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COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING
THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN
Center for Transportation Research Suite
200
3208 Red River
Austin, Texas 78705-2650
(512) 232-3100
FAX (512) 232-3153
MEMORANDUM
To:
The President
From:
Randy B. Machemehl, P.E. Standy washl
Director, Center for Transportation Research
Date:
24 January 2000
Fifty years from now technology will have contributed significantly to solving
many of our year 2000 transportation problems. However, transport will remain a very
significant part of the world economic system and problems will likewise remain.
During the intervening five decades, today's urban commuter transportation
problems will grow in severity until a public outcry causes legislators to provide
increased funding. As the result of this new initiative, some of today's new technology
will receive widespread implementation and new concepts will be developed. Driver
information systems providing forecasts of travel times for alternative routes will become
a part of all vehicles through both audio and visual in-vehicle systems. Urban traffic
signal systems will be controlled by high-speed computers providing real time
responses to traffic incidents and special event traffic demands. Automated highways
which will relieve drivers of most driving tasks and provide increased capacities and
much higher speeds will become available in many locations. Due to public concern
over urban air quality problems, vehicles using alternative fuels and alternative
propulsion systems will become much more common. However, fossil fuels will
continue to provide a significant fraction of transportation system energy needs.
Additionally, urban congestion and air quality problems will cause at least modest
traveler behavior changes. Urban work travelers and employers will become much
more willing to participate in flex time programs that will reduce pronounced AM and PM
peak hour transport system demands. These same concerns will cause many auto
drivers to seek mass transit as a means of serving many travel needs.
Transit buses will be powered by hybrid propulsion systems including
regenerative braking with flywheel energy storage systems and active electronic
suspension systems dramatically reducing energy consumption, emissions, and
improving ride quality. Transit users will have wristwatch size transponders that tell
them exactly when their bus or train will arrive at their intended boarding location.
1
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"ocrText": "COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING\nTHE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN\nCenter for Transportation Research Suite\n200\n3208 Red River\nAustin, Texas 78705-2650\n(512) 232-3100\nFAX (512) 232-3153\nMEMORANDUM\nTo:\nThe President\nFrom:\nRandy B. Machemehl, P.E. Standy washl\nDirector, Center for Transportation Research\nDate:\n24 January 2000\nFifty years from now technology will have contributed significantly to solving\nmany of our year 2000 transportation problems. However, transport will remain a very\nsignificant part of the world economic system and problems will likewise remain.\nDuring the intervening five decades, today's urban commuter transportation\nproblems will grow in severity until a public outcry causes legislators to provide\nincreased funding. As the result of this new initiative, some of today's new technology\nwill receive widespread implementation and new concepts will be developed. Driver\ninformation systems providing forecasts of travel times for alternative routes will become\na part of all vehicles through both audio and visual in-vehicle systems. Urban traffic\nsignal systems will be controlled by high-speed computers providing real time\nresponses to traffic incidents and special event traffic demands. Automated highways\nwhich will relieve drivers of most driving tasks and provide increased capacities and\nmuch higher speeds will become available in many locations. Due to public concern\nover urban air quality problems, vehicles using alternative fuels and alternative\npropulsion systems will become much more common. However, fossil fuels will\ncontinue to provide a significant fraction of transportation system energy needs.\nAdditionally, urban congestion and air quality problems will cause at least modest\ntraveler behavior changes. Urban work travelers and employers will become much\nmore willing to participate in flex time programs that will reduce pronounced AM and PM\npeak hour transport system demands. These same concerns will cause many auto\ndrivers to seek mass transit as a means of serving many travel needs.\nTransit buses will be powered by hybrid propulsion systems including\nregenerative braking with flywheel energy storage systems and active electronic\nsuspension systems dramatically reducing energy consumption, emissions, and\nimproving ride quality. Transit users will have wristwatch size transponders that tell\nthem exactly when their bus or train will arrive at their intended boarding location.\n1"
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