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Ronald Reagan Presidential Library Digital Library Collections This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections. Collection: Matlock, Jack F.: Files Folder Title: [President Address: US-Soviet Relations 01/16/1984] Box: 31 To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ WITHDRAWAL SHEET Ronald Reagan Library Collection Name MATLOCK, JACK: FILES Withdrawer JET 5/18/2005 File Folder [PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS: U.S.-SOVIET RELATIONS FOIA 1/16/84] F06-114/9 Box Number 31 YARHI-MILO 3111 ID Doc Type Document Description No of Doc Date Restrictions Pages 10825 MEMO FORTIER TO MCFARLANE RE SOVIET 3 1/7/1984 B1 SPEECH R 3/24/2011 F2006-114/9 Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] B-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] B-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] B-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] B-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] B-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] B-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] B-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] B-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. 10825 0179 MEMORANDUM CONF IDENT TAL NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL INFORMATION January 7, 1984 MEMORANDUM FOR ROBERT C. MCFARLANE FROM: DONALD R. FORTIER RDF (dictated and signed a his SUBJECT: Soviet Speech assence) S.S. In preparing for my trip to Turkey I have not had as much time as I would have liked to devote to the Soviet speech. I am concerned about the present draft, however, and wanted to pass on my basic thoughts to you. All of us agree that the time has come to demonstrate to a broader Western audience that we are not guided by a blind and uncomprehending form of anti-Sovietism. We have to send a message of reassurance, in part to resolidify support for the inevitable competition that we will continue to face and in part to rebut the Soviet argument that the world is becoming a more dangerous place. The speech does convey a sense of reassurance, but it does so in a rather simple way. The speech will not impress either domestic or foreign audiences with its thoughtfulness, and it fails to send a very concrete message to the Soviets--a fact that will only help to contribute to the impression that we are aiming at an electoral audience rather than trying to achieve more durable substantive gains. The emptiness of the message to the Soviets is particularly apparent, I think, in the presentation of "our goals" in the first half of the speech. Instead of anything concrete, these include vague appeals to let the Third World focus on economic development, or to abolish nuclear weapons, or to stop stealing Western industrial secrets. I doubt these are appeals with much meaning for the Soviets, who speak a more sober language of power, security, and interest. Just to take two obvious examples, the point about the Third World that Moscow would best understand (but which is not made in the current draft) is a statement that we are concerned about the risk of confrontations that are in neither side's interest. Similarly, the Soviets will not know what to make of the off-handed way compliance is treated in the section of the speech on establishing a better working relationship. They know this CONF IDENTIAL DECLASSIFIED Declassify OADR NLRR RF06-11419 #10825 BY KML NARA DATE4/7/2011 CONFIDENTIAL 2 problem is coming and want to see how the President deals with it. In light of where we're likely to be by the time of the speech, we run a major risk of being misunderstood if we don't say more to indicate the gravity of our concern on this issue. The speech, in my view, also needs to be more direct and candid about some of the difficulties that we face in trying to solve problems between us. If the President discusses these difficulties, his main message--the expression of a forthcoming desire to work on disagreements or conflicts--may in fact be taken even more seriously. Having said this, I don't think that improving the speech requires starting over. One small change that might begin to move it in the right direction is to build on the important claim made at the beginning that we see some important potential "opportunities for peace" at this time. The President should then ask the question what do we and the Soviets have to do to seize these opportunities?--and give concrete, thoughtful answers. In this way, the "goals" of the present draft would become "tasks," or "challenges," or problems to be solved. By focusing on key immediate tasks rather than long-term goals the President would sound more programmatic and purposeful than he is likely to now. He needs to sound as though his policy is designed to reach more than just distant and possibly unattainable goals. (Each of these "tasks" or "challenges, I might add, could usefully include some historical comparisons, indicating how the nature of the task is different or harder than in the past but also why the opportunity for progress now exists--after three years of trying to get our message across to Moscow.) This change from "goals" to "tasks" would, with some significant re-drafting, send a different message in the entire first half of the speech. The talk about our desire to reduce the use of force would, for example, be made much less airy, focusing more on what each side has to do (and not do) to limit the risk of superpower conflict. This can sound tough but it has a constructive side. For example: "We believe that the situation in the Middle East has been made more dangerous for all concerned by the introduction of thousands of additional Soviet military personnel into Syria in the past year. Our efforts in that region are aimed at limiting these dangers. This is just one of many situations around the world in which the Soviet Union could bring its influence to bear to reduce risks for both sides. The confidence created by such progress would be valuable in trying to deal with other aspects of our competition." CONF IDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 3 Similarly, using the three tasks of U.S. -Soviet relations in the present draft, the President could say that the second task--reducing armaments--requires some serious thinking about how to increase strategic stability. Rather than simply try to top the Soviets in a vague commitment to a non-nuclear world, we can challenge them with our commitment to specific negotiating measures. For example: "Our thinking in the area of arms control has led us to embrace the build-down approach to reducing strategic weapons. [ One sentence explaining build-down. ] We wish the Soviet Union would do the same, and call on its leaders to do SO. This is a time when we need more, not less discussion of this approach, for it is a formula that could make it possible for both sides to rethink many of their strategic programs." The Soviets would be greatly intrigued to hear a hint that we might not have to build everything we plan, and would begin to ask what systems this could mean. In short, we would have their interest. As for the final task--developing a constructive working relationship-- President could again make hard points and soft--hard on issues like the need for compliance with past agreements, soft-sounding on the obvious fact that we are willing to work even for small improvements in the relationship. I have gone over this first half of the speech at some length because once it is recast, the remainder can be devoted to elaborating our approach. I have fewer difficulties with the rest of the text as it now stands, but it too could be strengthened by more concreteness. (And by less rhetoric that could open us to ridicule. For example, the President can't say that "ignorance" is a common enemy of the U.S. and the USSR. The country with the world's largest censorship apparatus is not an enemy of ignorance!) Finally, the concluding quote from JFK's American University speech is a useful reminder of how different our job is from Kennedy's. He was lucky enough to be able to produce an agreement on a comparatively simple question--the test ban--in six weeks. Because we have much less chance of such breakthroughs, we have to give a more convincing proof that we are doing everything prudent to achieve them and that if we fail it will not be our fault. It just won't be enough to say "we all breathe the same air." CONFIDENTIAL MATTOCK National Security Council The White House 04/28/19 04 28 PR:28 System # II Package # 90014 SEQUENCE TO HAS SEEN DISPOSITION Bill Martin Bob Kimmitt John Poindexter / & Wilma Hall Bud McFarlane Bob Kimmitt 2 K A NSC Secretariat 3 A Situation Room Buan -- send copy of Cunts to Matiock only ASAP. Keep original 00 we can set to at quickly. B. I = Information A = Action R = Retain D = Dispatch N = No further Action CC: VP Meese Baker Deaver Other COMMENTS Should be seen by: (Date/Time) Please send 05D comments to Jack Inattacts. & OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE Memo For ADM John TOINDEXTER 10/1 John, Attached ARe speech COMMENTS per OUR CONVERSATION. / believe edits Y INSERTS ARE SELF- explanatory. HAVE your speechwriter call MC IF he Needs help deciphering Colin OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE 10 January 1984 Memo For Gen. Colin Powell Attached are two proposed inserts and a mark- up of the President's Speech. Richard PERCE Attachments PERCE /KLE PROPOSED ADDITIONAL SPEECH MATERIAL: COMMENTS. In a few days, I will be sending to the Congress a report that outlines the record of Soviet compliance with past arms control treaties. It is a report that warrants the most serious of attention by all our lawmakers. Its results, which I want to share with you, are of deep concern to all of us who fervently want to reduce the risk of nuclear war through deep and verifiable arms reductions. Let me assure you, this report was carefully prepared. All the available evidence was scrutinized for months. The relevant treaty provisions and negotiating records were examined in detail. And all plausible explanations for Soviet behavior were closely examined against the evidence available to us. Based on this evidence, we have had no choice but to conclude that the Soviets have violated a number of arms control treaties. Specifically, they have violated the Biological Weapons Convention ban on toxin weapons; the Helsinki Final Act procedures for notifying large military exercises, and, almost certainly, the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty prohibitions concerning the deployment of ABM radars. They have also violated critical provisions of the SALT 11 treaty with respect to the encryption of telemetry needed to verify compliance with that accord and at least