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OCR Page 1 of 74POLITICAL MEDIA ANALYSIS
October 30, 1972
8
Days
To
Go
PRESIDENT
HAS
SEEN
The last week opens on a somewhat bizarre note - not Vietnam, nor
Watergate, nor politics dominates the news -- but rather the Arab hijacker,
resulting in the release of the three Munich terrorists. Political stories
however, are SO volumninous inside the newspapers -- one wonders what
if any, is the impact of the charge-counter-charge -- position-counter-position.
As for endorsements and polls, the President is benefitted. Almost every
poll shows slight gains for McGovern, slight momentum for McGovern -
but for the President an overwhelming lead that gives him almost every
single state that is individually polled. One gets a feeling that all is said
and done. The endorsements rolling in are almost unanimous as well for
the President.
PROBLEM AREAS A very minor one shaping up on amnesty, where RN
has gone on record that there will be no amnesty, and the Veep has said
there will only be amnesty with appropriate penalties, and McGovern is quoting
RN from a year ago, about being liberal after the war is over. But this is
hardly an issue on which the McGovernites would want to draw a line and
fight it out.
THE WATERGATE In back page analysis and commentary, we are getting
hit hard even by those not unfriendly to us; Shriver is still yowling about
this issue; and this morning's revelation by Time that D. C. told the FBI
he hired Segretti should probably re-focus McGovern on the issue, and the
WH press corps for certain. As for hard news, however, even the Time
story is an inside story this morning - expect in the Post and Sun.
As for Vietnam, played not high this morning - - hard news is that there
will likely not be a signing Tuesday. Over the weekend, however, Saigon's
hard-line was perhaps the dominant story. McGovern seems to think they
can reap political benefits by talking about the political timing of the cease-
fire - that is what their polls are telling them.
MCGOVERN This morning, he makes hard news by saying he would still
cut off Thieu; but his claim that RN got the same deal he could have gotten
four years ago is being attacked in back pages. One of his big stories of
the day is that RN's re-election will mean a new "Depression" which hardly
seems a winning issue, furty years after the defeat of Hoover. Also, more
and mo re in-depth writers are pointing up how McGovern is calling this a
campaign between "good" and "evil" -- again hardly the kind of argument that
will convince the ethnic types, to whom he needs to appeal.
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