Report by the Central Intelligence Agency, Special Estimate: Consequences of the Termination, Under the Terms of the Battle Act, of United States Aid to Denmark, SE-31

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TOP SECRET 75490-h Security information Copy No. 1 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY a S. WASHINGTON 25, D. C. SPECIAL ESTIMATE CONSEQUENCES OF THE TERMINATION, UNDER THE TERMS OF THE BATTLE ACT, OF US AID TO DENMARK SE-31* THE PROBLEM To estimate the consequences in Denmark and elsewhere of the termination, under the terms of the Battle Act, of US aid to Denmark, on the basis of the delivery of a new tanker by Denmark to the USSR. SCOPE Part I of this estimate considers the consequences of an indefinite termination of US aid to Denmark under the circum- stances stated above. Part II of this estimate considers the extent to which the adverse effects herein estimated would be avoided or mitigated if (1) termination is closely followed by US notice to the Danish Government that US aid would be rein- stated on stated conditions, and if (2) the Danish Government accepts the stated conditions and US aid is reinstated within a short period. * The intelligence organizations of the Departments of State, the Army, the Navy, the Air Force, and the Joint Staff partici- pated with the Central Intelligence Agency in the preparation of this estimate. All members of the Intelligence Advisory Committee concurred in this estimate on 2 July 1952. DECLASSIFIED E.O. 13526 TOP SECRET Authority RAC 3/24/10 NLT-PSF-36-61 Security Information NARA so Date 2/26/2013