one provision intended to ensure that no more than one new type of ICBM is deployed by either party. To all who have studied the Soviet compliance record it has been obvious for some time that Moscow has exploited every loophole and ambiguity that could be advanced as a justification for continuing their build up of nuclear weapons. The Soviets have, since the first SALT I negotiations began in 1969, added some 7,000 warheads to their inventory of strategic and intermediate nuclear forces. What is perhaps most disturbing is that the earlier pattern of exploiting 8 loopholes and ambiguities has given way to an expanding pattern of out and out violations -- actions lacking even the thin veneer of plausibility behind which the Soviets have long violated the spirit of arms control agreements while claiming adherence to their letter. I have called upon Soviet President Yuri Andropov to take those actions necessary to end the several violations that we have identified. And I have initiated a comprehensive study of the options available to us to deal with any violations that the Soviet leaders prove unwilling to reverse. SUBSTITUTE PARAGRAPH 1 Today the United States has some 8,000 fewer nuclear weapons deployed than we had in the late 1960's. And the megatonnage of this reduced force is barely a quarter of what it was in the 1960's, and the lowest level in more than 25 years. Even our vital modernization program is aimed, not at increasing our strategic forces, but at replacing weapons that are approaching obsolesence with substitutes that are safer, more reliable and more capable of withstanding attack from numerically superior Soviet forces. Some of the strategic weapons in our inventory are 25 years old or older. Many are nearing the end of their useful operational life. But even after we have replaced obsolete forces we will have thousands fewer nuclear warheads than in the late 1960's. (NSC/Myer/BE) January 5, 1984 FI 10 4:30 p.m. comments PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS: National Press Club dipped Thank you very much for inviting me back to visit your distinguished group. I'm grateful for this opportunity during these first days of 1984, to speak through you to the people of the world on a subject of great importance to the cause of peace -- relations between the United States and the Soviet Union. In just a few days, the United States will join the Soviet Union and the other nations of Europe at an international security conference in Stockholm. We are determined to uphold our responsibility as a major power to ease potential sources of conflict. The conference will search for practical and of ive make even small step, it in a meaningful ways to increase European security [and preserve peace] beginning onaluting road to a just peace We will go to Stockholm bearing the heartfelt wishes of our people for genuine progress. We live in a time not only of challenges to peace but also of opportunities for peace. Through decades of difficulty and frustration, America's highest aspiration has never wavered: We have and will continue to struggle for a lasting peace that enhances dignity for men and women everywhere. I believe 1984 finds the United States in its strongest position in years to establish a constructive and realistic working relationship with the Soviet Union. Some fundamental changes have taken place since the decade sumed filled with of the seventies -- vears when the United States/ questioned its self don't and sill represched role in the world and neglected its defenses, while the Soviet Page 2 Union increased its military might and sought to expand its influence through threats and use of force. Three years ago we embraced a mandate from the American people to change course, and we have. Today America can once again demonstrate, with equal conviction, our commitment to stay @nd fair secure, and to find peaceful, solutions to problems through negotiations. January 1984 is a time of opportunities for peace. History teaches that wars begin when governments believe the aggressar mations price of aggression is cheap. To keep the peace, we and our allies must remain strong enough to convince any potential aggressor. that war could bring no benefit, only disaster. Our goal is deterrence, plain and simple. With the support of the American people and the Congress, we halted America's decline. Our economy is in the midst of the best recovery since the sixties. Our defenses are being rebuilt. Our alliances are solid and our commitment to defend our values has never been more clear. There is credibility and consistency. America's recovery may have taken Soviet leaders by surprise. They may have counted on us to keep weakening ourselves. They have been saying for years that our demise was inevitable. They said it SO often they probably started believing it. But they can see now they were wrong. Neither we nor the Soviet Union can wish away the differences between our two societies. Our rivalry will persist. But we should always remember that we do have common interests. And the foremost among them is to avoid war and reduce the level Page 3 12 of arms. There is no rational alternative but to steer a course which I would call "constructive competition." Nevertheless, we've recently been hearing some very strident rhetoric from the Kremlin. These harsh words have led some to speak of heightened uncertainty and an increased danger of conflict. This is understandable, but profoundly mistaken. Look beyond the words, and one fact stands out plainly: Deterrence is being restored and making the world a safer place. now The world is safer because there is less danger, that the Soviet leadership will provoke a confrontation by underestimating our strength or resolve. We have no desire to threaten. Freedom poses no threat, it speaks the language of progress. We proved this 35 years ago when we had a monopoly of nuclear weapons+ and could have dominated the world. But we used our power to write a new chapter in the history of mankind, rebuilding the war-rayaged economies of East and West, including those nations who had been our enemies. America's character has not changed. Our strength and vision of progress provide the basis for stability and meaningful negotiations. Soviet leaders know it makes sense to compromise only if they can get something in return. America's economic and military strength permit us to offer something in return. Yes, today is a time of opportunities for peace. But to say that the world is safer is not to say that it is safe enough. We are witnessing tragic conflicts in many parts of the world. Nuclear arsenals are far too high. And our working Page 4 13 relationship with the Soviet Union is not what it must be. These are conditions which must be addressed and improved. Deterrence is essential to preserve peace and protect our way of life, but deterrence is not the beginning and end of our policy toward the Soviet Union. We must and will engage the constructive Soviets in a dialogue as cordial and cooperative as possible, a could dialogue that will serve to promote peace in the troubled regions of the world, reduce the level of arms, and build a constructive working relationship. First, we must find ways to eliminate the use and threat of force in solving international disputes. The world has witnessed more than 150 conflicts since the end of World War II alone. Armed conflicts are raging in the Middle East, Afghanistan, Southeast Asia, Central America, and Africa. In other regions, independent nations are confronted by heavily armed neighbors seeking to dominate by threatening attack or subversion. insert from pa5) Most] of these conflicts have their roots in local problems, many but many have been fanned and exploited by the Soviet Union and most its surrogates -- and, of course, Afghanistan has suffered an outright Soviet invasion. Fueling regional conflicts and tolalitarian rule exporting revolution only exacerbates local conflicts, increases suffering, and makes solutions to real social and economic problems more difficult. Would it not be better and safer to assist the peoples and weak governments in areas of conflict in negotiating peaceful but harmlen 14 Page 5 solutions? Today, I am asking the Soviet leaders to join with us in cooperative efforts to move the world in this safer direction. Second, our aim is to find ways to reduce the vast stockpiles of armaments in the world, particularly nuclear weapons. notours are these conflicts as structive Hall aualso costur. It is tragic to see the world's developing nations spending more than $150 billion a year on arms -- almost 20 percent of doest fit a their national budgets. We must find ways to reverse the vicious move circle of threat and response which drives arms races everywhere Shird Secti it occurs. insert 4 Qu why, when we have enough to deshoy world X times wenedmore under A While modernizing our defenses, we have done only what is Point needed to establish a stable military balance. In fact, pq4 America's total nuclear stockpile has declined. We have fewer media matest wape CASMITE warheads today than we had 28 years ago. And our nuclear & stategic missui FO stockpile is at the lowest level in 25 years in terms of its is total destructive power. Just 2 months ago, we and our allies agreed to withdraw an additional 1,400 nuclear warheads from Western Europe. This comes after the removal of a thousand nuclear warheads from Europe over the last 3 years. Even if all our planned intermediate-range missiles have to be deployed in Europe over if its soiret would PLE LIC to equal, lease the next 5 years and we hope this will not be necessary, we sevel will have eliminated five existing warheads for each new warhead deployed. But this is not enough. We must accelerate our efforts to reach agreements to reduce greatly the numbers of nuclear weapons. It was with this goal in mind that I first proposed Page 6 15 here, in November 1981, the "zero option" for intermediate-range missiles. Our aim was and remains to eliminate in one fell swoop an entire class of nuclear arms. Although NATO's initial deployment of INF missiles was an important achievement, I would greatly still/prefer that there be no INF missile deployments on either side. Indeed, I support a zero option for all nuclear arms. As I have said before, my dream is to see the day when nuclear weapons will be banished from the face of the Earth. Last month, the Soviet Defense Minister stated that his important! country shares the vision of a world free of nuclear weapons. when sol If Sm bockg Cur countries she thissand geal, 44 should beg. vagar. with the which These are encouraging words. n But now is a time for first toward byRR. that gral. opportunity a time to move from words to deeds -and Exsays to return to the negoriatingtate we Our third aim is to