Draft Memorandum, State Department Intelligence Advisory Committee Report, "Soviet Intentions in the Current Situation"

ma secretaring we SECRET Secretary the take 563 to white House This in viow an #53003 Fat Dec 2, agreed / AC report 1950 Liss It will be show the president BRAFT 332 to probably in the morning. 200 SOVIET INTENTIONS IN THE CURRENT SITUATION 1. Developments in Korea and Manchuria indicate that the purpose of the Chinese Communist intervention is to render theUN position in Korea untenable. 2. The attitude of the Chinese Communist regime and urgent defensive preparations in China show that this intervention was undertaken with appreciation of the risk of general war between the United States and fr Communist China and perhaps in expectation of such a development. 3. It is highly improbable that the Chinese Communist regime would have accepted this risk without explicit assurance of effective Soviet support. The Soviet Union will probably: a. Continue to support Chinese Communist operations in Korea by the provision of suitable materiel, technical personnel, and even "volunteer" units, as necessary. b. Provide aircraft and anti-aircraft artillery, with trained personnel, as necessary for the defense of targets in China against UN air attack. C. Come openly to the military support of Communist China, under the terms of the Sino-Soviet Treaty, in the event of major US (UN) operations against Chinese territory. DECLASSIFIED E. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) and 5(D) de 3 3/8/27 PROJECT Dept. of State NLT76-22 letter, Aug: for BEORE , NARS Date 3-24-7 By NLITHC