DUTCH TO THE STATE COMMITTEE FOR MAT-01 /007 A2 ATOMIC ENERGY'S INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT. LATER, THE DUTCH PASSED ON TO NIKIFOROV OF MFA PROTOCOL THE EC'S APPEAL THAT THE USSR HELP EC WHTS ASSIGNED DISTRIBUTION: CITIZENS WHO WANTED TO LEAVE THE AREA. LATE AT SIT: SIT NIGHT, HOWEVER, THE MFA CALLED IN AT LEAST UK, EOB: FRENCH, AUSTRIAN, FINNISH AND DUTCH, AND PERHAPS OTHERS, TO ADDRESS THE NUCLEAR ACCIDENT. DUTCH READOUT: OP IMMED STU0657 DE RUEHMO #7457/01 1211739 5. KOVALEV HAD WITH HIM A.M. PETROSYANTS, (CHAIRMAN, 0 011737Z MAY 86 STATE COMMITTEE FOR THE UTILIZATION OF ATOMIC ENERGY) FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW AMBASSADOR VLADIMIR PETROVSKIY, AND AN MFA OFFICIAL. KOVALEV OPENED WITH A STATEMENT SIMILAR TO THE ONE TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4291 READ TO THE UK AMBASSADOR (SEPTEL). IT SAID THE USSR UNDERSTOOD THE DISQUIET OF OTHER COUNTRIES, INFO AMCONSUL LENINGRAD IMMEDIATE 7223 WHICH THE USSR SHARED, BUT THE SOVIET UNION WISHED USIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4562 TO PROVIDE AS FULL INFORMATION AS POSSIBLE IN ORDER USDOE WASHDC IMMEDIATE TO ALLEVIATE THESE ANXIETIES. THE USSR APPRECIATED AMEMBASSY BUCHAREST IMMEDIATE 2391 THE VARIOUS OFFERS OF HELP BUT THEY WERE NOT AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST IMMEDIATE 1452 NECESSARY SINCE THE USSR HAD ALL THE SCIENTIFIC AMEMBASSY BONN IMMEDIATE 0261 AND TECHNICAL MEANS NECESSARY. AMEMBASSY COPENHAGEN IMMEDIATE 2814 AMEMBASSY HELSINKI IMMEDIATE 5170 CURRENT STATUS: AMEMBASSY LONDON IMMEDIATE 1108 AMEMBASSY OSLO IMMEDIATE 2415 AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM IMMEDIATE 3491 6. KOVALEV THEN ADDRESSED REACTOR NO. 4, STATING AMEMBASSY WARSAW IMMEDIATE 3691 THAT THE LEAKAGE HAD STOPPED, THE REACTOR WAS NOT UNVIE MISSION VIENNA IMMEDIATE WORKING, AND THERE WERE NO FURTHER POLLUTING EMISSIONS. THE THREE OTHER PLANTS WERE ON "RESERVE" SECTION 01 OF 02 MOSCOW 07457 (STANDBY BASIS), AND ALL ATTENTION WAS DIRECTED AT PLANT NO. 4, INCLUDING LIQUIDATING THE CONSEQUENCES PASS S/NP: AMBASSADOR KENNEDY OF THE INCIDENT. E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR WESTERN PRESS COMPLAINT: TAGS: KSCA, TRGY, SENV, CASC, UR SUBJECT: CHERNOBYL' NUCLEAR ACCIDENT: REPORT NO. 7, AS OF 1430 GMT MAY 1 7. KOVALEV PROTESTED WESTERN PRESS COVERAGE WHICH HE SAID EXAGGERATED THE EVENT, CAUSING "EMOTIONAL REF: MOSCOW 7427 REACTIONS" IN THE WEST. HE SAID HE HOPED THE INFORMATION PROVIDED WOULD DO AWAY WITH THESE EMOTIONAL REACTIONS. 