work with the Soviet Union to establish and someih a better working relationship with greater cooperation and shoul same understanding. soul. Cooperation and understanding are built on deeds, not words. Complying with agreements helps; violating them hurts. Respecting the rights of individual citizens bolsters the relationship; denying these rights harms it. Expanding contacts across borders and permitting a free interchange of information and ideas increase confidence; sealing off one's people from the rest of the world reduces it. Peaceful trade helps, while organized theft of industrial secrets certainly hurts. These examples illustrate clearly why our relationship with the Soviet Union is not what it should be. We have a long way to go, but we are determined to try and try again. Page 7 In working toward these goals, our approach is based on three guiding principles: realism, strength, and dialogue. Realism means we start by understanding the world we live in. We must recognize that we are in a long-term competition with a government that does not share our notions of individual liberties at home and peaceful change abroad. We must be frank in acknowledging our differences and unafraid to defend our values. I have openly expressed my view of the Soviet system. This should come as no surprise to Soviet leaders who have never shied away from expressing their view of our system. But this does not mean we can't deal with each other. We do not refuse to talk when the Soviets call us "imperialist aggressors," or because they cling to the fantasy of a communist triumph over democracy. The fact that neither of us likes the other's system is no reason to refuse to talk. Living in this nuclear age makes it imperative that we talk. Strength means we know we cannot negotiate successfully or we cannot do either. protect our interests, if we are weak Our strength is necessary not only to deter war, but to facilitate negotiation and solutions compromise. Strength is more than military power. Economic strength is crucial and America's economy is leading the world into recovery. Equally important is unity among our people at home and with our allies abroad. We are, for stronger in all these areas than 3 years ago. Page 8 17 Dialogue means we are determined to deal with our differences peacefully, through negotiation. We are prepared to discuss all the problems that divide us, and to work for practical, fair solutions on the basis of mutual compromise. respect We will never retreat fromnegotiations. Our commitment to dialogue is firm and unshakeable. But we do insist that our negotiations deal with real problems, not atmospherics. In our approach to negotiations, reducing the risk of war -- and especially nuclear war -- is priority number one. A nuclear war confrontation could well be mankind's last. The comprehensive set of initiatives that we have proposed would reduce substantially the size of nuclear arsenaFs. And I am ready!to go much further: If the Soviet Union is willing, we can work together and with others to rid our planet completely of the nuclear threat altogether AND No ONE MORE DEEPLY THAN 1 WHOLE HAS BROKEN The, world regrets that the Soviet Union, broke off negotiations on intermediate-range nuclear forces, and has refused to set a date for further talks on strategic arms. Our negotiators are ready to return to the negotiating table, and to I BOTH CONTINUE TO conclude agreements in INF and START. We will negotiate in good faith. Whenever the Soviet Union is ready to do likewise, we will meet them half way. of They thould not turs they impose impecies Nilin- To wired will Donea That Ren We seek not only to reduce the numbers of nuclear weapons, but also to reduce the chances for dangerous misunderstanding and miscalculation. So we have put forward proposals for what we call "confidence-building measures. They cover a wide range of inf. reduction a The only Page 9 wasington further the activities, /1 In the Geneva negotiations, we have proposed that resite of the U.S. and Soviet Union exchange advance notifications of "war by mistake a missile tests and major military exercises. Following up on miscalculate congressional suggestions, we also proposed a number of ways to improve direct U.S. Soviet channels of communication. These bilateral proposals will be broadened at the Stockholm conference. We will work hard to develop practical, meaningful ways to reduce the uncertainty and potential for misinterpretation surrounding military activities, and to diminish the risks of surprise attack. Arms control has long been the most visible area of U.S. - Soviet dialogue. But a durable peace also requires us to defuse tensions and regional conflicts. We and the Soviets ÷ should have a common interest in promoting regional stability, and in finding peaceful solutions to existing conflicts that permit developing nations to concentrate their energies on economic growth. Thus we seek to engage the Soviets in exchanges of views on these regional conflicts and tensions and on how we can both contribute to stability and a lowering of tensions. Our approach is constructive, but little has come of it. We remain convinced that on issues like these it is in the Soviet Union's best interest to cooperate in achieving broad-based, negotiated solutions. If the Soviet leaders make that choice, they will find the United States ready to cooperate. Another major problem in our dialogue with the Soviet Union is human rights. It is Soviet practices in this area, as much as Page 10 19 any other issue, that have created the mistrust and ill will that hangs over our relationship. Moral considerations alone compel us to express our deep concern over prisoners of conscience in the Soviet Union, over the virtual halt in the. emigration of Jews, Armenians, and others who wish to join their families abroad, and over the continuing harrassment of courageous people like Andrei Sakharov. Our request is simple and straightforward: The Soviet Union must live up to the obligations it has freely assumed under international covenants in particular, its commitments under and the chemical Y biological waifare treatics (wrong plant the Helsinki Accords, Experience has shown that greater respect for human rights can contribute to progress in other areas of the Soviet-American relationship. " Conflicts of interest between the United States and the Soviet Union are real. But we can and must keep the peace : between our two nations and make it a better and more peaceful world for all mankind. These are the objectives of our policy toward the Soviet Union, a policy of constructive competition that will serve both nations and people everywhere for the long haul. Constructive competition is a challenge for Americans; it will require patience. It is also a challenge for the Soviets. If they WE, Ford OUR part, will MAINTAIN THE STRENGTH WE REQUIRE TO cannot meet us half way, we will be prepared to protect our DETER SOVIET RESORT TO THE USE OF FORCE. interests, and those of our friends and allies. But WE want more than deterrence; we seek genuine cooperation; we seek progress for peace. h him Pen 2 Ving different income Sixtems. when in National internet 1, Term Ever Thems: die continue t. 13 amrs b. has The Frieche, Common Page 11 20 Cooperation begins with communication. We seek such communication. We will stay at the negotiating tables in Geneva and Vienna. Furthermore, Secretary Shultz is prepared to meet with Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko in Stockholm. This meeting should be followed by others, SO that high-level consultations become a regular and normal component of U.S.-Soviet relations. Our challenge is peaceful. It will bring out the best in us. It also calls for the best from the Soviet Union. No one can predict how the Soviet leaders will respond to our challenge. But our two countries share with all mankind the dream of eliminating the risks of nuclear war. It is not an impossible risks dream, because eliminating those,is so clearly a vital interest for all of us. We have never fought each other; there is no reason we ever should. Indeed, we have fought alongside one another in the past. Today our common enemies are hunger, = disease, ignorance and, above all, war. More than 20 years ago, President Kennedy defined an approach that is as realistic and hopeful today as when he announced it: "So, let us not be blind to our differences -- but let us also direct attention to our common interests and to the means by which those differences can be resolved. And if we cannot end now our differences, at least we can help make the world safe for diversity. For, in the final analysis, our most basic common link is that we all inhabit this small planet. We all breathe the same air. We all cherish our children's future. And we are all mortal." I urge the Soviet leadership to move from pause to progress. If the Soviet government wants peace then there will be peace. The journey from proposals to progress to agreements may be Pace 12 21 norcase difficult. But that should not indict the past Dr/ despair, the future. America is prepared for a major breakthrough or modest if iteambe actived without compre mising our basic girls, advances. We welcome compromise In this spirit of constructive competition, we can strengthen peace, we can reduce greatly the level of arms, and, yes, we can brighten the hopes and dreams of people everywhere. Let us begin now. and the advances we have madi since the beginnings your country. 