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    "localId": "179018147",
    "label": "Central Intelligence Agency Report 4, Review of the World Situation as it Relates to the Security of the United States",
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    "id": "179018147",
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    "contentType": "document",
    "title": "Central Intelligence Agency Report 4, Review of the World Situation as it Relates to the Security of the United States",
    "citationUrl": "https://catalog.archives.gov/id/179018147",
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        "President's Secretary's Files (Truman Administration)",
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    "productionDates": [
        {
            "day": 12,
            "logicalDate": "1948-01-12",
            "month": 1,
            "year": 1948
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{
    "seq": 8,
    "pageIndex": 0,
    "type": "photo",
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    "ocrText": "DECLASSIFIED\nTRU\nMAN\nE. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) and S(D) or (E)\nOSD letter,\nARCHIVES SERVICE\" RECORDS AND they\nBy NLT- HC , NARS Date 4-15-97\nis\nThe extremists, an anomalous miscellany of radical and reactionary elements, look to\nthe U.S.S.R. for support and are disposed to fight not only the Arabs, but also British\nand U.S. \"imperialism.\" They demand unlimited immigration of European Jews and\napparently welcome the Communist agents among them.\nThe U.N. Commission will find a chaotic situation in Palestine, with the great\nmajority of the population violently opposed to any action it might take. The Com-\nmission must consequently call on the Security Council for aid, raising all the problems\nimplicit in the dispatch of U.S., Soviet, or other troops to Palestine to impose partition\nby force of arms.\n15. Iran. The weak (and probably short-lived) Hakimi Government cannot be\nas effective as was Qavam in dealing with either the U.S.S.R. or the domestic situation.\nRegarded as anti-Soviet, it will undoubtedly be subjected to strong pressure by both\nthe U.S.S.R. and resurgent Iranian leftists. Although Soviet forces are unlikely to\nre-enter Iran for the present, it is possible that Soviet-supported elements will attempt\nto penetrate Azerbaijan and other northern provinces.\nOn the other hand, the political ascendancy of the Shah and the Army and the\nShah's recent understandings with some of the more powerful tribes should facilitate\nArmy action against Soviet infiltration and subversion.\n16. India-Pakistan. Although the Kashmir dispute is now before the Security\nCouncil, continuing hostilities between Moslem tribesmen and Indian troops in that\narea may lead to open warfare between India and Pakistan before a solution can be\ndevised. Such a conflict, in which Afghanistan also might become involved, would\nbe disastrous for both Dominions and would afford opportunities for eventual Soviet\nexploitation.\nTHE FAR EAST\n17. General. The Chinese Communist leader, Mao Tse-tung, has called for united\nand vigorous revolutionary action and resistance to U.S. \"imperialism\" on the part of\nall \"democratic\" elements in East Asia. Moreover, Soviet publications have directed\nincreased attention to developments in China and in southeast Asia. Nevertheless, no\nradical change in Soviet policy or activity in the Far East is anticipated in the near\nfuture. In particular the U.S.S.R. is expected to maintain its hitherto \"correct\"\ndiplomatic relations with the Nanking Government.\n18. China. Although the Communists have won no spectacular victories, the\nmilitary position of the Nationalist Government continues to deteriorate. In Man-\nchuria, the Nationalists have had to expose Changchun and Kirin in order to reinforce\nMukden. In Central China, the Communists are now able to intercept Yangtze ship-\nping west of Hankow, thus separating the Nationalist armies from important Szechuan\nrice supplies. Mao Tse-tung has now publicly declared that the Communists have over-\ncome the initial disadvantages and that the turning point in the civil war has been\nreached.\nDespite its urgent need for U.S. aid, the Chinese Government will be reluctant, in\nforthcoming negotiations, to accept any close degree of U.S. supervision. This attitude\nis attributable to normally acute Chinese sensitivity with regard to national sover-\n5"
}