1. CONFIDENTIAL ENTIRE TEXT. DUTCH RESPONSE: SUMMARY: 8. AFTER REPEATING PRIOR EXPRESSIONS OF SYMPATHY AND 2. THE SOVIETS HAVE PROVIDED THE DUTCH AND OTHER OFFERS OF ASSISTANCE, THE DUTCH REAFFIRMED THEIR EUROPEAN COUNTRIES WITH MINIMAL INFORMATION ON THE APPEAL FOR THE SOVIETS TO ASSIST EC NATIONALS WHO CHERNOBYL' DISASTER IN A POSSIBLE ATTEMPT TO BT DISCOURAGE EVACUATION OF TOURISTS. EC COUNTRIES CONTINUE TO PRESS FOR FULLER INFORMATION. END SUMMARY DECLASSIFIED 3. THE DUTCH DCM (PROTECT) GAVE POLCOUNS THE FOLLOWING READOUT ON AN APRIL 30 MEETING THEIR AMBASSADOR HAD NLRR F06-114/8# 10413 WITH THE SOVIETS. TURNAROUND: BY LOJ NARA DATE 9/30/08 4. AS OF LATE AFTERNOON APRIL 30, THE MFA OFFICIALLY WAS STATING IT WAS NOT COMPETENT TO ADDRESS THE CONF IDENTIAL 42 CONF IDENTIAL NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRETARIAT PAGE 01 MOSCOW 7457 DTG: 011737Z MAY 86 PSN: 015794 EOB629 AN003018 TOR: 121/1800Z CSN: HCE572 THE EFFECT THAT CONTAMINATION RATES SEVEN TIMES NORMAL WERE NOT THREATENING. HE SAID KIEV' NORMAL DISTRIBUTION: MAN-01 DOBR-01 KRAM-01 SOMM-01 RODM-01 LENC-01 READING WAS ZERO WHILE ITS CURRENT READING WAS MAT-01 /007 A2 0.075 MILLIREMS PER HOUR; THIS WAS NOTHING TO BE WORRIED ABOUT. IN CONCLUSION, HE SAW NO NEED FOR TOURISTS TO EVACUATE. HE SAID THE DUTCH NOW HAD WHTS ASSIGNED DISTRIBUTION: ALL THE INFORMATION ON WHICH THE SOVIET COUNCIL SIT: SIT OF MINISTERS HAD DECIDED EARLIER THE SAME DAY NOT TO EOB: HAVE A SECOND EVACUATION. (SEE SEPTEL ON PETROSYANTS' COMMENTS TO THE BRITISH AMBASSADOR.) HEALTH SERVICE FOR FOREIGNERS: OP IMMED STU0660 DE RUEHMO #7457/02 1211741 11. KOVALEV ADDED THAT THE UKRAINIAN AND BYLEORUSSIAN 0 011737Z MAY 86 MINISTRIES OF PUBLIC HEALTH HAD BEEN INSTRUCTED TO FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW ANSWER ANY QUESTIONS OF FOREIGNERS CONCERNED ABOUT THE HEALTH ASPECT. AS OF THE MORNING OF APRIL 30, A TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4292 CLINIC HAD ALSO BEEN OPENED IN MOSCOW TO CHECK FOREIGNERS AS WELL. THE SOVIETS WOULD ALSO BE INFO AMCONSUL LENINGRAD IMMEDIATE 7224 HAVING MORE CONTACT ON THIS MATTER, so IT WAS USIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4563 GROUNDLESS TO ADVISE TOURISTS TO EVACUATE. THE USDOE WASHDC IMMEDIATE DUTCH UNDERTOOK TO FORWARD THE SOVIET INFORMATION AMEMBASSY BUCHAREST IMMEDIATE 2392 FOR ANALYSIS. HARTMAN AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST IMMEDIATE 1453 BT AMEMBASSY BONN IMMEDIATE 0262 AMEMBASSY COPENHAGEN MMEDIATE 2815 AMEMBASSY HELSINKI IMMEDIATE 5171 AMEMBASSY LONDON IMMEDIATE 1109 AMEMBASSY OSLO IMMEDIATE 2416 AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM IMMEDIATE 3492 AMEMBASSY WARSAW IMMEDIATE 3692 UNVIE MISSION VIENNA IMMEDIATE CONF