22 (NSC/Myer/BE) January 5, 1984 SEC Def 4:30 p.m. P TROIA PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS: National Press Club COMMENTS. Thank you very much for inviting me back to visit your distinguished group. I'm grateful for this opportunity during these first days of 1984, to speak through you to the people of the world on a subject of great importance to the cause of peace -- relations between the United States and the Soviet Union. In just a few days, the United States will join the Soviet Union and the other nations of Europe at an international security conference in Stockholm. We are determined to uphold our responsibility as a major power to ease potential sources of conflict. The conference will search for practical and If ive ca in make even small steps it is a meaningful ways to increase European security [and preserve peace] beginning on the long road to a just place We will go to Stockholm bearing the heartfelt wishes of our people for genuine progress. We live in a time not only of challenges to peace but also of opportunities for peace. Through decades of difficulty and frustration, America's highest aspiration has never wavered: We have and will continue to struggle for a lasting peace that enhances dignity for men and women everywhere. I believe 1984 finds the United States in its strongest position in years to establish a constructive and realistic working relationship with the Soviet Union. Some fundamental changes have taken place since the decade seemed filled with of the seventies -- years when the United States/ questioned its self donbts and silf uproaches role in the world and neglected its defenses, while the Soviet Page 2 Union increased its military might and sought to expand its influence through threats and use of force. Three years ago we embraced a mandate from the American people to change course, and we have. Today America can once again demonstrate, with-equal conviction, our commitment to stay at the sametime and fair secure, and to find peaceful, solutions to problems through negotiations. January 1984 is a time of opportunities for peace. History teaches that wars begin when governments believe the aggressar nations price of aggression is cheap. To keep the peace, we and our allies must remain strong enough to convince any potential aggressor. that war could bring no benefit, only disaster. Our goal is deterrence, plain and simple. With the support of the American people and the Congress, we halted America's decline. Our economy is in the midst of the best recovery since the sixties. Our defenses are being rebuilt. Our alliances are solid and our commitment to defend our values has never been more clear. There is credibility and consistency. America's recovery may have taken Soviet leaders by surprise. They may have counted on us to keep weakening ourselves. They have been saying for years that our demise was inevitable. They said it SO often they probably started believing it. But they can see now they were wrong. Neither we nor the Soviet Union can wish away the differences between our two societies. Our rivalry will persist. But we should always remember that we do have common interests. And the foremost among them is to avoid war and reduce the level Page 3 of arms. There is no rational alternative but to steer a course which I would call "constructive competition." Nevertheless, we've recently been hearing some very strident rhetoric from the Kremlin. These harsh words have led some to speak of heightened uncertainty and an increased danger of conflict. This is understandable, but profoundly mistaken. Look beyond the words, and one fact stands out plainly: Deterrence is being restored and making the world a safer place. now The world is safer because there is less danger, that the Soviet leadership will provoke a confrontation by underestimating our strength or resolve. We have no desire to threaten. Freedom poses no threat, it speaks the language of progress. We proved this 35 years ago when we had a monopoly of nuclear weapons and could have dominated the world. But we used our power to write a new chapter in the history of mankind, rebuilding the war-rayaged economies of East and West, including those nations who had been our enemies. America's character has not changed. Our strength and vision of progress provide the basis for stability and meaningful negotiations. Soviet leaders know it makes sense to compromise only if they can get something in return. America's economic and military strength permit us to offer something in return. Yes, today is a time of opportunities for peace. But to say that the world is safer is not to say that it is safe enough. We are witnessing tragic conflicts in many parts of the world. Nuclear arsenals are far too high. And our working Page 4 ah relationship with the Soviet Union is not what it must be. These are conditions which must be addressed and improved. Deterrence is essential to preserve peace and protect our way of life, but deterrence is not the beginning and end of our policy toward the Soviet Union. We must and will engage the Soviets in a dialogue as cordial and cooperative as possible, a dialogue that will serve to promote peace in the troubled regions of the world, reduce the level of arms, and build a constructive working relationship. First, we must find ways to eliminate the use and threat of force in solving international disputes. The world has witnessed more than 150 conflicts since the end of World War II alone. Armed conflicts are raging in the Middle East, Afghanistan, Southeast Asia, Central America, and Africa. In other regions, independent nations are confronted by heavily armed neighbors seeking to dominate by threatening attack or subversion. insert from /Most] of these conflicts have their roots in local problems, many but many have been fanned and exploited by the Soviet Union and most its surrogates -- and, of course, Afghanistan has suffered an outright Soviet invasion. Fueling regional conflicts and exporting revolution only exacerbates local conflicts, increases suffering, and makes solutions to real social and economic problems more difficult. Would it not be better and safer to assist the peoples and governments in areas of conflict in negotiating peaceful Page 5 solutions? Today, I am asking the Soviet leaders to join with us in cooperative efforts to move the world in this safer direction. Second, our aim is to find ways to reduce the vast stockpiles of armaments in the world, particularly nuclear weapons. notours are these conflicts as structive, they acealso coutly. nIt is tragic to see the world's developing nations spending more than $150 billion a year on arms -- almost 20 percent of doesn't fit her their national budgets. We must find ways to reverse the vicious move to circle of threat and response which drives arms races evervwhere Shidw, section it occurs. A While modernizing our defenses, we have done only what is insert $ QU why, when we have enough to destroy world X times wenedmore under Point 1. needed to establish a stable military balance. In fact, pq4 muchan wapoy America's total nuclear stockpile has declined. We have fewer makethe warheads today than we had 28 years ago. And our nuclear case for strategic modernate stockpile is at the lowest level in 25 years in terms of its. total destructive power. Just 2 months ago, we and our allies agreed to withdraw an additional 1,400 nuclear warheads from Western Europe. This comes after the removal of a thousand nuclear warheads from Europe over the last 3 years. Even if all our planned intermediate-range missiles have to be deployed in Europe over if ite socrets would agree to equal, lower the next 5 years and we hope this will not be necessary, IL we levels will have eliminated five existing warheads for each new warhead deployed. But this is not enough. We must accelerate our efforts to reach agreements to reduce greatly the numbers of nuclear weapons. It was with this goal in mind that I first proposed Page 6 here, in November 1981, the "zero option" for intermediate-range missiles. Our aim was and remains to eliminate in one fell swoop an entire class of nuclear arms. Although NATO's initial deployment of INF missiles was an important achievement, I would still prefer that there be no INF missile deployments on either side. Indeed, I support a zero option for all nuclear arms. As I have said before, my dream is to see the day when nuclear weapons will be banished from the face of the Earth. Last month, the Soviet Defense Minister stated that his country shares the vision of a world free of nuclear weapons. Since bothgour countries sharexhe same goal, we must begin againsmich the These are encouraging words. / But now is a time for first step toward opportunity -- a time to move from words to deeds -and that goal. to return to the negotiating table Our third aim is to work with the Soviet Union to establish a better working relationship with greater cooperation and understanding. Cooperation and understanding are built on deeds, not words. Complying with agreements helps; violating them hurts. Respecting the rights of individual citizens bolsters the relationship; denying these rights harms it. Expanding contacts across borders and permitting a free interchange of information and ideas increase confidence; sealing off one's people from the rest of the world reduces it. Peaceful trade helps, while organized theft of industrial secrets certainly hurts. These examples illustrate clearly why our relationship with the Soviet Union is not what it should be. We have a long way to go, but we are determined to try and try again. Page 7 In working toward these goals, our approach is based on three guiding principles: realism, strength, and dialogue. Realism means we start by understanding the world we live in. We must recognize that we are in a long-term competition with a government that does not share our notions of individual liberties at home and peaceful change abroad. We must be frank in acknowledging our differences and unafraid to defend our values. I have openly expressed my view of the Soviet system. This should come as no surprise to Soviet leaders who have never shied away from expressing their view of our system. But this does not mean we can't deal with each other. We do not refuse to talk when the Soviets call us "imperialist aggressors," or because they cling to the fantasy of a communist triumph over democracy. The fact that neither of us likes the other's system is no reason to refuse to talk. Living in this nuclear age makes it imperative that we talk. Strength means we know we cannot negotiate successfully or we cannot do either. protect our interests. If we are weak, Our strength is necessary not only to deter war, but to facilitate negotiation and compromise. Strength is more than military power. Economic strength is crucial and America's economy is leading the world into recovery. Equally important is unity among our people at home and with our allies abroad. We are for stronger in all these areas than 3 years ago. v Page 8 Dialogue means we are determined to deal with our differences peacefully, through negotiation. We are prepared to discuss all the problems that divide us, and to work for practical, fair solutions on the basis of mutual compromise. We will never retreat from-negotiations. Our commitment to dialogue is firm and unshakeable. But we do insist that our negotiations deal with real problems, not atmospherics. In our approach to negotiations, reducing the risk of war -- and especially nuclear war -- is priority number one. A nuclear confrontation could well be mankind's last. The comprehensive set of initiatives that we have proposed would reduce substantially the size of nuclear arsenals. And I am ready:to go much further: If the Soviet Union is willing, we can work together and with others to rid our planet completely of the nuclear threat altogether The world regrets that the Soviet Union broke off negotiations on intermediate-range nuclear forces, and has refused to set a date for further talks on strategic arms. Our negotiators are ready to return to the negotiating table, and to conclude agreements in INF and START. We will negotiate in good but to risure Drives faith. Whenever the Soviet Union is ready to do likewise, we will meet them half way. of They should not Return - they impose impossible Condition forther return- The urea will them Than Ren pre tention! We seek not only to reduce the numbers of nuclear weapons, but also to reduce the chances for dangerous misunderstanding and miscalculation. So we have put forward proposals for what we call "confidence-building measures. They cover a wide range of only That ful first This Page 9 including i mproving the Orgen old hot line between washington 30 of moscorn with the latest electronic equipment, to reduce further the activities, 1 In the Geneva negotiations, we have proposed that resile of a the U.S. and Soviet Union exchange advance notifications of "war by mistake a missile tests and major military exercises. Following up on miscalculation congressional suggestions, we also proposed a number of ways to improve direct U.S. Soviet channels of communication. These bilateral proposals will be broadened at the Stockholm conference. We will work hard to develop practical, meaningful ways to reduce the uncertainty and potential for misinterpretation surrounding military activities, and to diminish the risks of surprise attack. Arms control has long been the most visible area of U.S. Soviet dialogue. But a durable peace also requires us to defuse tensions and regional conflicts. We and the Soviets . should have a common interest in promoting regional stability, and in finding peaceful solutions to existing conflicts that permit developing nations to concentrate their energies on economic growth. Thus we seek to engage the Soviets in exchanges of views on these regional conflicts and tensions and on how we can both contribute to stability and a lowering of tensions. Our approach is constructive, but little has come of it. We remain convinced that on issues like these it is in the Soviet Union's best interest to cooperate in achieving broad-based, negotiated solutions. If the Soviet leaders make that choice, they will find the United States ready to cooperate. Another major problem in our dialogue with the Soviet Union is human rights. It is Soviet practices in this area, as much as Page 10 31 any other issue, that have created the mistrust and ill will that hangs over our relationship. Moral considerations alone compel us to express our deep concern over prisoners of conscience in the Soviet Union, over the virtual halt in the emigration of Jews, Armenians, and others who wish to join their families abroad, and over the continuing harrassment of courageous people like Andrei Sakharov. Our request is simple and straightforward: The Soviet Union must live up to the obligations it has freely assumed under international covenants in particular, its commitments under and the chemical + biological warface treatie. the Helsinki Accords Experience has shown that greater respect for human rights can contribute to progress in other areas of the Soviet-American relationship. " Conflicts of interest between the United States and the Soviet Union are real. But we can and must keep the peace : between our two nations and make it a better and more peaceful world for all mankind. These are the objectives of our policy toward the Soviet Union, a policy of constructive competition that will serve both nations and people everywhere for the long haul. Constructive competition is a challenge for Americans; it will require patience. It is also a challenge for the Soviets. If they cannot meet us half way, we will be prepared to protect our interests, and those of our friends and allies. But we want more than deterrence; we seek genuine cooperation; we seek progress for peace, him Pan 2 Viry different in Septem. aroun where on Hatsual National intarists 2 Permit, Even Though due antimic recorries below fundamints defference Is The Live always Crive Page 11 Cooperation begins with communication. We seek such communication. We will stay at the negotiating tables in Geneva and Vienna. Furthermore, Secretary Shultz is prepared to meet with Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko in Stockholm. This meeting should be followed by others, so that high-level consultations become a regular and normal component of U.S.-Soviet relations. Our challenge is peaceful. It will bring out the best in us. It also calls for the best from the Soviet Union. No one can predict how the Soviet leaders will respond to our challenge. But our two countries share with all mankind the dream of eliminating the risks of nuclear war. It is not an impossible risks dream, because eliminating those,is so clearly a vital interest for all of us. We have never fought each other; there is no reason we ever should. Indeed, we have fought alongside one another in the past. Today our common enemies are hunger, : disease, ignorance and, above all, war. More than 20 years ago, President Kennedy defined an approach that is as realistic and hopeful today as when he announced it: "So, let us not be blind to our differences -- but let us also direct attention to our common interests and to the means by which those differences can be resolved. And if we cannot end now our differences, at least we can help make the world safe for diversity. For, in the final analysis, our most basic common link is that we all inhabit this small planet. We all breathe the same air. We all cherish our children's future. And we are all mortal." I urge the Soviet leadership to move from pause to progress. If the Soviet government wants peace then there will be peace. The journey from proposals to progress to agreements may be Page 12 33 nor cause difficult. But that should not indict the past despair, for the future. America is prepared for a major breakthrough or modest advances. constructive if itcanbe We welcome achieved compromise, without compremising In this our spirit basic of goals competition, we can strengthen peace, we can reduce greatly the level of arms, and, yes, we can brighten the hopes and dreams of people everywhere. Let us begin now. and the advances we have made since the beginnings of am country. 34 (NSC/Myer/BE/RR) January 10, 1984 1:00 p.m. ASC PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS: U.S.-SOVIET RELATIONS NATIONAL PRESS CLUB MONDAY, JANUARY 16, 1984 Thank you very much for inviting me back to visit your distinguished group. I'm grateful for this opportunity during these first days of 1984, to speak through you to the people of the world on a subject of great importance to the cause of peace -- relations between the United States and the Soviet Union. Tomorrow, In just a few days, the United States will join the Soviet Union and the other nations of Europe at an international security conference in Stockholm. We intend to uphold our responsibility as a major power in easing potential sources of conflict. The conference will search for practical and meaningful ways to increase European security and preserve peace. We will go to Stockholm bearing the heartfelt wishes of our people for genuine progress. We live in a time of challenges to peace, but also of opportunities for peace. Through decades of difficulty and frustration, America's highest aspiration has never wavered: We have and will continue to struggle for a lasting peace that enhances dignity for men and women everywhere. I believe 1984 finds the United States in its strongest position in years to establish a constructive and realistic working relationship with the Soviet Union. 2 Some fundamental changes have taken place since the decade of the seventies -- years when the United States questioned its 35 Page 2 role in the world and neglected its defenses, while the Soviet Union increased its military might and sought to expand its influence through threats and use of force. 3 Three years ago we embraced a mandate from the American people to change course, and we have. Today America can once again demonstrate, with equal conviction, our commitment to stay secure and to find peaceful solutions to problems through negotiations. January 1984 is a time of opportunities for peace B History teaches that wars begin when governments believe the price of aggression is cheap. To keep the peace, we and our allies must remain strong enough to convince any potential aggressor that war could bring no benefit, only disaster. In other words, our goal is deterrence, plain and simple. With the support of the American people and the Congress, we halted America's decline. Our economy is in the midst of the best recovery since the sixties. Our defenses are being rebuilt. Our alliances are solid and our commitment to defend our values has never been more clear. There is credibility and consistency. America's recovery may have taken Soviet leaders by surprise. They may have counted on us to keep weakening ourselves. They have been saying for years that our demise was inevitable. They said it so often they probably started believing it. I think they can see now they were wrong. A Neither we nor the Soviet Union can wish away the differences between our two societies. But we should always remember that we do have common interests. And the foremost among them is to avoid war and reduce the level of arms. There 36 Page 3 is no rational alternative but to steer a course which I would call credible deterrence and peaceful competition; and if we do so, we might find areas in which we could engage in constructive cooperation. Recently we've been hearing some very strident rhetoric from the Kremlin. These harsh words have led some to speak of heightened uncertainty and an increased danger of conflict. This is understandable, but profoundly mistaken. Look beyond the move words, and one fact stands out plainly: Deterrence is being restored and it is making the world a safer place; safer because there is less danger that the Soviet leadership will underestimate our strength or resolve. We do not threaten the Soviet Union. Freedom poses no threat, it is the language of progress. We proved this 35 years ago when we had a monopoly of nuclear weapons, and could have tried to dominate the world. But we didn't Instead we nave used our power to write a new chapter in the history of mankind. We helped in Europe and the Far East, rebuild war-ravaged economies ^ of East and West, including of those nations who had been our enemies. Indeed, those former enemies are now numbered among our staunchest friends. America's character has not changed. Our strength and vision of progress provide the basis for stability and meaningful negotiations. Soviet leaders know it makes sense to compromise only if they can get something in return. America's economic and military strength permit us to offer something in return. Yes, today is a time of opportunities for peace. 