DENTIAL SECTION 02 OF 02 MOSCOW 07457 PASS S/NP: AMBASSADOR KENNEDY E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR TAGS: KSCA, TRGY, SENV, CASC, UR SUBJECT: CHERNOBYL' NUCLEAR ACCIDENT: REPORT NO. 7, DESIRED TO LEAVE, AND CALLED FOR A FULLER AND MORE PROMPT SOVIET PROVISION OF INFORMATION. PETROSYANTS INTERVENTION: 9. KOVALEV ASKED PETROSYANTS TO PROVIDE MORE INFORMATION. PETROSYANTS REVIEWED SOVIET PUBLIC DATA ON DEATHS, HOSPITALIZATIONS AND RELEASES. HE THEN ADDED THAT THE INCIDENT HAD BEEN "VERY COMPLICATED." HE SAID HE DID NOT WANT TO BELITTLE THE MATTER, ALTHOUGH HE DID NOT STATE WHAT THE COMPLICATIONS WERE. A "LONG TIME" WOULD BE REQUIRED TO LIQUIDATE THE CONSEQUENCES OF THE INCIDENT. THE CLOUD WHICH FORMED "ORIGINALLY" HAD BEEN DANGEROUS: IT CONTAINED NOBLE GASES ("BLAGORODNIYE GAZI") LIKE KRYPTON, BUT ALSO STRONTIUM 90 AND OTHERS, ALTHOUGH THESE WERE ONLY A MINOR PART OF THE TOTAL EMISSION. 10. SINCE THE LEAKAGE HAD STOPPED, THE SITUATION WAS IMPROVING, PETROSYANTS ADDED. HOWEVER, HE ACKNOWLEDGED THAT LOCAL CLIMATE COULD BE AFFECTED. HE SAID THE CURRENT READING FOR VILNIUS WAS 0.04 MILLIREMS PER HOUR, BUT THIS COULD RISE TO 0.07 MILLIREMS PER HOUR. HE CITED SWEDISH SOURCES TO CONF IDENTIAL 43 CONF IDENTIAL NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRETARIAT PAGE 01 MOSCOW 7456 DTG: 011732Z MAY 86 PSN: 015774 EOB574 AN002953 TOR: 121/1746Z CSN:HCE569 4. AN AUSTRALIAN EMBOFF WAS RETURNING TO MOSCOW FRIDAY NIGHT BY TRAIN, WHICH WAS STOPPED FOR 3 HOURS DISTRIBUTION: MAN-01 DOBR-01 KRAM-01 SOMM-01 RODM-01 LENC-01 JUST OUTSIDE KIEV, SUPPOSEDLY BECAUSE A FREIGHT MAT-01 /007 A2 TRAIN HAD DERAILED. WHEN THEY GOT TO KIEV AT 0300 WHSR COMMENT: FOR NOTE SATURDAY MORNING, HE SAW AN UNUSUALLY LARGE NUMBER OF PEOPLE MILLING AROUND THE STATION, INCLUDING A WHTS ASSIGNED DISTRIBUTION: LOT OF YOUNG SOLDIERS. SIT: VP SIT EOB: 5. ACCORDING TO A NORWEGIAN EMBOFF, THE EC AMBASSADORS HAVE BEEN CALLED TO A MEETING AT THE MFA TODAY AT 1600 MOSCOW TIME. WE HAVE NOT YET RECEIVED A READOUT. OP IMMED STU0643 6. CONTRARY TO RUMORS WHICH ARE WORKING THEIR WAY DE RUEHMO #7456 1211733 INTO WESTERN PRESS REPORTS, NEITHER THE BRITISH NOR 0 0117327 MAY 86 THE SWEDISH EMBASSIES ARE OFFERING TO EVACUATE THEIR FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW DEPENDENTS. TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4290 7. EMBOFFS TALKED WITH AMERICAN STUDENTS IN THE INFO AMCONSUL LENINGRAD IMMEDIATE 7222 PROGRESSIVE TOUR GROUP WHICH RETURNED THIS MORNING USIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4561 FROM KIEV AND DEPARTED THIS AFTERNOON FOR LONDON. USDOE WASHDC IMMEDIATE KIEV, IN THEIR