37 Page 4 But to say that the world is safer is not to say that it is safe enough. We are witnessing tragic conflicts in many parts of the world. Nuclear arsenals are far too high. And our working relationship with the Soviet Union is not what it must be. These are conditions which must be addressed and improved. Deterrence is essential to preserve peace and protect our way of life, but deterrence is not the beginning and end of our policy toward the Soviet Union. We must and will engage the Soviets in a dialogue as cordial and cooperative as possible, a dialogue that will serve to promote peace in the troubled regions of the world, reduce the level of arms, and build a constructive working relationship. First, we must find ways to eliminate the use and threat of force in solving international disputes. The world has witnessed more than 150 conflicts since the end of World War II alone. Armed conflicts are raging in the Middle East, Afghanistan, Southeast Asia, Central America, and Africa. In other regions, independent nations are confronted by heavily armed neighbors seeking to dominate by threatening attack or subversion. Most of these conflicts have their roots in local problems, but many have been fanned and exploited by the Soviet Union and its surrogates -- and, of course, Afghanistan has suffered an outright Soviet invasion. Fueling regional conflicts and exporting revolution only exacerbates local conflicts, increases suffering, and makes solutions to real social' and economic problems more difficult. 38 Page 5 Would it not be better and safer to assist the peoples and governments in areas of conflict in negotiating peaceful solutions? Today, I am asking the Soviet leaders to join with us in cooperative efforts to move the world in this safer direction. Second, our aim is to find ways to reduce the vast stockpiles of armaments in the world, particularly nuclear weapons. It is tragic to see the world's developing nations spending more than $150 billion a year on arms -- almost 20 percent of their national budgets. We must find ways to reverse the vicious cycle of threat and response which drives arms races everywhere it occurs. While modernizing our defenses, we have done only what is needed to establish a stable military balance. The simple truth is, America's total nuclear stockpile has declined. We have fewer nuclear weapons today than we had 28 years ago. And our nuclear stockpile is at the lowest level in 25 years in terms of its total destructive power. Just 2 months ago, we and our allies agreed to withdraw an additional 1,400 nuclear weapons from Western Europe. This comes after the removal of a thousand nuclear weapons from Europe over the last 3 -years. Even if all our planned intermediate-range missiles have to be deployed in Europe over the next 5 years -- and we hope this will not be necessary -- we will have eliminated five existing nuclear weapons for each new weapon deployed. But this is not enough. We must accelerate our efforts to reach agreements that will greatly reduce nuclear arsenals. It 39 was with this goal in mind that I first proposed here, in November 1981, the "zero option" for intermediate-range missiles. Our aim was then and is now to eliminate in one fell swoop an entire class of nuclear arms. Although NATO's initial deployment of INF missiles was an important achievement, I would still prefer that there be no INF missile deployments on either side. Indeed, I support a zero option for all nuclear arms. As I have said before, my dream is to see the day when nuclear weapons will be banished from the face of the Earth. Last month, the Soviet Defense Minister stated that his country shares the vision of a world free of nuclear weapons. These are encouraging words. Well, now is a time to move from words to deeds. Our third aim is to work with the Soviet Union to establish a better working relationship with greater cooperation and understanding. W Cooperation and understanding are built on deeds, not words. Complying with agreements helps; violating them hurts. Respecting the rights of individual citizens bolsters the relationship; denying these rights harms it. Expanding contacts across borders and permitting a free interchange of information and ideas increase confidence; sealing off one's people from the rest of the world reduces it. Peaceful trade helps, while organized theft of industrial secrets certainly hurts. (HUSERT J have cited The examples 1 illustrate clearly why our relationship with the Soviet Union is not what it should be We have a long way to go, but we are determined to try and try again. Page 7 40 In working toward these goals, our approach is based on three guiding principles: realism, strength, and dialogue. Realism means we start by understanding the world we live in. We must recognize that we are in a long-term competition with a government that does not share our notions of individual liberties at home and peaceful change abroad. We must be frank in acknowledging our differences and unafraid to promote our values. 8 Strength means we know we cannot negotiate successfully or protect our interests if we are weak. Our strength is necessary not only to deter war, but to facilitate negotiation and compromise. Strength is more than military power. Economic strength is crucial and America's economy is leading the world into recovery. Equally important is unity among our people at home and with our allies abroad. We are stronger in all these areas than we were 3 years ago. Dialogue means we are determined to deal with our differences peacefully, through negotiation. We are prepared to discuss all the problems that divide us, and to work for practical, fair solutions on the basis of mutual compromise. We will never retreat from negotiations. I have openly expressed my view of the Soviet system. I don't know why this should come as a surprise to Soviet leaders who have never shied away from expressing their view of our system. But this does not mean we can't deal with each other. We don't refuse to talk when the Soviets call us "imperialist Page 8 aggressors" and worse, or because they cling to the fantasy of a communist triumph over democracy. The fact that neither of us likes the other's system is no reason to refuse to talk. Living in this nuclear age makes it imperative that we do talk. Our commitment to dialogue is firm and unshakable. But we insist that our negotiations deal with real problems, not atmospherics. In our approach to negotiations, reducing the risk of war -- and especially nuclear war -- is priority number one. A nuclear confrontation could well be mankind's last. The comprehensive set of initiatives that we have proposed would reduce substantially the size of nuclear arsenals. And again, I would hope that in the years ahead we could go much further toward the ultimate goal of ridding our planet of the nuclear threat altogether. The world regrets -- certainly we do -- that the Soviet Union broke off negotiations on intermediate-range nuclear forces, and has refused to set a date for further talks on strategic arms. Our negotiators are ready to return to the negotiating table, and to conclude agreements in INF and START. We will negotiate in good faith. Whenever the Soviet Union is ready to do likewise, we will meet them half way. We seek both to reduce nuclear arsenals, and to reduce the chances for dangerous misunderstanding and miscalculation. So we have put forward proposals for what we call "confidence-building measures." They cover a wide range of activities. In the Geneva United States negotiations, we have proposed that the #.S. and Soviet Union Page 9 exchange advance notifications of missile tests and major military exercises. Following up on congressional suggestions, we also proposed a number of ways to improve direct U.S.-Soviet channels of communication. Last week, we had further discussions with the Soviets here in Washington on improving communications, including the "Hotline." These bilateral proposals will be broadened at the conference in Stockholm. We are working with our allies to develop practical, meaningful ways to reduce the uncertainty and potential for misinterpretation surrounding military activities, and to diminish the risks of surprise attack. Arms control has long been the most visible area of U.S.-Soviet dialogue. But a durable peace also requires us to defuse tensions and regional conflicts. We and the Soviets should have a common interest in promoting regional stability, and in finding peaceful solutions to existing conflicts that permit developing nations to concentrate their energies on economic growth. Thus we seek to engage the Soviets in exchanges of views on these regional conflicts and tensions and on how we can both contribute to stability and a lowering of tensions. We remain convinced that on issues like these it is in the Soviet Union's best interest to cooperate in achieving work together broad-based, negotiated solutions. If the Soviet leaders make that choice, they will find us ready to cooperate. A Another major problem in our relationship with the Soviet Union is human rights. Soviet practices in this area, as much as Page 10 an atmosphere of any other issue, have created the mistrust and ill will that hangs permentes over our relationship. Moral considerations alone compel us to express our deep concern over prisoners of conscience in the Soviet Union, over the virtual halt in the emigration of Jews, Armenians, and others who wish to join their families abroad, and over the continuing so many harassment of A courageous people, like Andrei Sakharov. Our request is simple and straightforward: That the Soviet Union live up to the obligations it has freely assumed under international covenants -- in particular, its commitments under the Helsinki Accords. Experience has shown that greater respect for human rights will can contribute to progress in other areas of the Soviet-American relationship. Conflicts of interest between the United States and the Soviet Union are real. But we can and must keep the peace between our two nations and make it a better and more peaceful world for all mankind. These are the objectives of our policy toward the Soviet Union, a policy of credible deterrence, and peaceful competition and constructive cooperation oven that will serve both nations and people everywhere for the long haul. It is a challenge for Americans. It is also a challenge for the Soviets. If they cannot meet us half way, we will be prepared to protect our interests, and those of our friends and allies. But we want more than deterrence; we seek genuine cooperation; we seek progress Insurance for peace. the establishment of a furne and stable peace. Cooperation begins with communication. We seek such communication. We will stay at the negotiating tables in Geneva (Reper) and we hoge that 40 this Session will msall Page 11 the first Stef towArd L the establishment of grander and Vienna. Furthermore, Secretary Shultz will be meeting with dologne and Dopenation Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko in Stockholm. This meeting discussions at the highert level, should be followed by others, so that high level consultations including become a regular and normal component of U.S.