VIEW, HAD A SURFACE CALM ABOUT IT AMEMBASSY BUCHAREST IMMEDIATE 2390 WHICH BELIED A DEVELOPING UNEASINESS. WHEN FIRST AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST IMMEDIATE 1451 TOLD BY THE STUDENTS ABOUT WESTERN RADIO STORIES AMEMBASSY BONN IMMEDIATE 0260 OF A MAJOR DISASTER AT THE CHERNOBYL' NUCLEAR AMEMBASSY COPENHAGEN IMMEDIATE 2813 POWER PLANT, THEIR UKRAINIAN FRIENDS WERE HIGHLY AMEMBASSY HELSINKI IMMEDIATE 5169 SKEPTICAL. AS THE STUDENTS BECAME CONCERNED TO AMEMBASSY LONDON IMMEDIATE 1107 THE POINT OF DRINKING ONLY BOTTLED WATER, THEIR AMEMBASSY OSL 0 IMMEDIATE 2414 CONTACTS BEGAN TO ACCEPT THE NOTION THAT CLEARLY AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM IMMEDIATE 3490 SOMETHING HAD GONE WRONG UP THERE, BUT TRIED TO AMEMBASSY WARSAW IMMEDIATE 3690 RECONCILE IT AGAINST OFFICIAL SOVIET STATEMENTS BY SAYING, " IF THERE IS ACTUALLY A SERIOUS PROBLEM, CONFIDENTIALMOSCOW 07456 WOULDN'T THEY' (I.E., THE GOVERNMENT) BE DOING SOMETING ABOUT KIEV - EVACUATING, AT LEAST, THE E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR WOMEN AND CHILDREN, OR WARNING US, OR TAKING SOME TAGS: KSCA, TRGY, SENV, CASC, UR PRECAUTIONS?" THE BRITISH EMBASSY REPORTS THAT THE SUBJECT: CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR ACCIDENT: REPORT NO. 6, GROUP WAS TOLD BY BRITISH AIRWAYS THAT, BESIDES THE - AS OF 1300 GMT MAY 1 PHYSICAL EXAM REQUIRED BY SOVIET AUTHORITIES BEFORE DEPARTURE, AIRLINES' DOCTOR WOULD ADMINISTER ANOTHER REF: MOSCOW 7427 EXAM AND, IN ADDITION, PROVIDE CLEAN TRACK SUITS FOR THE STUDENTS TO WEAR ABOARD THE PLANE. 1. CONF IDENTIAL ENTIRE TEXT. 8. THREE BRITISH STUDENTS, TWO FROM KIEV AND ONE FROM MINSK, ECHOED REPORTS OF CALM, BUT THE TWO FROM 2. A WEST GERMAN BUSINESSMAN, EQUIPPED WITH A KIEV ADDED THAT THERE WAS INCREASED ROAD TRAFFIC GEIGER COUNTER AND WITH EXPERIENCE IN ITS USE, OUTSIDE OF THE CITY. THEY DID NOT NOTE AN OVERLY ARRIVED IN KIEV YESTERDAY FROM MOSCOW. IN A PHONE LARGE PERCENTAGE OF EMERGENCY VEHICLES IN THE TRAFFIC, CONVERSATION WITH THE FRG EMBASSY THIS AFTERNOON, DESCRIBING IT AS ESSENTIALLY THE USUAL, BUT MORE OF THE BUSINESSMAN REPORTED MEASURING A RADIATION LEVEL IT. HARTMAN IN THE STREETS OF KIEV OF 0.8 MILLIREMS PER HOUR; BT WITHIN HIS HOTEL ROOM, HE RECORDED 0.22 MILLIREMS PER HOUR, UP FROM ZERO AT ARRIVAL. THE WIND IN KIEV IS NOW BLOWING NORTH-TO-SOUTH. 