-Soviet relations. clear Our challenge is peaceful. It will bring out the best in us. It also calls for the best from the Soviet Union. No one can predict how the Soviet leaders will respond to our challenge. But the people of our two countries share with all mankind the dream of eliminating the risks of nuclear war. It is not an impossible dream, because eliminating those is so clearly a vital interest for all of us. Our two countries have never fought each other; there is no reason we ever should. Indeed, we have fought world war II. alongside one another in two world wors. Today our common enemies are hunger, disease and, above all, war. More than 20 years ago, President Kennedy defined an approach that is as realistic and hopeful today as when he announced it: "So, let us not be blind to our differences" he said, "but let us also direct attention to our common interests and to the means by which those differences can be resolved." Well, those differences would turn out to be differences in governmental structure and philosophy. The common interest would have to do with the things of everyday life for people everywhere. 11 Suppose Ivan and Anya found themselves in a waiting room, or sharing a shelter from the rain with Jim and Sally, and there was no language barrier to keep them from getting acquainted. Would they debate the differences between their respective governments? Page 12 Or, would they find themselves comparing notes about their children, and what each other did for a living? Before they parted company they would probably have touched on ambitions, hobbies, what they wanted for their children and the problems of making ends meet. They might even have decided they were all going to get together for dinner some evening soon. Above all, they would have proven that people don't make wars. People want to raise their children in a world without fear, and without war. They want to have some of the good things over and above bare subsistance that make life worth living. They want to work at some craft, trade or profession that gives them satisfaction and a sense of worth. Their common interests cross all borders. If the Soviet Government wants peace, then there will be peace. Together we can strengthen peace, reduce the level of arms and know in doing so we have fulfilled the hopes and dreams of those we represent and indeed of people everywhere. Let us begin now. 46 (NSC/Myer/BE/RR) January 10, 1984 1:00 p.m. ASC PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS: U.S.-SOVIET RELATIONS NATIONAL PRESS CLUB MONDAY, JANUARY 16, 1984 Thank you very much for inviting me back to visit your distinguished group. I'm grateful for this opportunity during these first days of 1984, to speak through you to the people of the world on a subject of great importance to the cause of peace -- relations between the United States and the Soviet Union. Tomorrow, In just a few days, the United States will join the Soviet Union and the other nations of Europe at an international security conference in Stockholm. We intend to uphold our responsibility as a major power in easing potential sources of conflict. The conference will search for practical and meaningful ways to increase European security and preserve peace. We will go to Stockholm bearing the heartfelt wishes of our people for genuine progress. We live in a time of challenges to peace, but also of opportunities for peace. Through decades of difficulty and frustration, America's highest aspiration has never wavered: We have and will continue to struggle for a lasting peace that enhances dignity for men and women everywhere. I believe 1984 finds the United States in its strongest position in years to establish a constructive and realistic working relationship with the Soviet Union. Some fundamental changes have taken place since the decade of the seventies -- years when the United States questioned its Page 2 role in the world and neglected its defenses, while the Soviet Union increased its military might and sought to expand its influence through threats and use of force. Three years ago we embraced a mandate from the American people to change course, and we have. Today America can once again demonstrate, with equal conviction, our commitment to stay secure and to find peaceful solutions to problems through negotiations. January 1984 is a time of opportunities for peace. History teaches that wars begin when governments believe the price of aggression is cheap. To keep the peace, we and our allies must remain strong enough to convince any potential aggressor that war could bring no benefit, only disaster. In other words, our goal is deterrence, plain and simple. With the support of the American people and the Congress, we halted America's decline. Our economy is in the midst of the best recovery since the sixties. Our defenses are being rebuilt. Our alliances are solid and our commitment to defend our values has never been more clear. There is credibility and consistency. America's recovery may have taken Soviet leaders by surprise. They may have counted on us to keep weakening ourselves. They have been saying for years that our demise was inevitable. They said it so often they probably started believing it. I think they can see now they were wrong. Neither we nor the Soviet Union can wish away the differences between our two societies. But we should always remember that we do have common interests. And the foremost among them is to avoid war and reduce the level of arms. There Page 3 is no rational alternative but to steer a course which I would call credible deterrence and peaceful competition; and if we do so, we might find areas in which we could engage in constructive cooperation. Recently we've been hearing some very strident rhetoric from the Kremlin. These harsh words have led some to speak of heightened uncertainty and an increased danger of conflict. This is understandable, but profoundly mistaken. Look beyond the words, and one fact stands out plainly: Deterrence is being restored and it is making the world a safer place; safer because there is less danger that the Soviet leadership will underestimate our strength or resolve. We do not threaten the Soviet Union. Freedom poses no threat, it is the language of progress. We proved this 35 years ago when we had a monopoly of nuclear weapons, and could have tried to dominate the world. But we didn't. Instead we used our power to write a new chapter in the history of mankind. We helped in Europe and the Far East, rebuild war-ravaged economies ^ of East and West, including of those nations who had been our enemies. Indeed, those former enemies are now numbered among our staunchest friends. America's character has not changed. Our strength and vision of progress provide the basis for stability and meaningful negotiations. Soviet leaders know it makes sense to compromise only if they can get something in return. America's economic and military strength permit us to offer something in return. Yes, today is a time of opportunities for peace. Page 4 But to say that the world is safer is not to say that it is safe enough. We are witnessing tragic conflicts in many parts of the world. Nuclear arsenals are far too high. And our working relationship with the Soviet Union is not what it must be. These are conditions which must be addressed and improved. Deterrence is essential to preserve peace and protect our way of life, but deterrence is not the beginning and end of our policy toward the Soviet Union. We must and will engage the Soviets in a dialogue as cordial and cooperative as possible, a dialogue that will serve to promote peace in the troubled regions of the world, reduce the level of arms, and build a constructive working relationship. First, we must find ways to eliminate the use and threat of force in solving international disputes. The world has witnessed more than 150 conflicts since the end of World War II alone. Armed conflicts are raging in the Middle East, Afghanistan, Southeast Asia, Central America, and Africa. In other regions, independent nations are confronted by heavily armed neighbors seeking to dominate by threatening attack or subversion. Most of these conflicts have their roots in local problems, but many have been fanned and exploited by the Soviet Union and its surrogates -- and, of course, Afghanistan has suffered an outright Soviet invasion. Fueling regional conflicts and exporting revolution only exacerbates local conflicts, increases suffering, and makes solutions to real social and economic problems more difficult. 50 Page 5 Would it not be better and safer to assist the peoples and governments in areas of conflict in negotiating peaceful solutions? Today, I am asking the Soviet leaders to join with us in cooperative efforts to move the world in this safer direction. Second, our aim is to find ways to reduce the vast stockpiles of armaments in the world, particularly nuclear weapons. It is tragic to see the world's developing nations spending more than $150 billion a year on arms -- almost 20 percent of their national budgets. We must find ways to reverse the vicious cycle of threat and response which drives arms races everywhere it occurs. While modernizing our defenses, we have done only what is needed to establish a stable military balance. The simple truth is, America's total nuclear stockpile has declined. We have fewer nuclear weapons today than we had 28 years ago. And our nuclear stockpile is at the lowest level in 25 years in terms of its total destructive power. Just 2 months ago, we and our allies agreed to withdraw an additional 1,400 nuclear weapons from Western Europe. This comes after the removal of a thousand nuclear weapons from Europe over the last 3 -years. Even if all our planned intermediate-range missiles have to be deployed in Europe over the next 5 years -- and we hope this will not be necessary -- we will have eliminated five existing nuclear weapons for each new weapon deployed. But this is not enough. We must accelerate our efforts to reach agreements that will greatly reduce nuclear arsenals. It 51 Page 6 was with this goal in mind that I first proposed here, in November 1981, the "zero option" for intermediate-range missiles. Our aim was then and is now to eliminate in one fell swoop an entire class of nuclear arms. Although NATO's initial deployment of INF missiles was an important achievement, I would still prefer that there be no INF missile deployments