3. IN A RECEPTION HONORING THE RE-ESTABLISHMENT OF PAN AM SERVICE, THE AMBASSADOR POINTEDLY TOLD THE DEPUTY MINISTER OF AVIATION HOW BADLY THE SOVIET GOVERNMENT IS HANDLING THE CHERNOBYL' CRISIS AND TO DECLASSIFIED INFORM THE LEADERSHIP, OR THIS REVIVED TOURIST LINK WILL SUFFER BECAUSE OF TRAVELLERS' WELL-FOUNDED CONCERNS. INTERESTINGLY, A CHICAGO TOUR REPRESENTATIVE NLRR F06-114/8# 10414 TOLD THE 10 THAT AN INTOURIST OFFICIAL COMPLAINED THAT THEY HAD SPENT ALL DAY APRIL 29 TAKING CANCELLATIONS LOT NARA LAVO 9/30/08 OF TOURS. CONF IDENTIAL CONF DENTIAL 44 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRETARIAT PAGE 01 MOSCOW 7452 DTG:011352Z MAY 86 PSN:015473 E0B065 AN002824 TOR: 121/1406Z CSN:HCE500 5. WE URGE DEPARTMENT INSURE THAT STATEMENTS ATTRIBUTED TO SOVIET SPOKESMEN WERE IN FACT ISSUED IN AN OFFICIAL DISTRIBUTION: MAN-01 DOBR-01 KRAM-01 SOMM-01 RODM-01 LENC-01 CAPACITY. HARTMAN MAT-01 /007 A2 BT WHSR COMMENT: -CHERNOBYL FIRE UPDATE-- WHTS ASSIGNED DISTRIBUTION: SIT: SIT E OB: OP IMMED UTS9424 DE RUEHMO #7452 1211353 0 011352Z MAY 86 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4286 INFO AMCONSUL LENINGRAD IMMEDIATE 7219 USIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4560 AMEMBASSY BUCHAREST IMMEDIATE 2389 AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST IMMEDIATE 1450 AMEMBASSY BONN IMMEDIATE 0259 AMEMBASSY COPENHAGEN IMMEDIATE 2812 Cent AMEMBASSY HELSINKI IMMEDIATE 5168 AMEMBASSY LONDON IMMEDIATE 1106 AMEMBASSY OSL 0 IMMEDIATE 2413 AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM IMMEDIATE 3489 AMEMBASSY WARSAW IMMEDIATE 3689 CONF BENTIAL MOSCOW 07452 E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR TAGS: KSCA, TRGY, SENV, CASC, OPRC, UR SUBJECT: CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR ACCIDENT: REPORT NO. 5 REF: (A) STATE 135824, (B) MOSCOW 07291, - (C) MOSCOW 07317 1. CONFIDENTIAL - ENTIRE TEXT. 2. PRESS GUIDENCE OF APRIL 30 (REFTEL A) NOTES STATEMENT BY SOVIET SPOKESMAN THAT TRAVEL TO KIEV "MAY BE DANGEROUS." EMBASSY BECAME AWARE OF AP STORY WITH THIS QUOTE AT ABOUT 1500 MOSCOW TIME ON APRIL 30 (REFTEL B). 10 VERNER CALLED SAZANOV IMMEDIATELY, BUT WAS NOT ABLE TO REACH HIM FOR MORE THAN AN HOUR. WHEN CONTACT WAS MADE VERNER READ THE AP QUOTE TO SAZANOV AND ASKED HIM TO CONFIRM THE STATEMENT. 3. SAZANOV ADMITTED SAYING THAT IT MIGHT BE DANGEROUS IN KIEV, BUT HE SAID THIS WAS INTENDED AS A REPLY TO A QUESTION ON TRAVEL AND NOT AS AN OFFICIAL STATEMENT DECLASSIFIED ON THE SITUATION IN THAT CITY. HE WAS UPSET AT BEING QUOTED (REFTEL C). WHEN VERNER ASKED WHETHER EMBASSY PERSONNEL OR JOURNALISTS COULD TRAVEL TO KIEV, SAZANOV NLRR F06-114/8#10415 REPLIED, QUOTE NO, KIEV HAS BEEN CLOSED END QUOTE. BY LOJ NARA DATE 9/30/08 4. A SUBSEQUENT CALL TO THE TRAVEL OFFICE AT THE FOREIGN MINISTRY DREW THE REPLY QUOTE KIEV IS CLOSED FOR REASONS OF A TEMPORARY NATURE END QUOTE. THE SAME REPLY WAS RECEIVED THIS AFTERNOON. CONF IDENTIAL