on either side. Indeed, I support a zero option for all nuclear arms. As I have said before, my dream is to see the day when nuclear weapons will be banished from the face of the Earth. Last month, the Soviet Defense Minister stated that his country shares the vision of a world free of nuclear weapons. These are encouraging words. Well, now is a time to move from words to deeds. Our third aim is to work with the Soviet Union to establish a better working relationship with greater cooperation and understanding. Cooperation and understanding are built on deeds, not words. Complying with agreements helps; violating them hurts. Respecting the rights of individual citizens bolsters the relationship; denying these rights harms it. Expanding contacts across borders and permitting a free interchange of information and ideas increase confidence; sealing off one's people from the rest of the world reduces it. Peaceful trade helps, while organized theft of industrial secrets certainly hurts. (INSERT A) J have cited The examples ^ illustrate clearly why our relationship with the Soviet Union is not what it should be We have a long way to go, but we are determined to try and try again. Page 7 In working toward these goals, our approach is based on three guiding principles: realism, strength, and dialogue. Realism means we start by understanding the world we live in. We must recognize that we are in a long-term competition with a government that does not share our notions of individual liberties at home and peaceful change abroad. We must be frank in acknowledging our differences and unafraid to promote our values. Strength means we know we cannot negotiate successfully or protect our interests if we are weak. Our strength is necessary not only to deter war, but to facilitate negotiation and compromise. Strength is more than military power. Economic strength is crucial and America's economy is leading the world into recovery. Equally important is unity among our people at home and with our allies abroad. We are stronger in all these areas than we were 3 years ago. Dialogue means we are determined to deal with our differences peacefully, through negotiation. We are prepared to discuss all the problems that divide us, and to work for practical, fair solutions on the basis of mutual compromise. We will never retreat from negotiations. I have openly expressed my view of the Soviet system. I don't know why this should come as a surprise to Soviet leaders who have never shied away from expressing their view of our system. But this does not mean we can't deal with each other. We don't refuse to talk when the Soviets call us "imperialist 53 Page 8 aggressors" and worse, or because they cling to the fantasy of a communist triumph over democracy. The fact that neither of us likes the other's system is no reason to refuse to talk. Living in this nuclear age makes it imperative that we do talk. Our commitment to dialogue is firm and unshakable. But we insist that our negotiations deal with real problems, not atmospherics. In our approach to negotiations, reducing the risk of war -- and especially nuclear war -- is priority number one. A nuclear confrontation could well be mankind's last. The comprehensive set of initiatives that we have proposed would reduce substantially the size of nuclear arsenals. And again, I would hope that in the years ahead we could go much further toward the ultimate goal of ridding our planet of the nuclear threat altogether. The world regrets -- certainly we do -- that the Soviet Union broke off negotiations on intermediate-range nuclear forces, and has refused to set a date for further talks on strategic arms. Our negotiators are ready to return to the negotiating table, and to conclude agreements in INF and START. We will negotiate in good faith. Whenever the Soviet Union is ready to do likewise, we will meet them half way. We seek both to reduce nuclear arsenals, and to reduce the chances for dangerous misunderstanding and miscalculation. So we have put forward proposals for what we call "confidence-building measures." They cover a wide range of activities. In the Geneva United States negotiations, we have proposed that the H.S. and Soviet Union 54 Page 9 exchange advance notifications of missile tests and major military exercises. Following up on congressional suggestions, we also proposed a number of ways to improve direct U.S.-Soviet channels of communication. Last week, we had further discussions with the Soviets here in Washington on improving communications, including the "Hotline." These bilateral proposals will be broadened at the conference in Stockholm. We are working with our allies to develop practical, meaningful ways to reduce the uncertainty and potential for misinterpretation surrounding military activities, and to diminish the risks of surprise attack. Arms control has long been the most visible area of U.S.-Soviet dialogue. But a durable peace also requires us to defuse tensions and regional conflicts. We and the Soviets should have a common interest in promoting regional stability, and in finding peaceful solutions to existing conflicts that permit developing nations to concentrate their energies on economic growth. Thus we seek to engage the Soviets in exchanges of views on these regional conflicts and tensions and on how we can both contribute to stability and a lowering of tensions. We remain convinced that on issues like these it is in the Soviet Union's best interest to cooperate in achieving broad-based, negotiated solutions. If the Soviet leaders make that choice, they will find us ready to cooperate. Another major problem in our relationship with the Soviet Union is human rights. Soviet practices in this area, as much as 55 Page 10 any other issue, have created the mistrust and ill will that hangs over our relationship. Moral considerations alone compel us to express our deep concern over prisoners of conscience in the Soviet Union, over the virtual halt in the emigration of Jews, Armenians, and others who wish to join their families abroad, and over the continuing so many harassment of A courageous people, like Andrei Sakharov. Our request is simple and straightforward: That the Soviet Union live up to the obligations it has freely assumed under international covenants -- in particular, its commitments under the Helsinki Accords. Experience has shown that greater respect for human rights can contribute to progress in other areas of the Soviet-American relationship. Conflicts of interest between the United States and the Soviet Union are real. But we can and must keep the peace between our two nations and make it a better and more peaceful world for all mankind. These are the objectives of our policy toward the Soviet Union, a policy of credible deterrence, and peaceful competition and constructive peration that will serve both nations and people everywhere for the long haul. It is a challenge for Americans. It is also a challenge for the Soviets. If they cannot meet us half way, we will be prepared to protect our interests, and those of our friends and allies. But we want more than deterrence; we seek genuine cooperation; we seek progress for peace. Cooperation begins with communication. We seek such communication. We will stay at the negotiating tables in Geneva Page 11 and Vienna. Furthermore, Secretary Shultz will be meeting with Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko in Stockholm. This meeting should be followed by others, so that high-level consultations become a regular and normal component of U.S.-Soviet relations. Our challenge is peaceful. It will bring out the best in us. It also calls for the best from the Soviet Union. No one can predict how the Soviet leaders will respond to our challenge. But the people of our two countries share with all mankind the dream of eliminating the risks of nuclear war. It is not an impossible dream, because eliminating those is so clearly a vital interest for all of us. Our two countries have never fought each other; there is no reason we ever should. Indeed, we have fought world war II. alongside one another in two world wars. Today our common enemies are hunger, disease and, above all, war. More than 20 years ago, President Kennedy defined an approach that is as realistic and hopeful today as when he announced it: "So, let us not be blind to our differences" he said, "but let us also direct attention to our common interests and to the means by which those differences can be resolved." Well, those differences would turn out to be differences in governmental structure and philosophy. The common interest would have to do with the things of everyday life for people everywhere. Suppose Ivan and Anya found themselves in a waiting room, or sharing a shelter from the rain with Jim and Sally, and there was no language barrier to keep them from getting acquainted. Would they debate the differences between their respective governments? Page 12 Or, would they find themselves comparing notes about their children, and what each other did for a living? Before they parted company they would probably have touched on ambitions, hobbies, what they wanted for their children and the problems of making ends meet. They might even have decided they were all going to get together for dinner some evening soon. Above all, they would have proven that people don't make wars. People want to raise their children in a world without fear, and without war. They want to have some of the good things over and above bare subsistance that make life worth living. They want to work at some craft, trade or profession that gives them satisfaction and a sense of worth. Their common interests cross all borders. If the Soviet Government wants peace, then there will be peace. Together we can strengthen peace, reduce the level of arms and know in doing so we have fulfilled the hopes and dreams of those we represent and indeed of people everywhere. Let us begin now. INSERT A 58 Cooperation and understanding are especially important to arms control. In recent years, we have been disturbed by mounting evidence that the Soviet Union has breached important elements of several arms control agreements. It has also established a pattern of taking advantage of any imprecision or ambiguity in agreements. Such actions jeopardize the arms control process. I will soon submit to the Congress the report on these Soviet activities which it requested from me. I will of course see to it that our modernization program takes them into account so that we will not be at a disadvantage. But I will also continue our discussions with the Soviet government on activities which under- mine agreements. I believe it is in our mutual interest to remove impediments to arms control, which offers us the means to improve the security of both our countries and to create a safer world.